Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC, A League 2026 ELIMINATION FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC — A League .
- Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2026/27)
- Adelaide United FC 26 games · 43 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Matthew Cream
- Referee Chris Beath
- Referee Shaun Evans
- Referee Andrew Lindsay
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United Jets FC | 26 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide United FC | 26 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory FC | 26 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City FC | 26 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix FC | 26 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners FC | 26 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory FC | 26 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar FC | 26 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr | Adelaide United FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 24 Feb | Adelaide United FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 08 Dec | Adelaide United FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Oct | Adelaide United FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr | Melbourne Victory FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Apr | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 08 Apr | Sydney FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 30 Mar | Wellington Phoenix FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 23 Mar | Newcastle United Jets FC | H | 5–2 | W |
| 16 Mar | Melbourne City FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Melbourne Victory FC | Adelaide United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #2 |
| 40 | Points | 43 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 11 / 7 / 8 | W / D / L | 12 / 7 / 7 |
| 44 | Scored | 46 |
| 33 | Conceded | 36 |
| +11 | GD | +10 |
| 1.54 | PPG | 1.65 |
| 42% | Win % | 46% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Melbourne Victory FC launch into their encounter with Adelaide United FC.
- 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 10' Melbourne Victory FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Adelaide United FC backline.
- 15' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Melbourne Victory FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 20' The 32-year-old Jordan Elsey has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 24' The referee shows Adelaide United FC player a Yellow card on 24.
- 29' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Melbourne Victory FC and Adelaide United FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 34' The energy levels are beginning to show. Marco Kurz might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 39' Daniel Adlung has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 233 appearances.
- 41' Poor challenge from Rhys Williams. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 46' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 51' Carl Valeri catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 51.
- 56' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 57' What a strike from Nikola Mileusnic! The score is 0-1.
- 62' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 63' Leroy George is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 65' The referee calls foul for Papa Babacar Diawara. He receives a Yellow card.
- 67' Poor challenge from Leigh Broxham. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 72' Adelaide United FC ring the changes. Nikola Mileusnic has done his job and it is now time for Ryan Kitto to step up.
- 77' Melbourne Victory FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 77.
- 81' A tactical swap from Adelaide United FC — Vince Lia on, Nathan Konstandopoulos off on 81 minutes.
- 82' It’s a booking for Adelaide United FC player. Vince Lia gets a Yellow card.
- 87' George Blackwood has so much to prove this time. He replaces Papa Babacar Diawara on 87 minute.
- 89' The Kosovo Besart Berisha breaks the deadlock on 89 minutes. 2-1!
- 90' Kenny Athiu has so much to prove this time. He replaces Besart Berisha on 90 minute.
- 2-1 the final result. Adelaide United FC will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Melbourne Victory FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
10
James Troisi ↓ Matias Sanchez 90'
- 20
- 14
- 6
- 21
- 24
- 9
-
8
Besart Berisha ↓ Kenny Athiu 90'
- 17
- 4
- 41
Bench
- 22
- 1
-
7
Kenny Athiu ↑ 90'
-
18
Matias Sanchez ↑ 90'
-
31
Christian Theoharous ↑ 90'
Coach
Kevin Muscat
Adelaide United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 20
- 2
- 23
- 8
- 16
-
17
Nikola Mileusnic ↓ Ryan Kitto 72'
- 9
- 19
- 22
- 37
- 11
Bench
- 1
- 5
-
7
Ryan Kitto ↑ 72'
-
6
Vince Lia ↑ 81'
-
14
George Blackwood ↑ 87'
Coach
Marco Kurz
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bruno Fornaroli | 6 |
| Craig Goodwin | 4 |
| Marco Rojas | 4 |
| Besart Berisha | 3 |
| Hiroshi Ibusuki | 3 |
| Stefan Mauk | 3 |
| Leroy George | 2 |
| Daniel Arzani | 2 |
Head to Head
Melbourne Victory FC Form
Adelaide United FC Form
2018-04-22
Melbourne Victory FC
2–1
Adelaide United FC
L
2018-04-15
Western Sydney Wanderers FC
2–3
Adelaide United FC
W
2018-04-08
Sydney FC
3–0
Adelaide United FC
L
2018-03-30
Adelaide United FC
3–1
Wellington Phoenix FC
W
2018-03-23
Adelaide United FC
5–2
Newcastle United Jets FC
W
2018-03-16
Adelaide United FC
1–1
Melbourne City FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.03
Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38
Adelaide United FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 65%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Melbourne Victory FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.41
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 3.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 4.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
Double Chance
Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Adelaide United FC
48%
Melbourne Victory FC or Adelaide United FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.1%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
6.8%
2 – 2
6.2%
1 – 2
6.2%
1 – 0
6.1%
3 – 1
6.1%
0 – 0
4.7%
3 – 0
4.5%
3 – 2
4.2%
0 – 1
3.9%
0 – 2
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC
| Handicap | Melbourne Victory FC covers | Push | Adelaide United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 16% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 21% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 14% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

