Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Sydney FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2018-19
Sun 25 Nov 2018 · 06:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sydney FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League .

Match Details

  • Referee Kristian Griffiths-Jones
  • Referee Peter Green
  • Referee James Tesoriero
  • Referee Stephen Lucas
  • Referee Lance Greenshields

Head-to-Head

12
2
8
Sydney FC 22 games · Avg 3.2 goals Melbourne Victory FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Nov Sydney FC A 2–1 W
11 Nov Central Coast Mariners FC H 4–1 W
03 Nov Newcastle United Jets FC A 1–0 W
28 Oct Perth Glory FC H 2–3 L
20 Oct Melbourne City FC H 1–2 L
22 Apr Adelaide United FC H 2–1 W

Season Stats

Sydney FC Melbourne Victory FC
#5 Position #4
39 Points 40
26 Played 26
11 / 6 / 9 W / D / L 11 / 7 / 8
33 Scored 44
25 Conceded 33
+8 GD +11
1.50 PPG 1.54
42% Win % 42%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
73% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Sydney FC are 5th (39 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to that hosts another battle between Sydney FC and Melbourne Victory FC.
  • 5' Melbourne Victory FC is showing some good football. However, Melbourne Victory FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 15' Sydney FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 15.
  • 20' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 23' A stunning finish from Ola Toivonen — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 28' Milos Ninkovic is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sydney FC tonight.
  • 33' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Keisuke Honda suffering a number of foals already.
  • 35' What composure from Adam Le Fondre! The England international strokes it home. 1-1.
  • 40' Carl Valeri is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sydney FC so far.
  • 45' Michael Zullo has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 50' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 55' Thomas Deng has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 60' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sydney FC and Melbourne Victory FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 61' Raul Baena has so much to prove this time. He replaces Terry Antonis on 61 minute.
  • 62' James Troisi is having his name booked by the referee on 62.
  • 67' Melbourne Victory FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 68' Melbourne Victory FC ring the changes. Ola Toivonen has done his job and it is now time for Leigh Broxham to step up.
  • 70' Jop van der Linden has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 70.
  • 71' Keisuke Honda does the damage! The net is bulging and Melbourne Victory FC surge ahead!
  • 72' Jop van der Linden picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 74' Rhyan Grant has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 74.
  • 79' Time for substitution for Sydney FC. Paulo Retre is replaced by Danny DeSilva.
  • 84' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Keisuke Honda.
  • 88' A tactical swap from Sydney FC — Aaron Calver on, Josh Brillante off on 88 minutes.
  • 90' A tactical swap from Melbourne Victory FC — Nick Ansell on, Georg Niedermeier off on 90 minutes.
  • The final score is 1-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.22 Sydney FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.35 Melbourne Victory FC xG
I would bet for: Sydney FC or Melbourne Victory FC 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sydney FC34% Draw29% Melbourne Victory FC37%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Sydney FC or Draw
63%
Draw or Melbourne Victory FC
66%
Sydney FC or Melbourne Victory FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sydney FC24% Draw48% Melbourne Victory FC28%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 0
9.7%
0 – 1
9.3%
1 – 0
8.3%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.4%
0 – 2
6.8%
2 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
5.1%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 1
3%
0 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — Sydney FC

Handicap Sydney FC covers Push Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 18% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 62% — 38%
+1 62% 20% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Sydney FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.