Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC, A League 2025 ELIMINATION FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC — A League .
- Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
- Adelaide United FC 26 games · 43 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Matthew Cream
- Referee Chris Beath
- Referee Shaun Evans
- Referee Andrew Lindsay
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United Jets FC | 26 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide United FC | 26 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory FC | 26 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City FC | 26 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix FC | 26 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners FC | 26 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory FC | 26 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar FC | 26 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr | Adelaide United FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 24 Feb | Adelaide United FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 08 Dec | Adelaide United FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Oct | Adelaide United FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr | Melbourne Victory FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Apr | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 08 Apr | Sydney FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 30 Mar | Wellington Phoenix FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 23 Mar | Newcastle United Jets FC | H | 5–2 | W |
| 16 Mar | Melbourne City FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Melbourne Victory FC | Adelaide United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #2 |
| 40 | Points | 43 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 11 / 7 / 8 | W / D / L | 12 / 7 / 7 |
| 44 | Scored | 46 |
| 33 | Conceded | 36 |
| +11 | GD | +10 |
| 1.54 | PPG | 1.65 |
| 42% | Win % | 46% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
23%
Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC this season
11%
Clean Sheets
Adelaide United FC this season
Adelaide United FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Adelaide United FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
4/–
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Melbourne Victory FC
| Nikolaos Vergos | 7 G | 1 A |
| Clarismario | 6 G | |
| Mata | 5 G | 12 A |
| Keegan Jelacic | 5 G | 2 A |
| Charles Nduka | 5 G | 2 A |
Adelaide United FC
| Luka Jovanovic | 11 G | 3 A |
| Johnny Yull | 4 G | 5 A |
| Ethan Alagich | 4 G | 4 A |
| Ryan Kitto | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Melbourne Victory FC welcome Adelaide United FC for this crunch clash at .
- 5' It looks surprising Adelaide United FC does not make any changes. Isaias has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 10' The 37-year-old Rhys Williams has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 15' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Melbourne Victory FC and Adelaide United FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 20' Adelaide United FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 3 meetings.
- 24' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Ben Garuccio.
- 29' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Leroy George made 210 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 34' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 39' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 41' Melbourne Victory FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 41.
- 46' Kosovo international Besart Berisha has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 51' Poor challenge from Carl Valeri. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 56' Adelaide United FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 57' Nikola Mileusnic puts Adelaide United FC on the lead.
- 62' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 63' Assisted by Kosta Barbarouses with the perfectly-timed delivery and Leroy George makes no mistake. 1-1!
- 65' A meaty challenge results in booking for Papa Babacar Diawara on 65.
- 67' The referee shows Melbourne Victory FC player a Yellow card on 67.
- 72' Adelaide United FC ring the changes. Nikola Mileusnic has done his job and it is now time for Ryan Kitto to step up.
- 77' Besart Berisha picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 81' The whistle greets Nathan Konstandopoulos as he departs to be replaced by Vince Lia.
- 82' Adelaide United FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 82.
- 87' George Blackwood gets the nod from Adelaide United FC. He replaces Papa Babacar Diawara and will look to change the dynamic.
- 89' Besart Berisha puts Melbourne Victory FC on the lead.
- 90' Another change for Melbourne Victory FC made on 90 minute. Besart Berisha leaves to be changed by Kenny Athiu.
- 2-1 the final result. Adelaide United FC will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Melbourne Victory FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
10
James Troisi ↓ Matias Sanchez 90'
- 20
- 14
- 6
- 21
- 24
- 9
-
8
Besart Berisha ↓ Kenny Athiu 90'
- 17
- 4
- 41
Bench
- 22
- 1
-
7
Kenny Athiu ↑ 90'
-
18
Matias Sanchez ↑ 90'
-
31
Christian Theoharous ↑ 90'
Coach
Kevin Muscat
Adelaide United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 20
- 2
- 23
- 8
- 16
-
17
Nikola Mileusnic ↓ Ryan Kitto 72'
- 9
- 19
- 22
- 37
- 11
Bench
- 1
- 5
-
7
Ryan Kitto ↑ 72'
-
6
Vince Lia ↑ 81'
-
14
George Blackwood ↑ 87'
Coach
Marco Kurz
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bruno Fornaroli | 6 |
| Marco Rojas | 4 |
| Craig Goodwin | 4 |
| Besart Berisha | 3 |
| Hiroshi Ibusuki | 3 |
| Stefan Mauk | 3 |
| Ola Toivonen | 2 |
| Leroy George | 2 |
Head to Head
Melbourne Victory FC Form
Adelaide United FC Form
2018-04-22
Melbourne Victory FC
2–1
Adelaide United FC
L
2018-04-15
Western Sydney Wanderers FC
2–3
Adelaide United FC
W
2018-04-08
Sydney FC
3–0
Adelaide United FC
L
2018-03-30
Adelaide United FC
3–1
Wellington Phoenix FC
W
2018-03-23
Adelaide United FC
5–2
Newcastle United Jets FC
W
2018-03-16
Adelaide United FC
1–1
Melbourne City FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.03
Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38
Adelaide United FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 65%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Melbourne Victory FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.41
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 3.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 4.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
Double Chance
Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Adelaide United FC
48%
Melbourne Victory FC or Adelaide United FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.1%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
6.8%
2 – 2
6.2%
1 – 2
6.2%
1 – 0
6.1%
3 – 1
6.1%
0 – 0
4.7%
3 – 0
4.5%
3 – 2
4.2%
0 – 1
3.9%
0 – 2
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC
| Handicap | Melbourne Victory FC covers | Push | Adelaide United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 16% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 21% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 14% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

