Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC, A League 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC — A League .
- Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2026/27)
- Adelaide United FC 26 games · 43 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Kurt Ams
- Referee Wilson Brown
- Referee Jack Morgan
- Referee George Lakrindis
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United Jets FC | 26 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide United FC | 26 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory FC | 26 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City FC | 26 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix FC | 26 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners FC | 26 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory FC | 26 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar FC | 26 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec | Adelaide United FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Oct | Adelaide United FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec | Melbourne Victory FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Dec | Sydney FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Nov | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Nov | Central Coast Mariners FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Nov | Newcastle United Jets FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Nov | Perth Glory FC | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Melbourne Victory FC | Adelaide United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #2 |
| 40 | Points | 43 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 11 / 7 / 8 | W / D / L | 12 / 7 / 7 |
| 44 | Scored | 46 |
| 33 | Conceded | 36 |
| +11 | GD | +10 |
| 1.54 | PPG | 1.65 |
| 42% | Win % | 46% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Melbourne Victory FC gets underway.
- 5' Adelaide United FC have won 368 goals from 233 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 10' Adelaide United FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 3 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 15' Melbourne Victory FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Adelaide United FC backline.
- 17' Papa Babacar Diawara is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 7 goals this season for the .
- 22' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 27' Melbourne Victory FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Adelaide United FC's shape.
- 32' A quiet spell here at . Adelaide United FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 37' Adelaide United FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 38' A moment of madness from Daniel Adlung on 38 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Adelaide United FC will be frustrated.
- 43' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 44' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Ben Garuccio on 44 minutes.
- 49' Adelaide United FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 49.
- 54' Ersan Adem Gulum picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 56' A goal from the Australia international Mark Milligan! He fires home on 56 to make it 1-1!
- 59' Jason Geria is having his name booked by the referee on 59.
- 64' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 68' Adelaide United FC ring the changes. Papa Babacar Diawara has done his job and it is now time for George Blackwood to step up.
- 70' Matias Sanchez has so much to prove this time. He replaces Mark Milligan on 70 minute.
- 72' George Blackwood has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 72 minutes.
- 74' The Adelaide United FC manager makes a substitution. Ryan Strain departs to be replaced by Michael Marrone.
- 79' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 80' Jai Ingham has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kosta Barbarouses on 80 minute.
- 82' Controversy at the stadium! Daniel Adlung argues furiously but the Red card stands.
- 87' Controversy at the stadium! Ben Garuccio argues furiously but the Red card stands.
- Full Time. Adelaide United FC beats Melbourne Victory FC
Lineups
Melbourne Victory FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
22
Stefan Nigro ↓ Leigh Broxham 80'
- 10
- 20
- 14
- 21
-
9
Kosta Barbarouses ↓ Jai Ingham 80'
-
5
Mark Milligan ↓ Matias Sanchez 70'
- 8
- 4
- 41
- 2
Bench
- 1
-
6
Leigh Broxham ↑ 80'
-
23
Jai Ingham ↑ 80'
- 7
-
18
Matias Sanchez ↑ 70'
Coach
Kevin Muscat
Adelaide United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 20
- 23
- 8
- 7
- 16
-
29
Ryan Strain ↓ Michael Marrone 74'
-
17
Nikola Mileusnic ↓ Mark Ochieng 74'
- 9
- 19
- 22
- 37
Bench
- 1
-
2
Michael Marrone ↑ 74'
- 6
-
14
George Blackwood ↑ 68'
-
12
Mark Ochieng ↑ 74'
Coach
Marco Kurz
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bruno Fornaroli | 6 |
| Marco Rojas | 4 |
| Craig Goodwin | 4 |
| Stefan Mauk | 3 |
| Besart Berisha | 3 |
| Hiroshi Ibusuki | 3 |
| Riley McGree | 2 |
| Nikolaos Vergos | 2 |
Head to Head
Melbourne Victory FC Form
Adelaide United FC Form
2017-12-08
Melbourne Victory FC
1–2
Adelaide United FC
W
2017-12-01
Adelaide United FC
0–1
Sydney FC
L
2017-11-26
Adelaide United FC
2–0
Western Sydney Wanderers FC
W
2017-11-16
Central Coast Mariners FC
1–2
Adelaide United FC
W
2017-11-11
Adelaide United FC
1–2
Newcastle United Jets FC
L
2017-11-04
Perth Glory FC
1–0
Adelaide United FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.56
Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.72
Adelaide United FC xG
I would bet for:
Melbourne Victory FC or Adelaide United FC 74% + Both teams to score 65%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Adelaide United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.28
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 3.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
61%
Draw or Adelaide United FC
65%
Melbourne Victory FC or Adelaide United FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Adelaide United FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.6%
2 – 2
6.5%
0 – 1
5.7%
0 – 2
5.5%
0 – 0
5.3%
1 – 0
5.1%
1 – 3
4.8%
2 – 0
4.6%
3 – 1
3.9%
2 – 3
3.8%
Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC
| Handicap | Melbourne Victory FC covers | Push | Adelaide United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 10% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 17% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 19% | 22% |
| +1.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +2 | 78% | 12% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

