Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC, A League 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2020-21

Melbourne Victory FC

2 – 0

Full Time

Wellington Phoenix FC

Wed 24 Feb 2021 · 08:05 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 18' Mirza Muratovic

Y 25' James McGarry

Leigh Broxham 34' Y

Ryan Shotton 37' Y

Y 51' Louis Fenton

Dalibor Markovic 55' Y

Aaron Anderson 62' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC — A League at AAMI Park.

Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Wellington Phoenix FC 26 games · 33 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Kristian Griffiths-Jones
Referee Daniel Illievski
Referee Shaun Evans
Referee Andrew Meimarakis
Referee

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Melbourne Victory FC 24 games · Avg 2.7 goals Wellington Phoenix FC

Last 5 meetings

2021-02-24 Melbourne Victory FC 2–0 Wellington Phoenix FC 2020-03-15 Wellington Phoenix FC 3–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2019-12-14 Melbourne Victory FC 0–0 Wellington Phoenix FC 2019-11-10 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Wellington Phoenix FC 2019-05-03 Melbourne Victory FC 3–1 Wellington Phoenix FC

Recent Form

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
24 Feb	Wellington Phoenix FC	H	2–0	W
21 Feb	Newcastle United Jets FC	H	0–1	L
10 Feb	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	A	0–2	L
06 Feb	Brisbane Roar FC	A	2–5	L
12 Aug	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	A	1–2	L
08 Aug	Perth Glory FC	A	4–0	W

Wellington Phoenix FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
24 Feb	Melbourne Victory FC	A	0–2	L
21 Feb	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	H	2–2	D
14 Feb	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	0–2	L
08 Feb	Sydney FC	A	1–2	L
22 Aug	Perth Glory FC	H	0–1	L
13 Aug	Newcastle United Jets FC	A	0–3	L

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC		Wellington Phoenix FC
#4	Position	#8
40	Points	33
26	Played	26
11 / 7 / 8	W / D / L	9 / 6 / 11
44	Scored	36
33	Conceded	48
+11	GD	-12
1.54	PPG	1.27
42%	Win %	35%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

15% Clean Sheets
Wellington Phoenix FC this season

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/–

76+

1/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Wellington Phoenix FC

0-15

–/1

16-30

1/2

31-45

–/2

46-60

1/–

61-75

–/–

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

Nikolaos Vergos	7 G	1 A
Clarismario	6 G
Mata	5 G	12 A
Keegan Jelacic	5 G	2 A
Charles Nduka	5 G	2 A

Wellington Phoenix FC

Ifeanyi Eze	10 G	1 A
Carlo Armiento	5 G	2 A
Corban Piper	4 G	4 A

Events

Match Events

0' Melbourne Victory FC have kicked off against Wellington Phoenix FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
5' It is a substitution in Melbourne Victory FC team. Dylan Ryan is replaced by Aaron Anderson on 5 minute.
10' Cameron Devlin has been relatively quiet despite scoring 6 goals in his last 215 appearances.
15' The home supporters are growing impatient. Melbourne Victory FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
18' A moment of madness from Mirza Muratovic on 18 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Wellington Phoenix FC will be frustrated.
23' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
24' Jacob Butterfield is ready to make an impact after coming on for Marco Rojas at the 24 minute mark.
25' The referee calls foul for James McGarry. He receives a Yellow card.
30' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Melbourne Victory FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
34' Leigh Broxham is having his name booked by the referee on 34.
37' Melbourne Victory FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 37.
42' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Melbourne Victory FC and Wellington Phoenix FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
46' Zaydan Bello gets the nod from Melbourne Victory FC. He replaces Ryan Shotton and will look to change the dynamic.
48' Rudy Gestede doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
49' Rudy Gestede with the second goal in the match!
50' A tactical swap from Wellington Phoenix FC — Clayton Lewis on, Mirza Muratovic off on 50 minutes.
51' Louis Fenton picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
55' A moment of madness from Dalibor Markovic on 55 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Melbourne Victory FC will be frustrated.
60' Wellington Phoenix FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
62' That is a Yellow card for Melbourne Victory FC. Aaron Anderson will be fuming at that decision.
67' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 3 times this season with Melbourne Victory FC winning 66.67% of all matches.
72' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Melbourne Victory FC and Wellington Phoenix FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
73' The supporters are chanting for Jay Barnett. He replaces Callum McManaman on 73 minute.
75' The whistle greets Reno Piscopo as he departs to be replaced by Charles Lokoli.
80' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
85' A quiet spell here at AAMI Park. Melbourne Victory FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
90' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
Melbourne Victory FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

5
Ryan Shotton ↓ Zaydan Bello 46'
9
Rudy Gestede ↓ Luis Lawrie-Lattanzio 73'
7
Callum McManaman ↓ Jay Barnett 73'
19
Dylan Ryan ↓ Aaron Anderson 5'
23
Marco Rojas ↓ Jacob Butterfield 24'
10
Robbie Kruse
6
Leigh Broxham C
13
Birkan Kirdar
22
Jake Brimmer
20
Max Crocombe
33
Dalibor Markovic

Bench

8
Jacob Butterfield ↑ 24'
1
Matt Acton
17
Elvis Kamsoba
14
Jay Barnett ↑ 73'
15
Aaron Anderson ↑ 5'
25
Luis Lawrie-Lattanzio ↑ 73'
35
Zaydan Bello ↑ 46'

Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Ufuk Talay

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Ola Toivonen	5
Oskar Zawada	4
Roy Krishna	4
Nicholas D'Agostino	3
Ulises Davila	3
Walter Sandoval	3
Bruno Fornaroli	3
Jake Brimmer	2

Head to Head

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2021-02-24 Melbourne Victory FC 2–0 Wellington Phoenix FC W 2021-02-21 Melbourne Victory FC 0–1 Newcastle United Jets FC L 2021-02-10 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 2–0 Melbourne Victory FC L 2021-02-06 Brisbane Roar FC 5–2 Melbourne Victory FC L 2020-08-12 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 2–1 Melbourne Victory FC L 2020-08-08 Perth Glory FC 0–4 Melbourne Victory FC W

Wellington Phoenix FC Form

2021-02-24 Melbourne Victory FC 2–0 Wellington Phoenix FC L 2021-02-21 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–2 Western Sydney Wanderers FC D 2021-02-14 Wellington Phoenix FC 0–2 Central Coast Mariners FC L 2021-02-08 Sydney FC 2–1 Wellington Phoenix FC L 2020-08-22 Wellington Phoenix FC 0–1 Perth Glory FC L 2020-08-13 Newcastle United Jets FC 3–0 Wellington Phoenix FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.02 Melbourne Victory FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.91 Wellington Phoenix FC xG

I would bet for: Melbourne Victory FC to win 60% + Over 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne Victory FC60% Draw23% Wellington Phoenix FC17%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes52% 0% No48%

Avg goals/match: 2.93

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	79%	21%
± 2.5	55%	45%
± 3.5	34%	66%
± 4.5	18%	82%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw

83%

Draw or Wellington Phoenix FC

40%

Melbourne Victory FC or Wellington Phoenix FC

77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne Victory FC44% Draw42% Wellington Phoenix FC14%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 0

Actual

1 – 1

10.6%

1 – 0

10.1%

2 – 1

9.5%

3 – 0

7.1%

0 – 0

3 – 1

6.5%

2 – 2

4.4%

1 – 2

4.3%

0 – 1

4.1%

4 – 0

3.6%

4 – 1

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap	Melbourne Victory FC covers	Push	Wellington Phoenix FC covers
-2.5	19%	—	81%
-2	19%	19%	62%
-1.5	38%	—	62%
-1	38%	23%	38%
-0.5	62%	—	38%
+0.5	85%	—	15%
+1	85%	10%	5%
+1.5	95%	—	5%
+2	95%	4%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

41% ✗

Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.