Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC, A League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC — A League .
- Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
- Adelaide United FC 26 games · 43 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Daniel Illievski
- Referee Alex King
- Referee Lachlan Keevers
- Referee George Lakrindis
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United Jets FC | 26 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide United FC | 26 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory FC | 26 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City FC | 26 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix FC | 26 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners FC | 26 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory FC | 26 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar FC | 26 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb | Adelaide United FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 08 Dec | Adelaide United FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Oct | Adelaide United FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb | Melbourne Victory FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 17 Feb | Central Coast Mariners FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 03 Feb | Perth Glory FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Jan | Wellington Phoenix FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Jan | Melbourne City FC | A | 0–5 | L |
| 14 Jan | Sydney FC | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Melbourne Victory FC | Adelaide United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #2 |
| 40 | Points | 43 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 11 / 7 / 8 | W / D / L | 12 / 7 / 7 |
| 44 | Scored | 46 |
| 33 | Conceded | 36 |
| +11 | GD | +10 |
| 1.54 | PPG | 1.65 |
| 42% | Win % | 46% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
23%
Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC this season
11%
Clean Sheets
Adelaide United FC this season
Adelaide United FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Adelaide United FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
4/–
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Melbourne Victory FC
| Nikolaos Vergos | 7 G | 1 A |
| Clarismario | 6 G | |
| Mata | 5 G | 12 A |
| Keegan Jelacic | 5 G | 2 A |
| Charles Nduka | 5 G | 2 A |
Adelaide United FC
| Luka Jovanovic | 11 G | 3 A |
| Johnny Yull | 4 G | 5 A |
| Ethan Alagich | 4 G | 4 A |
| Ryan Kitto | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Melbourne Victory FC and Adelaide United FC has kicked off!
- 5' Adelaide United FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 14' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jordan O'Doherty on 14.
- 19' The travelling Adelaide United FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 22' A goal from the Australia international Taylor Regan! He fires home on 22 to make it 0-1!
- 27' Australia international Jason Geria has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 29' Leroy George doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 34' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Adelaide United FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 35' Matias Sanchez is having his name booked by the referee on 35.
- 40' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 45' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 46' Adelaide United FC make a change. Ryan Kitto trudges off to be replaced by Dzengis Cavusevic on 46 minutes.
- 51' Melbourne Victory FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 55' It’s a booking for Adelaide United FC player. Dzengis Cavusevic gets a Red card.
- 59' Brilliant from the ! Besart Berisha makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 59.
- 62' Another substitution for Adelaide United FC to replace Daniel Adlung by Nathan Konstandopoulos on 62 minute.
- 64' The referee shows Melbourne Victory FC player a Yellow card on 64.
- 69' Daniel Adlung has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 70' Adelaide United FC make a change. Nikola Mileusnic trudges off to be replaced by Michael Marrone on 70 minutes.
- 73' James Donachie is replacing Thomas Deng for the Melbourne Victory FC side.
- 78' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Taylor Regan.
- 80' Christian Theoharous gets the nod from Melbourne Victory FC. He replaces Leroy George and will look to change the dynamic.
- 85' Ryan Kitto, a Australia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 86' Besart Berisha makes way for Pierce Waring at the 86 minute mark. A tactical switch from Melbourne Victory FC.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-0.
Lineups
Melbourne Victory FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 20
-
14
Thomas Deng ↓ James Donachie 73'
- 6
- 24
- 9
-
8
Besart Berisha ↓ Pierce Waring 86'
- 18
- 4
- 41
- 2
Bench
- 1
- 21
-
19
Pierce Waring ↑ 86'
-
17
James Donachie ↑ 73'
-
31
Christian Theoharous ↑ 80'
Coach
Kevin Muscat
Adelaide United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 24
- 20
- 23
- 5
- 8
-
7
Ryan Kitto ↓ Dzengis Cavusevic 46'
- 29
- 17
- 14
- 19
- 37
Bench
- 1
-
2
Michael Marrone ↑ 70'
-
16
Nathan Konstandopoulos ↑ 62'
- 11
-
77
Dzengis Cavusevic ↑ 46'
Coach
Marco Kurz
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bruno Fornaroli | 6 |
| Craig Goodwin | 4 |
| Marco Rojas | 4 |
| Hiroshi Ibusuki | 3 |
| Stefan Mauk | 3 |
| Besart Berisha | 3 |
| Leroy George | 2 |
| Daniel Arzani | 2 |
Head to Head
Melbourne Victory FC Form
Adelaide United FC Form
2018-02-24
Melbourne Victory FC
3–0
Adelaide United FC
L
2018-02-17
Adelaide United FC
2–2
Central Coast Mariners FC
D
2018-02-03
Adelaide United FC
2–1
Perth Glory FC
W
2018-01-27
Wellington Phoenix FC
0–1
Adelaide United FC
W
2018-01-21
Melbourne City FC
5–0
Adelaide United FC
L
2018-01-14
Adelaide United FC
0–0
Sydney FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.09
Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.21
Adelaide United FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Melbourne Victory FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.3
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 3.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Adelaide United FC
46%
Melbourne Victory FC or Adelaide United FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.1%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
8%
1 – 0
7.1%
3 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
5.1%
3 – 2
4%
0 – 1
3.8%
4 – 1
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC
| Handicap | Melbourne Victory FC covers | Push | Adelaide United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 17% | 65% |
| -1.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| -1 | 35% | 22% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 12% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
30%
✗
Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

