Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC, A League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC — A League .
- Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
- Adelaide United FC 26 games · 43 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Daniel Illievski
- Referee Alex King
- Referee Lachlan Keevers
- Referee George Lakrindis
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United Jets FC | 26 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide United FC | 26 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory FC | 26 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City FC | 26 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix FC | 26 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners FC | 26 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory FC | 26 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar FC | 26 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb | Adelaide United FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 08 Dec | Adelaide United FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Oct | Adelaide United FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb | Melbourne Victory FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 17 Feb | Central Coast Mariners FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 03 Feb | Perth Glory FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Jan | Wellington Phoenix FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Jan | Melbourne City FC | A | 0–5 | L |
| 14 Jan | Sydney FC | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Melbourne Victory FC | Adelaide United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #2 |
| 40 | Points | 43 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 11 / 7 / 8 | W / D / L | 12 / 7 / 7 |
| 44 | Scored | 46 |
| 33 | Conceded | 36 |
| +11 | GD | +10 |
| 1.54 | PPG | 1.65 |
| 42% | Win % | 46% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
23%
Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC this season
11%
Clean Sheets
Adelaide United FC this season
Adelaide United FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Adelaide United FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
4/–
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Melbourne Victory FC
| Nikolaos Vergos | 7 G | 1 A |
| Clarismario | 6 G | |
| Mata | 5 G | 12 A |
| Keegan Jelacic | 5 G | 2 A |
| Charles Nduka | 5 G | 2 A |
Adelaide United FC
| Luka Jovanovic | 11 G | 3 A |
| Johnny Yull | 4 G | 5 A |
| Ethan Alagich | 4 G | 4 A |
| Ryan Kitto | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Melbourne Victory FC is hosting Adelaide United FC for another epic battle.
- 5' Melbourne Victory FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Melbourne Victory FC that had 210 games and scored 299 goals.
- 14' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Jordan O'Doherty.
- 19' Michael Marrone needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 22' A stunning finish from Taylor Regan — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 27' A quiet spell here at . Melbourne Victory FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 29' Goal! Leroy George scores his 2 goal in 210 matches.
- 34' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Kevin Muscat will be considering his options from the bench.
- 35' Matias Sanchez catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 35.
- 40' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 45' The home supporters are growing impatient. Melbourne Victory FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 46' It is a substitution in Adelaide United FC team. Ryan Kitto is replaced by Dzengis Cavusevic on 46 minute.
- 51' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for George Blackwood suffering a number of foals already.
- 55' Adelaide United FC player sees a Red card in front of him.
- 59' Goal! Besart Berisha scores his 30 goal in 335 matches.
- 62' Another change for Adelaide United FC made on 62 minute. Daniel Adlung leaves to be changed by Nathan Konstandopoulos.
- 64' The referee shows Melbourne Victory FC player a Yellow card on 64.
- 69' It is a cagey affair so far. Melbourne Victory FC in their trying to find a way past Adelaide United FC's compact .
- 70' Michael Marrone is replacing Nikola Mileusnic for the Adelaide United FC side.
- 73' A change in the Melbourne Victory FC ranks — Thomas Deng exits the field as James Donachie enters on 73.
- 78' Controversy at the stadium! Taylor Regan argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 80' The Melbourne Victory FC bench stirs into life. Leroy George is withdrawn and Christian Theoharous gets his opportunity.
- 85' James Troisi is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Melbourne Victory FC so far.
- 86' Pierce Waring is ready to make an impact after coming on for Besart Berisha at the 86 minute mark.
- Another three points for Melbourne Victory FC.
Lineups
Melbourne Victory FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 20
-
14
Thomas Deng ↓ James Donachie 73'
- 6
- 24
- 9
-
8
Besart Berisha ↓ Pierce Waring 86'
- 18
- 4
- 41
- 2
Bench
- 1
- 21
-
19
Pierce Waring ↑ 86'
-
17
James Donachie ↑ 73'
-
31
Christian Theoharous ↑ 80'
Coach
Kevin Muscat
Adelaide United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 24
- 20
- 23
- 5
- 8
-
7
Ryan Kitto ↓ Dzengis Cavusevic 46'
- 29
- 17
- 14
- 19
- 37
Bench
- 1
-
2
Michael Marrone ↑ 70'
-
16
Nathan Konstandopoulos ↑ 62'
- 11
-
77
Dzengis Cavusevic ↑ 46'
Coach
Marco Kurz
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bruno Fornaroli | 6 |
| Craig Goodwin | 4 |
| Marco Rojas | 4 |
| Besart Berisha | 3 |
| Hiroshi Ibusuki | 3 |
| Stefan Mauk | 3 |
| Leroy George | 2 |
| Daniel Arzani | 2 |
Head to Head
Melbourne Victory FC Form
Adelaide United FC Form
2018-02-24
Melbourne Victory FC
3–0
Adelaide United FC
L
2018-02-17
Adelaide United FC
2–2
Central Coast Mariners FC
D
2018-02-03
Adelaide United FC
2–1
Perth Glory FC
W
2018-01-27
Wellington Phoenix FC
0–1
Adelaide United FC
W
2018-01-21
Melbourne City FC
5–0
Adelaide United FC
L
2018-01-14
Adelaide United FC
0–0
Sydney FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.09
Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.21
Adelaide United FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Melbourne Victory FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.3
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 3.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Adelaide United FC
46%
Melbourne Victory FC or Adelaide United FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.1%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
8%
1 – 0
7.1%
3 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
5.1%
3 – 2
4%
0 – 1
3.8%
4 – 1
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC
| Handicap | Melbourne Victory FC covers | Push | Adelaide United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 17% | 65% |
| -1.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| -1 | 35% | 22% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 12% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
30%
✗
Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

