Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC, A League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC — A League .
- Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
- Adelaide United FC 26 games · 43 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Kurt Ams
- Referee Wilson Brown
- Referee Jack Morgan
- Referee George Lakrindis
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United Jets FC | 26 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide United FC | 26 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory FC | 26 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City FC | 26 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix FC | 26 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners FC | 26 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory FC | 26 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar FC | 26 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec | Adelaide United FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Oct | Adelaide United FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec | Melbourne Victory FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Dec | Sydney FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Nov | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Nov | Central Coast Mariners FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Nov | Newcastle United Jets FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Nov | Perth Glory FC | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Melbourne Victory FC | Adelaide United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #2 |
| 40 | Points | 43 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 11 / 7 / 8 | W / D / L | 12 / 7 / 7 |
| 44 | Scored | 46 |
| 33 | Conceded | 36 |
| +11 | GD | +10 |
| 1.54 | PPG | 1.65 |
| 42% | Win % | 46% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
23%
Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC this season
11%
Clean Sheets
Adelaide United FC this season
Adelaide United FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Adelaide United FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
4/–
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Melbourne Victory FC
| Nikolaos Vergos | 7 G | 1 A |
| Clarismario | 6 G | |
| Mata | 5 G | 12 A |
| Keegan Jelacic | 5 G | 2 A |
| Charles Nduka | 5 G | 2 A |
Adelaide United FC
| Luka Jovanovic | 11 G | 3 A |
| Johnny Yull | 4 G | 5 A |
| Ethan Alagich | 4 G | 4 A |
| Ryan Kitto | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Melbourne Victory FC have kicked off against Adelaide United FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' Adelaide United FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 10' Adelaide United FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 15' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 17' Adelaide United FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Papa Babacar Diawara on 17.
- 22' Adelaide United FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 22.
- 27' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 27 minutes.
- 32' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 37' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 38' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Daniel Adlung.
- 43' The 31-year-old Paul Izzo has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 44' Adelaide United FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 49' Melbourne Victory FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Adelaide United FC's shape.
- 54' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Ersan Adem Gulum.
- 56' A goal from the Australia international Mark Milligan! He fires home on 56 to make it 1-1!
- 59' It’s a booking for Melbourne Victory FC player. Jason Geria gets a Yellow card.
- 64' The energy levels are beginning to show. Marco Kurz might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 68' Papa Babacar Diawara makes way for George Blackwood at the 68 minute mark. A tactical switch from Adelaide United FC.
- 70' The Melbourne Victory FC bench stirs into life. Mark Milligan is withdrawn and Matias Sanchez gets his opportunity.
- 72' Against the run of play, George Blackwood has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 74' Adelaide United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Michael Marrone is hanging Ryan Strain on the field on 74 minute.
- 79' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 80' A change in the Melbourne Victory FC ranks — Kosta Barbarouses exits the field as Jai Ingham enters on 80.
- 82' Daniel Adlung has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Red card on 82.
- 87' Ben Garuccio has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Red card on 87.
- Game over. The scoreline of 1-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Melbourne Victory FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
22
Stefan Nigro ↓ Leigh Broxham 80'
- 10
- 20
- 14
- 21
-
9
Kosta Barbarouses ↓ Jai Ingham 80'
-
5
Mark Milligan ↓ Matias Sanchez 70'
- 8
- 4
- 41
- 2
Bench
- 1
-
6
Leigh Broxham ↑ 80'
-
23
Jai Ingham ↑ 80'
- 7
-
18
Matias Sanchez ↑ 70'
Coach
Kevin Muscat
Adelaide United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 20
- 23
- 8
- 7
- 16
-
29
Ryan Strain ↓ Michael Marrone 74'
-
17
Nikola Mileusnic ↓ Mark Ochieng 74'
- 9
- 19
- 22
- 37
Bench
- 1
-
2
Michael Marrone ↑ 74'
- 6
-
14
George Blackwood ↑ 68'
-
12
Mark Ochieng ↑ 74'
Coach
Marco Kurz
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bruno Fornaroli | 6 |
| Marco Rojas | 4 |
| Craig Goodwin | 4 |
| Stefan Mauk | 3 |
| Besart Berisha | 3 |
| Hiroshi Ibusuki | 3 |
| Vince Lia | 2 |
| Ola Toivonen | 2 |
Head to Head
Melbourne Victory FC Form
Adelaide United FC Form
2017-12-08
Melbourne Victory FC
1–2
Adelaide United FC
W
2017-12-01
Adelaide United FC
0–1
Sydney FC
L
2017-11-26
Adelaide United FC
2–0
Western Sydney Wanderers FC
W
2017-11-16
Central Coast Mariners FC
1–2
Adelaide United FC
W
2017-11-11
Adelaide United FC
1–2
Newcastle United Jets FC
L
2017-11-04
Perth Glory FC
1–0
Adelaide United FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.56
Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.72
Adelaide United FC xG
I would bet for:
Melbourne Victory FC or Adelaide United FC 74% + Both teams to score 65%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Adelaide United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.28
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 3.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
61%
Draw or Adelaide United FC
65%
Melbourne Victory FC or Adelaide United FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Adelaide United FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.6%
2 – 2
6.5%
0 – 1
5.7%
0 – 2
5.5%
0 – 0
5.3%
1 – 0
5.1%
1 – 3
4.8%
2 – 0
4.6%
3 – 1
3.9%
2 – 3
3.8%
Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC
| Handicap | Melbourne Victory FC covers | Push | Adelaide United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 10% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 17% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 19% | 22% |
| +1.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +2 | 78% | 12% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

