Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC, A League 2026 ELIMINATION FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC — A League .
- Melbourne Victory FC 4 games · 3 pts (2026/27)
- Adelaide United FC 3 games · 1 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Matthew Cream
- Referee Chris Beath
- Referee Shaun Evans
- Referee Andrew Lindsay
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wellington Phoenix FC | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Sydney FC | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Brisbane Roar FC | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Melbourne City FC | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Perth Glory FC | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 4 | 5 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 4 | 5 |
| 8 | Auckland FC | 4 | 5 |
| 9 | Melbourne Victory FC | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | Newcastle United Jets FC | 4 | 2 |
| 11 | Central Coast Mariners FC | 4 | 2 |
| 12 | Adelaide United FC | 3 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr | Adelaide United FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 24 Feb | Adelaide United FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 08 Dec | Adelaide United FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Oct | Adelaide United FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr | Melbourne Victory FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Apr | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 08 Apr | Sydney FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 30 Mar | Wellington Phoenix FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 23 Mar | Newcastle United Jets FC | H | 5–2 | W |
| 16 Mar | Melbourne City FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Melbourne Victory FC | Adelaide United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #12 |
| 3 | Points | 1 |
| 4 | Played | 3 |
| 0 / 3 / 1 | W / D / L | 0 / 1 / 2 |
| 5 | Scored | 3 |
| 6 | Conceded | 8 |
| -1 | GD | -5 |
| 0.75 | PPG | 0.33 |
| 0% | Win % | 0% |
Key Stats
64%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
H2H (25 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Adelaide United FC this season
Adelaide United FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC are 9th (3 pts). Adelaide United FC are 12th (1 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
3/1
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Adelaide United FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/4
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Melbourne Victory FC
| Keegan Jelacic | 2 G | |
| Jordi Valadon | 2 G | |
| Charles Nduka | 1 G | 2 A |
Adelaide United FC
| Brody Burkitt | 2 G |
| Joey Garuccio | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Melbourne Victory FC welcome Adelaide United FC for this crunch clash at .
- 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 10' Both keepers have barely been tested. Melbourne Victory FC and Adelaide United FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 15' Michael Marrone has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 2 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 20' It is a cagey affair so far. Melbourne Victory FC in their trying to find a way past Adelaide United FC's compact .
- 24' It’s a booking for Adelaide United FC player. Ben Garuccio gets a Yellow card.
- 29' The energy levels are beginning to show. Marco Kurz might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 34' Melbourne Victory FC have won 302 goals from 213 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 39' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 41' It’s a booking for Melbourne Victory FC player. Rhys Williams gets a Yellow card.
- 46' Melbourne Victory FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 51' Melbourne Victory FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 51.
- 56' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 57' Nikola Mileusnic adds to his 0 season tally! Adelaide United FC lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
- 62' Adelaide United FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 63' What composure from Leroy George! The Netherlands international strokes it home. 1-1.
- 65' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Papa Babacar Diawara.
- 67' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Leigh Broxham.
- 72' Ryan Kitto has so much to prove this time. He replaces Nikola Mileusnic on 72 minute.
- 77' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Besart Berisha.
- 81' A tactical swap from Adelaide United FC — Vince Lia on, Nathan Konstandopoulos off on 81 minutes.
- 82' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Vince Lia.
- 87' Adelaide United FC make a change. Papa Babacar Diawara trudges off to be replaced by George Blackwood on 87 minutes.
- 89' Besart Berisha doubles the advantage! 2-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 90' Kenny Athiu gets the nod from Melbourne Victory FC. He replaces Besart Berisha and will look to change the dynamic.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Melbourne Victory FC 2-1 Adelaide United FC.
Lineups
Melbourne Victory FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
10
James Troisi ↓ Matias Sanchez 90'
- 20
- 14
- 6
- 21
- 24
- 9
-
8
Besart Berisha ↓ Kenny Athiu 90'
- 17
- 4
- 41
Bench
- 22
- 1
-
7
Kenny Athiu ↑ 90'
-
18
Matias Sanchez ↑ 90'
-
31
Christian Theoharous ↑ 90'
Coach
Kevin Muscat
Adelaide United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 20
- 2
- 23
- 8
- 16
-
17
Nikola Mileusnic ↓ Ryan Kitto 72'
- 9
- 19
- 22
- 37
- 11
Bench
- 1
- 5
-
7
Ryan Kitto ↑ 72'
-
6
Vince Lia ↑ 81'
-
14
George Blackwood ↑ 87'
Coach
Marco Kurz
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bruno Fornaroli | 6 |
| Marco Rojas | 4 |
| Craig Goodwin | 4 |
| Stefan Mauk | 3 |
| Besart Berisha | 3 |
| Hiroshi Ibusuki | 3 |
| Leroy George | 2 |
| Daniel Arzani | 2 |
Head to Head
Melbourne Victory FC Form
Adelaide United FC Form
2018-04-22
Melbourne Victory FC
2–1
Adelaide United FC
L
2018-04-15
Western Sydney Wanderers FC
2–3
Adelaide United FC
W
2018-04-08
Sydney FC
3–0
Adelaide United FC
L
2018-03-30
Adelaide United FC
3–1
Wellington Phoenix FC
W
2018-03-23
Adelaide United FC
5–2
Newcastle United Jets FC
W
2018-03-16
Adelaide United FC
1–1
Melbourne City FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.45
Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13
Adelaide United FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Melbourne Victory FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.58
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 3.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 4.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
Double Chance
Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Adelaide United FC
39%
Melbourne Victory FC or Adelaide United FC
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
8.5%
2 – 0
8.4%
3 – 1
7.4%
3 – 0
6.7%
1 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
5.1%
4 – 1
4.6%
1 – 2
4.3%
3 – 2
4.2%
4 – 0
4.1%
0 – 0
4.1%
Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC
| Handicap | Melbourne Victory FC covers | Push | Adelaide United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -2 | 25% | 19% | 56% |
| -1.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| -1 | 44% | 21% | 35% |
| -0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +0.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 9% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

