Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC, A League 2018-19 ELIMINATION FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC — A League .
- Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
- Wellington Phoenix FC 26 games · 33 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Kristian Griffiths-Jones
- Referee Daniel Illievski
- Referee Shaun Evans
- Referee Jonathon Barreiro
- Referee Ryan Gallagher
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United Jets FC | 26 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide United FC | 26 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory FC | 26 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City FC | 26 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix FC | 26 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners FC | 26 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory FC | 26 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar FC | 26 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | Wellington Phoenix FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 27 Apr | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | Adelaide United FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Apr | Central Coast Mariners FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Apr | Sydney FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Mar | Perth Glory FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | Melbourne Victory FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 28 Apr | Perth Glory FC | A | 0–5 | L |
| 21 Apr | Melbourne City FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 12 Apr | Brisbane Roar FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Apr | Adelaide United FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 30 Mar | Newcastle United Jets FC | H | 4–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Melbourne Victory FC | Wellington Phoenix FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #8 |
| 40 | Points | 33 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 11 / 7 / 8 | W / D / L | 9 / 6 / 11 |
| 44 | Scored | 36 |
| 33 | Conceded | 48 |
| +11 | GD | -12 |
| 1.54 | PPG | 1.27 |
| 42% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
23%
Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC this season
15%
Clean Sheets
Wellington Phoenix FC this season
Wellington Phoenix FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Wellington Phoenix FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
–/2
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Melbourne Victory FC
| Nikolaos Vergos | 7 G | 1 A |
| Clarismario | 6 G | |
| Mata | 5 G | 12 A |
| Keegan Jelacic | 5 G | 2 A |
| Charles Nduka | 5 G | 2 A |
Wellington Phoenix FC
| Ifeanyi Eze | 10 G | 1 A |
| Carlo Armiento | 5 G | 2 A |
| Corban Piper | 4 G | 4 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Wellington Phoenix FC get us underway at .
- 5' Wellington Phoenix FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 7' It’s a booking for Wellington Phoenix FC player. Michal Kopczynski gets a Yellow card.
- 12' Wellington Phoenix FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 17' Melbourne Victory FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Wellington Phoenix FC's shape.
- 22' The energy levels are beginning to show. Marko Rudan might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 27' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 32' Spain international Mandi has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 37' Melbourne Victory FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 37.
- 41' David Williams was booked on 41.
- 42' Melbourne Victory FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Georg Niedermeier on 42.
- 47' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 47 minutes.
- 52' It’s high time Marko Rudan made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 53' What a strike from Kosta Barbarouses! The score is 2-0.
- 56' Poor challenge from Max Burgess. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 57' The Wellington Phoenix FC bench stirs into life. Mandi is withdrawn and Sarpreet Singh gets his opportunity.
- 62' Melbourne Victory FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 64' What a moment for Roy Krishna! That strike on 64 puts his side firmly in control.
- 69' With 0 assists to his name this season, Ryan Lowry is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Melbourne Victory FC.
- 71' What composure from Ola Toivonen! The Sweden international strokes it home. 3-1.
- 76' Melbourne Victory FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 3 meetings.
- 77' A meaty challenge results in booking for Alex Rufer on 77.
- 77' Time for substitution for Wellington Phoenix FC. David Williams is replaced by Cillian Sheridan.
- 82' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Filip Kurto made 209 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 85' Another change for Melbourne Victory FC made on 85 minute. Raul Baena leaves to be changed by Carl Valeri.
- 90' That looks like a foul for a Red card for Michal Kopczynski.
- 90' Wellington Phoenix FC make a change. Ryan Lowry trudges off to be replaced by Callan Elliot on 90 minutes.
- 3-1 the final result. Wellington Phoenix FC will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Melbourne Victory FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 11
- 20
- 14
- 6
- 8
-
9
Kosta Barbarouses ↓ Storm Roux 90'
- 5
-
15
Raul Baena ↓ Carl Valeri 85'
-
24
Elvis Kamsoba ↓ Kenny Athiu 90'
- 17
Bench
- 1
-
21
Carl Valeri ↑ 85'
-
7
Kenny Athiu ↑ 90'
-
2
Storm Roux ↑ 90'
- 25
Coach
Kevin Muscat
Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
-
5
Ryan Lowry ↓ Callan Elliot 90'
- 14
- 13
- 21
- 27
- 1
- 15
- 11
-
4
Mandi ↓ Sarpreet Singh 57'
- 23
Bench
- 20
-
18
Sarpreet Singh ↑ 57'
-
7
Cillian Sheridan ↑ 77'
- 32
-
17
Callan Elliot ↑ 90'
Coach
Marko Rudan
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ola Toivonen | 5 |
| Oskar Zawada | 4 |
| Roy Krishna | 4 |
| Ulises Davila | 3 |
| Walter Sandoval | 3 |
| Bruno Fornaroli | 3 |
| Nicholas D'Agostino | 3 |
| David Ball | 2 |
Head to Head
Melbourne Victory FC Form
2019-05-03
Melbourne Victory FC
3–1
Wellington Phoenix FC
W
2019-04-27
Western Sydney Wanderers FC
0–1
Melbourne Victory FC
W
2019-04-19
Adelaide United FC
1–0
Melbourne Victory FC
L
2019-04-14
Melbourne Victory FC
2–1
Central Coast Mariners FC
W
2019-04-06
Sydney FC
2–1
Melbourne Victory FC
L
2019-03-30
Perth Glory FC
0–2
Melbourne Victory FC
W
Wellington Phoenix FC Form
2019-05-03
Melbourne Victory FC
3–1
Wellington Phoenix FC
L
2019-04-28
Perth Glory FC
5–0
Wellington Phoenix FC
L
2019-04-21
Wellington Phoenix FC
3–2
Melbourne City FC
W
2019-04-12
Brisbane Roar FC
2–1
Wellington Phoenix FC
L
2019-04-07
Adelaide United FC
3–1
Wellington Phoenix FC
L
2019-03-30
Wellington Phoenix FC
4–1
Newcastle United Jets FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.61
Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16
Wellington Phoenix FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 71% + Melbourne Victory FC to win 65%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Melbourne Victory FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.77
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 3.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 4.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
Double Chance
Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
84%
Draw or Wellington Phoenix FC
35%
Melbourne Victory FC or Wellington Phoenix FC
81%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
7.9%
1 – 1
7.8%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
6.7%
1 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
5.1%
4 – 1
5%
3 – 2
4.4%
4 – 0
4.3%
1 – 2
4%
0 – 0
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC
| Handicap | Melbourne Victory FC covers | Push | Wellington Phoenix FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -2 | 27% | 19% | 54% |
| -1.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| -1 | 46% | 20% | 33% |
| -0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +0.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 9% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

