Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC, A League 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2018-19
Sat 8 Dec 2018 · 08:50 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC — A League .

Match Details

  • Referee Kristian Griffiths-Jones
  • Referee Wilson Brown
  • Referee Daniel Illievski
  • Referee Shaun Evans
  • Referee Lachlan Keevers

Recent Form

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC Adelaide United FC
#4 Position #2
40 Points 43
26 Played 26
11 / 7 / 8 W / D / L 12 / 7 / 7
44 Scored 46
33 Conceded 36
+11 GD +10
1.54 PPG 1.65
42% Win % 46%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.01 Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33 Adelaide United FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 64% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Melbourne Victory FC54% Draw23% Adelaide United FC23%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.34
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Adelaide United FC
46%
Melbourne Victory FC or Adelaide United FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Melbourne Victory FC38% Draw41% Adelaide United FC21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.3%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
6.5%
3 – 1
6.1%
1 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
6.1%
0 – 0
5%
3 – 0
4.7%
3 – 2
4.1%
0 – 1
4%
0 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap Melbourne Victory FC covers Push Adelaide United FC covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 16% 69%
-1.5 31% — 69%
-1 31% 21% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 14% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✗
Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet
14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.