Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC, A League 2026 ELIMINATION FINALS

A League · 2026
Sun 22 Apr 2018 · 08:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC — A League .

Match Details

  • Referee Matthew Cream
  • Referee Chris Beath
  • Referee Shaun Evans
  • Referee Andrew Lindsay

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Apr Adelaide United FC H 2–1 W
24 Feb Adelaide United FC H 3–0 W
08 Dec Adelaide United FC H 1–2 L
20 Oct Adelaide United FC A 2–2 D

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC Adelaide United FC
#4 Position #2
40 Points 43
26 Played 26
11 / 7 / 8 W / D / L 12 / 7 / 7
44 Scored 46
33 Conceded 36
+11 GD +10
1.54 PPG 1.65
42% Win % 46%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Melbourne Victory FC launch into their encounter with Adelaide United FC.
  • 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 10' Melbourne Victory FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Adelaide United FC backline.
  • 15' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Melbourne Victory FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 20' The 32-year-old Jordan Elsey has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 24' The referee shows Adelaide United FC player a Yellow card on 24.
  • 29' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Melbourne Victory FC and Adelaide United FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 34' The energy levels are beginning to show. Marco Kurz might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 39' Daniel Adlung has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 233 appearances.
  • 41' Poor challenge from Rhys Williams. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 46' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 51' Carl Valeri catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 51.
  • 56' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 57' What a strike from Nikola Mileusnic! The score is 0-1.
  • 62' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 63' Leroy George is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 65' The referee calls foul for Papa Babacar Diawara. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 67' Poor challenge from Leigh Broxham. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 72' Adelaide United FC ring the changes. Nikola Mileusnic has done his job and it is now time for Ryan Kitto to step up.
  • 77' Melbourne Victory FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 77.
  • 81' A tactical swap from Adelaide United FC — Vince Lia on, Nathan Konstandopoulos off on 81 minutes.
  • 82' It’s a booking for Adelaide United FC player. Vince Lia gets a Yellow card.
  • 87' George Blackwood has so much to prove this time. He replaces Papa Babacar Diawara on 87 minute.
  • 89' The Kosovo Besart Berisha breaks the deadlock on 89 minutes. 2-1!
  • 90' Kenny Athiu has so much to prove this time. He replaces Besart Berisha on 90 minute.
  • 2-1 the final result. Adelaide United FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.03 Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38 Adelaide United FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Melbourne Victory FC52% Draw23% Adelaide United FC25%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.41
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Adelaide United FC
48%
Melbourne Victory FC or Adelaide United FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Melbourne Victory FC38% Draw41% Adelaide United FC21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.1%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
6.8%
2 – 2
6.2%
1 – 2
6.2%
1 – 0
6.1%
3 – 1
6.1%
0 – 0
4.7%
3 – 0
4.5%
3 – 2
4.2%
0 – 1
3.9%
0 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap Melbourne Victory FC covers Push Adelaide United FC covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 16% 69%
-1.5 31% — 69%
-1 31% 21% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 14% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet
14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.