Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC, A League 2018-19 ELIMINATION FINALS

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A League · 2018-19

Melbourne Victory FC

3 – 1

Full Time

Wellington Phoenix FC

Fri 3 May 2019 · 09:50 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 7' Michal Kopczynski

Y 41' David Williams

Y 56' Max Burgess

Y 77' Alex Rufer

R 90' Michal Kopczynski

Y 90' Cillian Sheridan

Y 90' Liberato Cacace

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC — A League .

Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2026/27)
Wellington Phoenix FC 26 games · 33 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Kristian Griffiths-Jones
Referee Daniel Illievski
Referee Shaun Evans
Referee Jonathon Barreiro
Referee Ryan Gallagher

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Melbourne Victory FC 24 games · Avg 2.7 goals Wellington Phoenix FC

Last 5 meetings

2019-05-03 Melbourne Victory FC 3–1 Wellington Phoenix FC 2019-02-15 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC 2019-01-20 Melbourne Victory FC 3–3 Wellington Phoenix FC 2018-12-28 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Wellington Phoenix FC

Recent Form

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 May	Wellington Phoenix FC	H	3–1	W
27 Apr	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	A	1–0	W
19 Apr	Adelaide United FC	A	0–1	L
14 Apr	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	2–1	W
06 Apr	Sydney FC	A	1–2	L
30 Mar	Perth Glory FC	A	2–0	W

Wellington Phoenix FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 May	Melbourne Victory FC	A	1–3	L
28 Apr	Perth Glory FC	A	0–5	L
21 Apr	Melbourne City FC	H	3–2	W
12 Apr	Brisbane Roar FC	A	1–2	L
07 Apr	Adelaide United FC	A	1–3	L
30 Mar	Newcastle United Jets FC	H	4–1	W

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC		Wellington Phoenix FC
#4	Position	#8
40	Points	33
26	Played	26
11 / 7 / 8	W / D / L	9 / 6 / 11
44	Scored	36
33	Conceded	48
+11	GD	-12
1.54	PPG	1.27
42%	Win %	35%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Melbourne Victory FC and Wellington Phoenix FC get this one started.
5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
7' That is a Yellow card for Wellington Phoenix FC. Michal Kopczynski will be fuming at that decision.
12' Melbourne Victory FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 12.
17' Wellington Phoenix FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
22' It looks surprising Melbourne Victory FC does not make any changes. Filip Kurto has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
27' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 27 minutes.
32' The 37-year-old Mandi has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
37' Melbourne Victory FC have won 299 goals from 210 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
41' David Williams picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
42' Georg Niedermeier does the damage! The net is bulging and Melbourne Victory FC surge ahead!
47' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Elvis Kamsoba suffering a number of foals already.
52' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Marko Rudan will be considering his options from the bench.
53' The deadlock is broken! Kosta Barbarouses gets on the scoresheet on 53 minutes.
56' It’s a booking for Wellington Phoenix FC player. Max Burgess gets a Yellow card.
57' Sarpreet Singh is replacing Mandi for the Wellington Phoenix FC side.
62' Liberato Cacace is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Wellington Phoenix FC tonight.
64' Brilliant from the ! Roy Krishna makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 64.
69' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 3 times this season with Melbourne Victory FC winning 66.67% of all matches.
71' What composure from Ola Toivonen! The Sweden international strokes it home. 3-1.
76' Melbourne Victory FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Wellington Phoenix FC backline.
77' Alex Rufer catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 77.
77' Another substitution for Wellington Phoenix FC to replace David Williams by Cillian Sheridan on 77 minute.
82' Melbourne Victory FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Wellington Phoenix FC's shape.
85' Raul Baena makes way for Carl Valeri at the 85 minute mark. A tactical switch from Melbourne Victory FC.
90' A moment of madness from Michal Kopczynski on 90 minutes earns him a Red card. Wellington Phoenix FC will be frustrated.
90' The crowd applauds Ryan Lowry as he leaves the pitch. Callan Elliot steps in for Wellington Phoenix FC.
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Melbourne Victory FC 3-1 Wellington Phoenix FC.

Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

1
Matt Acton
21
Carl Valeri ↑ 85'
7
Kenny Athiu ↑ 90'
2
Storm Roux ↑ 90'
25
Anthony Lesiotis

Coach Kevin Muscat

Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups

Starting XI

22
Andrew Durante C
5
Ryan Lowry ↓ Callan Elliot 90'
14
Alex Rufer
13
Liberato Cacace
21
Roy Krishna
27
Steven Taylor
1
Filip Kurto
15
Michal Kopczynski
11
David Williams ↓ Cillian Sheridan 77'
4
Mandi ↓ Sarpreet Singh 57'
23
Max Burgess

Bench

Coach Marko Rudan

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Ola Toivonen	5
Roy Krishna	4
Oskar Zawada	4
Nicholas D'Agostino	3
Ulises Davila	3
Walter Sandoval	3
Bruno Fornaroli	3
Kosta Barbarouses	2

Head to Head

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2019-05-03 Melbourne Victory FC 3–1 Wellington Phoenix FC W 2019-04-27 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 0–1 Melbourne Victory FC W 2019-04-19 Adelaide United FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC L 2019-04-14 Melbourne Victory FC 2–1 Central Coast Mariners FC W 2019-04-06 Sydney FC 2–1 Melbourne Victory FC L 2019-03-30 Perth Glory FC 0–2 Melbourne Victory FC W

Wellington Phoenix FC Form

2019-05-03 Melbourne Victory FC 3–1 Wellington Phoenix FC L 2019-04-28 Perth Glory FC 5–0 Wellington Phoenix FC L 2019-04-21 Wellington Phoenix FC 3–2 Melbourne City FC W 2019-04-12 Brisbane Roar FC 2–1 Wellington Phoenix FC L 2019-04-07 Adelaide United FC 3–1 Wellington Phoenix FC L 2019-03-30 Wellington Phoenix FC 4–1 Newcastle United Jets FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.61 Melbourne Victory FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.16 Wellington Phoenix FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 71% + Melbourne Victory FC to win 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne Victory FC65% Draw19% Wellington Phoenix FC16%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes63% 0% No37%

Avg goals/match: 3.77

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	89%	11%
± 2.5	71%	29%
± 3.5	51%	49%
± 4.5	32%	68%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw

84%

Draw or Wellington Phoenix FC

35%

Melbourne Victory FC or Wellington Phoenix FC

81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne Victory FC50% Draw36% Wellington Phoenix FC14%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

8.9%

2 – 0

7.9%

1 – 1

7.8%

3 – 1

Actual

3 – 0

6.7%

1 – 0

5.7%

2 – 2

5.1%

4 – 1

3 – 2

4.4%

4 – 0

4.3%

1 – 2

0 – 0

3.5%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap	Melbourne Victory FC covers	Push	Wellington Phoenix FC covers
-2.5	27%	—	73%
-2	27%	19%	54%
-1.5	46%	—	54%
-1	46%	20%	33%
-0.5	67%	—	33%
+0.5	85%	—	15%
+1	85%	9%	6%
+1.5	94%	—	6%
+2	94%	4%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

32% ✓

Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet

8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.