Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC, A League 2025 ELIMINATION FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC — A League .
- Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
- Adelaide United FC 26 games · 43 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Matthew Cream
- Referee Chris Beath
- Referee Shaun Evans
- Referee Andrew Lindsay
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United Jets FC | 26 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide United FC | 26 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory FC | 26 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City FC | 26 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix FC | 26 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners FC | 26 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory FC | 26 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar FC | 26 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr | Adelaide United FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 24 Feb | Adelaide United FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 08 Dec | Adelaide United FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Oct | Adelaide United FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr | Melbourne Victory FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Apr | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 08 Apr | Sydney FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 30 Mar | Wellington Phoenix FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 23 Mar | Newcastle United Jets FC | H | 5–2 | W |
| 16 Mar | Melbourne City FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Melbourne Victory FC | Adelaide United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #2 |
| 40 | Points | 43 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 11 / 7 / 8 | W / D / L | 12 / 7 / 7 |
| 44 | Scored | 46 |
| 33 | Conceded | 36 |
| +11 | GD | +10 |
| 1.54 | PPG | 1.65 |
| 42% | Win % | 46% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
23%
Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC this season
11%
Clean Sheets
Adelaide United FC this season
Adelaide United FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Adelaide United FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
4/–
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Melbourne Victory FC
| Nikolaos Vergos | 7 G | 1 A |
| Clarismario | 6 G | |
| Mata | 5 G | 12 A |
| Keegan Jelacic | 5 G | 2 A |
| Charles Nduka | 5 G | 2 A |
Adelaide United FC
| Luka Jovanovic | 11 G | 3 A |
| Johnny Yull | 4 G | 5 A |
| Ethan Alagich | 4 G | 4 A |
| Ryan Kitto | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Melbourne Victory FC to score. At the same time, Adelaide United FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 10' Adelaide United FC is showing some good football. However, Adelaide United FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 15' Melbourne Victory FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Adelaide United FC's shape.
- 20' Adelaide United FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 24' Ben Garuccio picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 29' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 34' Besart Berisha has been relatively quiet despite scoring 30 goals in his last 335 appearances.
- 39' It looks like no one’s ball. Adelaide United FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 41' A moment of madness from Rhys Williams on 41 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Melbourne Victory FC will be frustrated.
- 46' Adelaide United FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 51' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Carl Valeri.
- 56' A quiet spell here at . Adelaide United FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 57' A goal from the Australia international Nikola Mileusnic! He fires home on 57 to make it 0-1!
- 62' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Adelaide United FC that had 233 games and scored 368 goals.
- 63' GOAL! Leroy George fires home to make it 1-1!
- 65' Adelaide United FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 67' Melbourne Victory FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 72' Fresh legs for Adelaide United FC! Ryan Kitto comes on to replace Nikola Mileusnic.
- 77' Besart Berisha was booked on 77.
- 81' The Adelaide United FC bench stirs into life. Nathan Konstandopoulos is withdrawn and Vince Lia gets his opportunity.
- 82' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Vince Lia.
- 87' The whistle greets Papa Babacar Diawara as he departs to be replaced by George Blackwood.
- 89' Assisted by Kosta Barbarouses with the perfectly-timed delivery and Besart Berisha makes no mistake. 2-1!
- 90' Another change for Melbourne Victory FC made on 90 minute. Besart Berisha leaves to be changed by Kenny Athiu.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Melbourne Victory FC take all three points.
Lineups
Melbourne Victory FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
10
James Troisi ↓ Matias Sanchez 90'
- 20
- 14
- 6
- 21
- 24
- 9
-
8
Besart Berisha ↓ Kenny Athiu 90'
- 17
- 4
- 41
Bench
- 22
- 1
-
7
Kenny Athiu ↑ 90'
-
18
Matias Sanchez ↑ 90'
-
31
Christian Theoharous ↑ 90'
Coach
Kevin Muscat
Adelaide United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 20
- 2
- 23
- 8
- 16
-
17
Nikola Mileusnic ↓ Ryan Kitto 72'
- 9
- 19
- 22
- 37
- 11
Bench
- 1
- 5
-
7
Ryan Kitto ↑ 72'
-
6
Vince Lia ↑ 81'
-
14
George Blackwood ↑ 87'
Coach
Marco Kurz
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bruno Fornaroli | 6 |
| Marco Rojas | 4 |
| Craig Goodwin | 4 |
| Stefan Mauk | 3 |
| Besart Berisha | 3 |
| Hiroshi Ibusuki | 3 |
| Ola Toivonen | 2 |
| Leroy George | 2 |
Head to Head
Melbourne Victory FC Form
Adelaide United FC Form
2018-04-22
Melbourne Victory FC
2–1
Adelaide United FC
L
2018-04-15
Western Sydney Wanderers FC
2–3
Adelaide United FC
W
2018-04-08
Sydney FC
3–0
Adelaide United FC
L
2018-03-30
Adelaide United FC
3–1
Wellington Phoenix FC
W
2018-03-23
Adelaide United FC
5–2
Newcastle United Jets FC
W
2018-03-16
Adelaide United FC
1–1
Melbourne City FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.03
Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38
Adelaide United FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 65%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Melbourne Victory FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.41
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 3.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 4.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
Double Chance
Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Adelaide United FC
48%
Melbourne Victory FC or Adelaide United FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.1%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
6.8%
2 – 2
6.2%
1 – 2
6.2%
1 – 0
6.1%
3 – 1
6.1%
0 – 0
4.7%
3 – 0
4.5%
3 – 2
4.2%
0 – 1
3.9%
0 – 2
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC
| Handicap | Melbourne Victory FC covers | Push | Adelaide United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 16% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 21% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 14% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

