Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC, A League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC — A League .
- Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
- Adelaide United FC 26 games · 43 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Kurt Ams
- Referee Wilson Brown
- Referee Jack Morgan
- Referee George Lakrindis
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United Jets FC | 26 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide United FC | 26 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory FC | 26 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City FC | 26 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix FC | 26 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners FC | 26 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory FC | 26 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar FC | 26 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec | Adelaide United FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Oct | Adelaide United FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec | Melbourne Victory FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Dec | Sydney FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Nov | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Nov | Central Coast Mariners FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Nov | Newcastle United Jets FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Nov | Perth Glory FC | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Melbourne Victory FC | Adelaide United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #2 |
| 40 | Points | 43 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 11 / 7 / 8 | W / D / L | 12 / 7 / 7 |
| 44 | Scored | 46 |
| 33 | Conceded | 36 |
| +11 | GD | +10 |
| 1.54 | PPG | 1.65 |
| 42% | Win % | 46% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
23%
Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC this season
11%
Clean Sheets
Adelaide United FC this season
Adelaide United FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Adelaide United FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
4/–
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Melbourne Victory FC
| Nikolaos Vergos | 7 G | 1 A |
| Clarismario | 6 G | |
| Mata | 5 G | 12 A |
| Keegan Jelacic | 5 G | 2 A |
| Charles Nduka | 5 G | 2 A |
Adelaide United FC
| Luka Jovanovic | 11 G | 3 A |
| Johnny Yull | 4 G | 5 A |
| Ethan Alagich | 4 G | 4 A |
| Ryan Kitto | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Melbourne Victory FC have kicked off against Adelaide United FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' A quiet spell here at . Adelaide United FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 10' Adelaide United FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 3 meetings.
- 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 17' Papa Babacar Diawara does the damage! The net is bulging and Adelaide United FC surge ahead!
- 22' Adelaide United FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 3 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 27' It looks surprising Melbourne Victory FC does not make any changes. Isaias has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 32' Nikola Mileusnic has been relatively quiet despite scoring 23 goals in his last 233 appearances.
- 37' Besart Berisha has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 38' A moment of madness from Daniel Adlung on 38 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Adelaide United FC will be frustrated.
- 43' Melbourne Victory FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 43.
- 44' Ben Garuccio has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 44.
- 49' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 54' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Ersan Adem Gulum.
- 56' A goal from the Australia international Mark Milligan! He fires home on 56 to make it 1-1!
- 59' Melbourne Victory FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 64' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Melbourne Victory FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 68' George Blackwood has so much to prove this time. He replaces Papa Babacar Diawara on 68 minute.
- 70' Melbourne Victory FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Matias Sanchez is hanging Mark Milligan on the field on 70 minute.
- 72' The deadlock is broken! George Blackwood gets on the scoresheet on 72 minutes.
- 74' A change in the Adelaide United FC ranks — Ryan Strain exits the field as Michael Marrone enters on 74.
- 79' Both keepers have barely been tested. Melbourne Victory FC and Adelaide United FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 80' A change in the Melbourne Victory FC ranks — Kosta Barbarouses exits the field as Jai Ingham enters on 80.
- 82' Daniel Adlung was booked on 82.
- 87' The referee shows Adelaide United FC player a Red card on 87.
- Full Time. Adelaide United FC beats Melbourne Victory FC
Lineups
Melbourne Victory FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
22
Stefan Nigro ↓ Leigh Broxham 80'
- 10
- 20
- 14
- 21
-
9
Kosta Barbarouses ↓ Jai Ingham 80'
-
5
Mark Milligan ↓ Matias Sanchez 70'
- 8
- 4
- 41
- 2
Bench
- 1
-
6
Leigh Broxham ↑ 80'
-
23
Jai Ingham ↑ 80'
- 7
-
18
Matias Sanchez ↑ 70'
Coach
Kevin Muscat
Adelaide United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 20
- 23
- 8
- 7
- 16
-
29
Ryan Strain ↓ Michael Marrone 74'
-
17
Nikola Mileusnic ↓ Mark Ochieng 74'
- 9
- 19
- 22
- 37
Bench
- 1
-
2
Michael Marrone ↑ 74'
- 6
-
14
George Blackwood ↑ 68'
-
12
Mark Ochieng ↑ 74'
Coach
Marco Kurz
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bruno Fornaroli | 6 |
| Marco Rojas | 4 |
| Craig Goodwin | 4 |
| Besart Berisha | 3 |
| Hiroshi Ibusuki | 3 |
| Stefan Mauk | 3 |
| Ola Toivonen | 2 |
| Leroy George | 2 |
Head to Head
Melbourne Victory FC Form
Adelaide United FC Form
2017-12-08
Melbourne Victory FC
1–2
Adelaide United FC
W
2017-12-01
Adelaide United FC
0–1
Sydney FC
L
2017-11-26
Adelaide United FC
2–0
Western Sydney Wanderers FC
W
2017-11-16
Central Coast Mariners FC
1–2
Adelaide United FC
W
2017-11-11
Adelaide United FC
1–2
Newcastle United Jets FC
L
2017-11-04
Perth Glory FC
1–0
Adelaide United FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.56
Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.72
Adelaide United FC xG
I would bet for:
Melbourne Victory FC or Adelaide United FC 74% + Both teams to score 65%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Adelaide United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.28
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 3.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
61%
Draw or Adelaide United FC
65%
Melbourne Victory FC or Adelaide United FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Adelaide United FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.6%
2 – 2
6.5%
0 – 1
5.7%
0 – 2
5.5%
0 – 0
5.3%
1 – 0
5.1%
1 – 3
4.8%
2 – 0
4.6%
3 – 1
3.9%
2 – 3
3.8%
Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC
| Handicap | Melbourne Victory FC covers | Push | Adelaide United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 10% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 17% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 19% | 22% |
| +1.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +2 | 78% | 12% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.