Thursday , 1 October 2026

Melbourne City FC vs Adelaide United FC, A League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2022-23
Sun 29 Jan 2023 · 04:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

Season Stats

Melbourne City FC Adelaide United FC
#6 Position #2
38 Points 43
26 Played 26
10 / 8 / 8 W / D / L 12 / 7 / 7
33 Scored 46
33 Conceded 36
+0 GD +10
1.46 PPG 1.65
38% Win % 46%

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Melbourne City FC are 6th (38 pts). Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at . Ninety minutes of football awaits between Melbourne City FC and Adelaide United FC.
  • 1' Against the run of play, George Blackwood has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 6' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 11' Supporters expect more eagerness from Valon Berisha, as he is very good at scoring at with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 12' Thomas Lam doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 17' What a moment for Ryan Kitto! That strike on 17 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 22' Melbourne City FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 27' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 29' A tactical swap from Adelaide United FC — Hiroshi Ibusuki on, George Blackwood off on 29 minutes.
  • 34' It looks like no one’s ball. Melbourne City FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 39' The home supporters are growing impatient. Melbourne City FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 43' What a strike from Craig Goodwin! The score is 1-3.
  • 46' Time for substitution for Melbourne City FC. Marco Tilio is replaced by Andrew Nabbout.
  • 47' Another change for Melbourne City FC made on 47 minute. Thomas Lam leaves to be changed by Nuno Reis.
  • 52' A goal from the Australia international Mathew Leckie! He fires home on 52 to make it 2-3!
  • 57' Both keepers have barely been tested. Melbourne City FC and Adelaide United FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 59' Time for substitution for Adelaide United FC. Ethan Alagich is replaced by Juande.
  • 61' Time for substitution for Melbourne City FC. Valon Berisha is replaced by Florin Berenguer.
  • 66' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 67' Jonny Yull is ready to make an impact after coming on for Juande at the 67 minute mark.
  • 72' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 77' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Melbourne City FC and Adelaide United FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 82' Isaias, a Spain , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 83' Aiden O'Neill makes way for Scott Jamieson at the 83 minute mark. A tactical switch from Melbourne City FC.
  • 88' The travelling Adelaide United FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • The final score is 3-3.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.19 Melbourne City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.67 Adelaide United FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 73% + Both teams to score 72%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Melbourne City FC49% Draw23% Adelaide United FC28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes72% 0% No28%
Avg goals/match: 3.86
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 73%
27%
± 3.5 53%
47%
± 4.5 34%
66%

Double Chance

Melbourne City FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Adelaide United FC
51%
Melbourne City FC or Adelaide United FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Melbourne City FC37% Draw38% Adelaide United FC25%
Actual: Adelaide United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted
3 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
8.5%
2 – 1
8.2%
2 – 2
6.7%
1 – 2
6.3%
3 – 1
5.9%
2 – 0
5.1%
3 – 2
4.9%
1 – 0
4.2%
2 – 3
3.8%
3 – 0
3.6%
1 – 3
3.5%
0 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne City FC

Handicap Melbourne City FC covers Push Adelaide United FC covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 15% 71%
-1.5 29% — 71%
-1 29% 19% 51%
-0.5 49% — 51%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 15% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 9% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne City FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓
Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet
12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.