Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC, A League 2019-20 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2019-20
Sat 14 Dec 2019 · 06:00 UTC HT 45+3' · FT 45+4'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Dec Wellington Phoenix FC H 0–0 D
08 Dec Western United FC A 1–3 L
29 Nov Perth Glory FC H 1–0 W
23 Nov Adelaide United FC A 1–3 L
17 Nov Sydney FC A 1–2 L
10 Nov Wellington Phoenix FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC Wellington Phoenix FC
#4 Position #8
40 Points 33
26 Played 26
11 / 7 / 8 W / D / L 9 / 6 / 11
44 Scored 36
33 Conceded 48
+11 GD -12
1.54 PPG 1.27
42% Win % 35%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts).

Events

Match Events

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.82 Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04 Wellington Phoenix FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Melbourne Victory FC50% Draw26% Wellington Phoenix FC24%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.86
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Wellington Phoenix FC
50%
Melbourne Victory FC or Wellington Phoenix FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Melbourne Victory FC39% Draw44% Wellington Phoenix FC17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
1 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
9.4%
0 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
5.8%
3 – 0
5.6%
1 – 2
5.4%
0 – 1
5.1%
2 – 2
4.9%
3 – 2
3.1%
0 – 2
3%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap Melbourne Victory FC covers Push Wellington Phoenix FC covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 17% 69%
-1.5 31% — 69%
-1 31% 23% 46%
-0.5 54% — 46%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 13% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
36% ✗
Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
17% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.