Brisbane Roar FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2020-21

Brisbane Roar FC

5 – 2

Full Time

Melbourne Victory FC

Sat 6 Feb 2021 · 06:05 UTC Dolphin Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 33' Luis Lawrie-Lattanzio

Y 43' Leigh Broxham

Corey Brown 45' Y

Y 79' Ryan Shotton

Macaulay Gillesphey 83' Y

Y 86' Birkan Kirdar

Overview

Match Preview

Brisbane Roar FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League at Dolphin Stadium.

Brisbane Roar FC 26 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Daniel Elder
Referee Adam Kersey
Referee Ashley Beecham
Referee David Walsh
Referee Casey Reibelt

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Brisbane Roar FC 18 games · Avg 2.4 goals Melbourne Victory FC

Last 5 meetings

2021-02-06 Brisbane Roar FC 5–2 Melbourne Victory FC 2020-07-29 Melbourne Victory FC 1–2 Brisbane Roar FC 2019-10-25 Brisbane Roar FC 0–1 Melbourne Victory FC 2019-03-16 Melbourne Victory FC 2–1 Brisbane Roar FC 2019-01-15 Brisbane Roar FC 0–5 Melbourne Victory FC

Recent Form

Brisbane Roar FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 Feb	Melbourne Victory FC	H	5–2	W
23 Aug	Western United FC	H	0–1	L
10 Aug	Sydney FC	H	1–1	D
05 Aug	Wellington Phoenix FC	A	1–1	D
29 Jul	Melbourne Victory FC	A	2–1	W
19 Jul	Adelaide United FC	H	0–1	L

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 Feb	Brisbane Roar FC	A	2–5	L
12 Aug	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	A	1–2	L
08 Aug	Perth Glory FC	A	4–0	W
03 Aug	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	2–3	L
29 Jul	Brisbane Roar FC	H	1–2	L
25 Jul	Western United FC	H	1–2	L

Season Stats

Brisbane Roar FC		Melbourne Victory FC
#11	Position	#4
26	Points	40
26	Played	26
6 / 8 / 12	W / D / L	11 / 7 / 8
27	Scored	44
36	Conceded	33
-9	GD	+11
1.00	PPG	1.54
23%	Win %	42%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Brisbane Roar FC are 11th (26 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' What a night it is going to be! Brisbane Roar FC welcome Melbourne Victory FC for this crunch clash at Dolphin Stadium.
5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
9' GOAL! Dylan Wenzel-Halls fires home to make it 1-0!
14' Scott McDonald is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
17' Riku Danzaki doubles the advantage! 3-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
19' What a moment for Luis Lawrie-Lattanzio! That strike on 19 puts his side firmly in control.
24' Brisbane Roar FC is showing some good football. However, Brisbane Roar FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
29' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Warren Moon will be considering his options from the bench.
33' The referee has no hesitation. Luis Lawrie-Lattanzio is booked for Melbourne Victory FC — Yellow card on 33.
35' Scott McDonald adds to his 0 season tally! Brisbane Roar FC lead 4-1 — and this changes everything.
40' Melbourne Victory FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
43' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Leigh Broxham.
45' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Corey Brown.
49' Goal! Riku Danzaki scores his 14 goal in 381 matches.
50' Jake Brimmer doubles the advantage! 5-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
54' Melbourne Victory FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Birkan Kirdar is hanging Jacob Butterfield on the field on 54 minute.
59' Leigh Broxham is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Brisbane Roar FC tonight.
64' Joshua Brindell-South has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
69' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Brisbane Roar FC that had 205 games and scored 245 goals.
70' The supporters are chanting for Jordan Courtney-Perkins. He replaces Joshua Brindell-South on 70 minute.
75' Another substitution for Brisbane Roar FC to replace Dylan Wenzel-Halls by Jesse Daley on 75 minute.
79' Ryan Shotton has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 79.
83' Macaulay Gillesphey is having his name booked by the referee on 83.
86' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Birkan Kirdar.
89' The Brisbane Roar FC manager makes a substitution. Riku Danzaki departs to be replaced by Joseph Champness.
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Brisbane Roar FC 5-2 Melbourne Victory FC.

Lineups

Brisbane Roar FC Lineups

Starting XI

26
Jay O'Shea
6
Macaulay Gillesphey
21
Jamie Young
23
Dylan Wenzel-Halls ↓ Jesse Daley 75'
3
Corey Brown
5
Tom Aldred C
25
Rahmat Akbari ↓ Keegan Jelacic 89'
10
Riku Danzaki ↓ Keegan Jelacic 89'
77
Scott McDonald
27
Kai Trewin
16
Joshua Brindell-South ↓ Jordan Courtney-Perkins 70'

Bench

Coach Warren Moon

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

1
Matt Acton
13
Birkan Kirdar ↑ 54'
17
Elvis Kamsoba ↑ 54'
14
Jay Barnett
15
Aaron Anderson
16
Brandon Lauton ↑ 70'

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kosta Barbarouses	7
Scott McDonald	3
Ola Toivonen	3
Andrew Nabbout	2
Marco Rojas	2
Riku Danzaki	2
Henry Hore	1
Alex Parsons	1

Head to Head

Brisbane Roar FC Form

2021-02-06 Brisbane Roar FC 5–2 Melbourne Victory FC W 2020-08-23 Brisbane Roar FC 0–1 Western United FC L 2020-08-10 Brisbane Roar FC 1–1 Sydney FC D 2020-08-05 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–1 Brisbane Roar FC D 2020-07-29 Melbourne Victory FC 1–2 Brisbane Roar FC W 2020-07-19 Brisbane Roar FC 0–1 Adelaide United FC L

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2021-02-06 Brisbane Roar FC 5–2 Melbourne Victory FC L 2020-08-12 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 2–1 Melbourne Victory FC L 2020-08-08 Perth Glory FC 0–4 Melbourne Victory FC W 2020-08-03 Melbourne Victory FC 2–3 Central Coast Mariners FC L 2020-07-29 Melbourne Victory FC 1–2 Brisbane Roar FC L 2020-07-25 Melbourne Victory FC 1–2 Western United FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.56 Brisbane Roar FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.8 Melbourne Victory FC xG

I would bet for: Brisbane Roar FC or Melbourne Victory FC 76% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Brisbane Roar FC41% Draw24% Melbourne Victory FC35%

Actual: Brisbane Roar FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes66% 0% No34%

Avg goals/match: 3.36

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	85%	15%
± 2.5	64%	36%
± 3.5	43%	57%
± 4.5	25%	75%

Double Chance

Brisbane Roar FC or Draw

64%

Draw or Melbourne Victory FC

59%

Brisbane Roar FC or Melbourne Victory FC

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Brisbane Roar FC26% Draw42% Melbourne Victory FC32%

Actual: Brisbane Roar FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–2 not predicted

5 – 2

Actual

1 – 1

10.6%

1 – 2

8.5%

2 – 1

7.4%

2 – 2

6.5%

0 – 2

5.6%

0 – 1

5.6%

1 – 3

0 – 0

1 – 0

4.8%

2 – 0

4.3%

2 – 3

3 – 1

3.8%

Asian Handicap — Brisbane Roar FC

Handicap	Brisbane Roar FC covers	Push	Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	10%	84%
-1.5	16%	—	84%
-1	16%	17%	67%
-0.5	33%	—	67%
+0.5	58%	—	42%
+1	58%	19%	23%
+1.5	77%	—	23%
+2	77%	13%	10%
+2.5	90%	—	10%

Clean Sheet

Brisbane Roar FC keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.