Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC, A League 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC — A League .
- Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2026/27)
- Adelaide United FC 26 games · 43 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Daniel Illievski
- Referee Alex King
- Referee Lachlan Keevers
- Referee George Lakrindis
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United Jets FC | 26 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide United FC | 26 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory FC | 26 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City FC | 26 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix FC | 26 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners FC | 26 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory FC | 26 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar FC | 26 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb | Adelaide United FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 08 Dec | Adelaide United FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Oct | Adelaide United FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb | Melbourne Victory FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 17 Feb | Central Coast Mariners FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 03 Feb | Perth Glory FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Jan | Wellington Phoenix FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Jan | Melbourne City FC | A | 0–5 | L |
| 14 Jan | Sydney FC | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Melbourne Victory FC | Adelaide United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #2 |
| 40 | Points | 43 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 11 / 7 / 8 | W / D / L | 12 / 7 / 7 |
| 44 | Scored | 46 |
| 33 | Conceded | 36 |
| +11 | GD | +10 |
| 1.54 | PPG | 1.65 |
| 42% | Win % | 46% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Melbourne Victory FC and Adelaide United FC get this one started.
- 5' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Melbourne Victory FC and Adelaide United FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 10' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Melbourne Victory FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 14' Poor challenge from Jordan O'Doherty. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 19' Melbourne Victory FC is showing some good football. However, Melbourne Victory FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 22' What composure from Taylor Regan! The Australia international strokes it home. 0-1.
- 27' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 29' Against the run of play, Leroy George has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 34' Kosta Barbarouses has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 35' Poor challenge from Matias Sanchez. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 40' A quiet spell here at . Melbourne Victory FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 45' It is a cagey affair so far. Melbourne Victory FC in their trying to find a way past Adelaide United FC's compact .
- 46' It is a substitution in Adelaide United FC team. Ryan Kitto is replaced by Dzengis Cavusevic on 46 minute.
- 51' Matias Sanchez is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Adelaide United FC so far.
- 55' A meaty challenge results in booking for Dzengis Cavusevic on 55.
- 59' Besart Berisha is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 62' Nathan Konstandopoulos is replacing Daniel Adlung for the Adelaide United FC side.
- 64' Jason Geria is having his name booked by the referee on 64.
- 69' It looks surprising Melbourne Victory FC does not make any changes. Jason Geria has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 70' The crowd applauds Nikola Mileusnic as he leaves the pitch. Michael Marrone steps in for Adelaide United FC.
- 73' Melbourne Victory FC ring the changes. Thomas Deng has done his job and it is now time for James Donachie to step up.
- 78' That is a Yellow card for Adelaide United FC. Taylor Regan will be fuming at that decision.
- 80' Fresh legs for Melbourne Victory FC! Christian Theoharous comes on to replace Leroy George.
- 85' Adelaide United FC have won 368 goals from 233 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 86' Pierce Waring has so much to prove this time. He replaces Besart Berisha on 86 minute.
- Melbourne Victory FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Melbourne Victory FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 20
-
14
Thomas Deng ↓ James Donachie 73'
- 6
- 24
- 9
-
8
Besart Berisha ↓ Pierce Waring 86'
- 18
- 4
- 41
- 2
Bench
- 1
- 21
-
19
Pierce Waring ↑ 86'
-
17
James Donachie ↑ 73'
-
31
Christian Theoharous ↑ 80'
Coach
Kevin Muscat
Adelaide United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 24
- 20
- 23
- 5
- 8
-
7
Ryan Kitto ↓ Dzengis Cavusevic 46'
- 29
- 17
- 14
- 19
- 37
Bench
- 1
-
2
Michael Marrone ↑ 70'
-
16
Nathan Konstandopoulos ↑ 62'
- 11
-
77
Dzengis Cavusevic ↑ 46'
Coach
Marco Kurz
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bruno Fornaroli | 6 |
| Marco Rojas | 4 |
| Craig Goodwin | 4 |
| Stefan Mauk | 3 |
| Besart Berisha | 3 |
| Hiroshi Ibusuki | 3 |
| Ola Toivonen | 2 |
| Leroy George | 2 |
Head to Head
Melbourne Victory FC Form
Adelaide United FC Form
2018-02-24
Melbourne Victory FC
3–0
Adelaide United FC
L
2018-02-17
Adelaide United FC
2–2
Central Coast Mariners FC
D
2018-02-03
Adelaide United FC
2–1
Perth Glory FC
W
2018-01-27
Wellington Phoenix FC
0–1
Adelaide United FC
W
2018-01-21
Melbourne City FC
5–0
Adelaide United FC
L
2018-01-14
Adelaide United FC
0–0
Sydney FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.09
Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.21
Adelaide United FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Melbourne Victory FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.3
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 3.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Adelaide United FC
46%
Melbourne Victory FC or Adelaide United FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.1%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
8%
1 – 0
7.1%
3 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
5.1%
3 – 2
4%
0 – 1
3.8%
4 – 1
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC
| Handicap | Melbourne Victory FC covers | Push | Adelaide United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 17% | 65% |
| -1.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| -1 | 35% | 22% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 12% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
30%
✗
Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.