Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC, A League 2018-19 ELIMINATION FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC — A League .
- Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
- Wellington Phoenix FC 26 games · 33 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Kristian Griffiths-Jones
- Referee Daniel Illievski
- Referee Shaun Evans
- Referee Jonathon Barreiro
- Referee Ryan Gallagher
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United Jets FC | 26 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide United FC | 26 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory FC | 26 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City FC | 26 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix FC | 26 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners FC | 26 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory FC | 26 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar FC | 26 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | Wellington Phoenix FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 27 Apr | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | Adelaide United FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Apr | Central Coast Mariners FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Apr | Sydney FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Mar | Perth Glory FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | Melbourne Victory FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 28 Apr | Perth Glory FC | A | 0–5 | L |
| 21 Apr | Melbourne City FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 12 Apr | Brisbane Roar FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Apr | Adelaide United FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 30 Mar | Newcastle United Jets FC | H | 4–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Melbourne Victory FC | Wellington Phoenix FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #8 |
| 40 | Points | 33 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 11 / 7 / 8 | W / D / L | 9 / 6 / 11 |
| 44 | Scored | 36 |
| 33 | Conceded | 48 |
| +11 | GD | -12 |
| 1.54 | PPG | 1.27 |
| 42% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
23%
Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC this season
15%
Clean Sheets
Wellington Phoenix FC this season
Wellington Phoenix FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Wellington Phoenix FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
–/2
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Melbourne Victory FC
| Nikolaos Vergos | 7 G | 1 A |
| Clarismario | 6 G | |
| Mata | 5 G | 12 A |
| Keegan Jelacic | 5 G | 2 A |
| Charles Nduka | 5 G | 2 A |
Wellington Phoenix FC
| Ifeanyi Eze | 10 G | 1 A |
| Carlo Armiento | 5 G | 2 A |
| Corban Piper | 4 G | 4 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to that hosts another battle between Melbourne Victory FC and Wellington Phoenix FC.
- 5' Andrew Durante has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 7' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Michal Kopczynski.
- 12' It looks like no one’s ball. Wellington Phoenix FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 17' Wellington Phoenix FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 22' Keisuke Honda is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Melbourne Victory FC tonight.
- 27' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Melbourne Victory FC that had 210 games and scored 299 goals.
- 32' Melbourne Victory FC looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 3 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 37' A quiet spell here at . Melbourne Victory FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 41' The referee calls foul for David Williams. He receives a Yellow card.
- 42' Georg Niedermeier has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 42 minutes.
- 47' The 37-year-old Cillian Sheridan has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 52' With 0 assists to his name this season, Steven Taylor is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Wellington Phoenix FC.
- 53' A stunning finish from Kosta Barbarouses — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 56' Max Burgess was booked on 56.
- 57' The supporters are chanting for Sarpreet Singh. He replaces Mandi on 57 minute.
- 62' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 64' Brilliant from the ! Roy Krishna makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 64.
- 69' The travelling Wellington Phoenix FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 71' What a moment for Ola Toivonen! That strike on 71 puts his side firmly in control.
- 76' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 77' Wellington Phoenix FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 77.
- 77' Cillian Sheridan gets the nod from Wellington Phoenix FC. He replaces David Williams and will look to change the dynamic.
- 82' Wellington Phoenix FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 85' Carl Valeri is ready to make an impact after coming on for Raul Baena at the 85 minute mark.
- 90' Wellington Phoenix FC receives a Red card for a hard tackle on 90.
- 90' Callan Elliot is replacing Ryan Lowry for the Wellington Phoenix FC side.
- With this win, Melbourne Victory FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Melbourne Victory FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 11
- 20
- 14
- 6
- 8
-
9
Kosta Barbarouses ↓ Storm Roux 90'
- 5
-
15
Raul Baena ↓ Carl Valeri 85'
-
24
Elvis Kamsoba ↓ Kenny Athiu 90'
- 17
Bench
- 1
-
21
Carl Valeri ↑ 85'
-
7
Kenny Athiu ↑ 90'
-
2
Storm Roux ↑ 90'
- 25
Coach
Kevin Muscat
Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
-
5
Ryan Lowry ↓ Callan Elliot 90'
- 14
- 13
- 21
- 27
- 1
- 15
- 11
-
4
Mandi ↓ Sarpreet Singh 57'
- 23
Bench
- 20
-
18
Sarpreet Singh ↑ 57'
-
7
Cillian Sheridan ↑ 77'
- 32
-
17
Callan Elliot ↑ 90'
Coach
Marko Rudan
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ola Toivonen | 5 |
| Oskar Zawada | 4 |
| Roy Krishna | 4 |
| Nicholas D'Agostino | 3 |
| Ulises Davila | 3 |
| Walter Sandoval | 3 |
| Bruno Fornaroli | 3 |
| Damien da Silva | 2 |
Head to Head
Melbourne Victory FC Form
2019-05-03
Melbourne Victory FC
3–1
Wellington Phoenix FC
W
2019-04-27
Western Sydney Wanderers FC
0–1
Melbourne Victory FC
W
2019-04-19
Adelaide United FC
1–0
Melbourne Victory FC
L
2019-04-14
Melbourne Victory FC
2–1
Central Coast Mariners FC
W
2019-04-06
Sydney FC
2–1
Melbourne Victory FC
L
2019-03-30
Perth Glory FC
0–2
Melbourne Victory FC
W
Wellington Phoenix FC Form
2019-05-03
Melbourne Victory FC
3–1
Wellington Phoenix FC
L
2019-04-28
Perth Glory FC
5–0
Wellington Phoenix FC
L
2019-04-21
Wellington Phoenix FC
3–2
Melbourne City FC
W
2019-04-12
Brisbane Roar FC
2–1
Wellington Phoenix FC
L
2019-04-07
Adelaide United FC
3–1
Wellington Phoenix FC
L
2019-03-30
Wellington Phoenix FC
4–1
Newcastle United Jets FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.61
Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16
Wellington Phoenix FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 71% + Melbourne Victory FC to win 65%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Melbourne Victory FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.77
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 3.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 4.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
Double Chance
Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
84%
Draw or Wellington Phoenix FC
35%
Melbourne Victory FC or Wellington Phoenix FC
81%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
7.9%
1 – 1
7.8%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
6.7%
1 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
5.1%
4 – 1
5%
3 – 2
4.4%
4 – 0
4.3%
1 – 2
4%
0 – 0
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC
| Handicap | Melbourne Victory FC covers | Push | Wellington Phoenix FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -2 | 27% | 19% | 54% |
| -1.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| -1 | 46% | 20% | 33% |
| -0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +0.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 9% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

