Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC, A League 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2020-21
Wed 24 Feb 2021 · 08:05 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC — A League at AAMI Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Kristian Griffiths-Jones
  • Referee Daniel Illievski
  • Referee Shaun Evans
  • Referee Andrew Meimarakis
  • Referee

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC Wellington Phoenix FC
#4 Position #8
40 Points 33
26 Played 26
11 / 7 / 8 W / D / L 9 / 6 / 11
44 Scored 36
33 Conceded 48
+11 GD -12
1.54 PPG 1.27
42% Win % 35%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at AAMI Park. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' The crowd applauds Dylan Ryan as he leaves the pitch. Aaron Anderson steps in for Melbourne Victory FC.
  • 10' James McGarry has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 18' Wellington Phoenix FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 18.
  • 23' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 24' Jacob Butterfield gets the nod from Melbourne Victory FC. He replaces Marco Rojas and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 25' That is a Yellow card for Wellington Phoenix FC. James McGarry will be fuming at that decision.
  • 30' Melbourne Victory FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Wellington Phoenix FC's shape.
  • 34' Controversy at the stadium! Leigh Broxham argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 37' The referee has no hesitation. Ryan Shotton is booked for Melbourne Victory FC — Yellow card on 37.
  • 42' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 42 minutes.
  • 46' Melbourne Victory FC ring the changes. Ryan Shotton has done his job and it is now time for Zaydan Bello to step up.
  • 48' Rudy Gestede does the damage! The net is bulging and Melbourne Victory FC surge ahead!
  • 49' Against the run of play, Rudy Gestede has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 50' A change in the Wellington Phoenix FC ranks — Mirza Muratovic exits the field as Clayton Lewis enters on 50.
  • 51' Louis Fenton has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 51.
  • 55' The referee shows Melbourne Victory FC player a Yellow card on 55.
  • 60' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 62' Melbourne Victory FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 67' With 0 assists to his name this season, Oliver Sail is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Wellington Phoenix FC.
  • 72' Louis Fenton, a New Zealand , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 73' Melbourne Victory FC make a change. Callum McManaman trudges off to be replaced by Jay Barnett on 73 minutes.
  • 75' Another substitution for Wellington Phoenix FC to replace Reno Piscopo by Charles Lokoli on 75 minute.
  • 80' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 85' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 90' The travelling Wellington Phoenix FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.02 Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91 Wellington Phoenix FC xG
I would bet for: Melbourne Victory FC to win 60% + Over 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Melbourne Victory FC60% Draw23% Wellington Phoenix FC17%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.93
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
83%
Draw or Wellington Phoenix FC
40%
Melbourne Victory FC or Wellington Phoenix FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Melbourne Victory FC44% Draw42% Wellington Phoenix FC14%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
10.6%
1 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
9.5%
3 – 0
7.1%
0 – 0
7%
3 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
4.4%
1 – 2
4.3%
0 – 1
4.1%
4 – 0
3.6%
4 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap Melbourne Victory FC covers Push Wellington Phoenix FC covers
-2.5 19% — 81%
-2 19% 19% 62%
-1.5 38% — 62%
-1 38% 23% 38%
-0.5 62% — 38%
+0.5 85% — 15%
+1 85% 10% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
41% ✗
Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.