Sunday , 16 August 2026

Middlesbrough FC vs Luton Town FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 9 Nov 2024 · 12:30 UTC Riverside Stadium 23,692 HT 45' · FT 45'
Delano Burgzorg 30' 1–0
Finn Azaz 51' 3–0
Delano Burgzorg 54' 4–0
4–1 77' Jordan Clark
Finn Azaz 87' 5–1

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Nov Luton Town FC H 5–1 W
05 Nov Queens Park Rangers FC A 4–1 W
02 Nov Coventry City FC H 0–3 L
27 Oct Norwich City FC A 3–3 D
23 Oct Sheffield United FC H 1–0 W
19 Oct Bristol City FC H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Nov Middlesbrough FC A 1–5 L
06 Nov Cardiff City FC H 1–0 W
01 Nov West Bromwich Albion FC H 1–1 D
26 Oct Coventry City FC A 2–3 L
23 Oct Sunderland AFC H 1–2 L
19 Oct Watford FC H 3–0 W

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Middlesbrough FC
0-15
/1
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.08 Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.31 Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Middlesbrough FC55% Draw23% Luton Town FC22%
Actual: Middlesbrough FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.39
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

Middlesbrough FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Luton Town FC
45%
Middlesbrough FC or Luton Town FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Middlesbrough FC40% Draw40% Luton Town FC20%
Actual: Middlesbrough FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
10%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
7.3%
1 – 0
6.4%
3 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
6%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 0
4.9%
0 – 0
4.8%
3 – 2
4.2%
0 – 1
3.8%
4 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC

Handicap Middlesbrough FC covers Push Luton Town FC covers
-2.5 16% 84%
-2 16% 16% 67%
-1.5 33% 67%
-1 33% 21% 46%
-0.5 54% 46%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 13% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
28%
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
13%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.