Adelaide United FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Adelaide United FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League .
- Adelaide United FC 26 games · 43 pts (2025/26)
- Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Shaun Evans
- Referee Daniel Elder
- Referee Ashley Beecham
- Referee George Lakrindis
18 games this season
🟨 0.0/game
⚽ 3.1 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United Jets FC | 26 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide United FC | 26 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory FC | 26 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City FC | 26 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix FC | 26 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners FC | 26 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory FC | 26 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar FC | 26 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct | Melbourne Victory FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Oct | Brisbane Roar FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Oct | Wellington Phoenix FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct | Adelaide United FC | A | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| Adelaide United FC | Melbourne Victory FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #4 |
| 43 | Points | 40 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 12 / 7 / 7 | W / D / L | 11 / 7 / 8 |
| 46 | Scored | 44 |
| 36 | Conceded | 33 |
| +10 | GD | +11 |
| 1.65 | PPG | 1.54 |
| 46% | Win % | 42% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
11%
Clean Sheets
Adelaide United FC this season
Adelaide United FC this season
23%
Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC this season
Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Adelaide United FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
4/–
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Adelaide United FC
| Luka Jovanovic | 11 G | 3 A |
| Johnny Yull | 4 G | 5 A |
| Ethan Alagich | 4 G | 4 A |
| Ryan Kitto | 3 G | 1 A |
Melbourne Victory FC
| Nikolaos Vergos | 7 G | 1 A |
| Clarismario | 6 G | |
| Mata | 5 G | 12 A |
| Keegan Jelacic | 5 G | 2 A |
| Charles Nduka | 5 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Adelaide United FC is hosting Melbourne Victory FC for another epic battle.
- 5' Rhys Williams has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 10' Nikola Mileusnic is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Adelaide United FC tonight.
- 13' Assisted by Leroy George with the perfectly-timed delivery and Besart Berisha makes no mistake. 0-1!
- 18' Mark Milligan has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 23' Vince Lia has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 23 minutes.
- 28' It’s high time Marco Kurz made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 33' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 38' Over 38 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 43' A quiet spell here at . Adelaide United FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 45' It’s a booking for Adelaide United FC player. Johan Absalonsen gets a Yellow card.
- 50' Adelaide United FC have won 368 goals from 233 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 54' A meaty challenge results in booking for James Troisi on 54.
- 59' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 61' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Rhys Williams.
- 62' Vince Lia is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 67' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 69' Fresh legs for Adelaide United FC! Karim Matmour comes on to replace Nikola Mileusnic.
- 71' It’s a booking for Adelaide United FC player. Daniel Adlung gets a Yellow card.
- 75' Another change for Melbourne Victory FC made on 75 minute. Leroy George leaves to be changed by Mitchell Austin.
- 80' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Adelaide United FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 82' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Mitchell Austin makes it 2-2.
- 85' Daniel Adlung makes way for Nathan Konstandopoulos at the 85 minute mark. A tactical switch from Adelaide United FC.
- 87' Isaias was booked on 87.
- 89' The referee shows Adelaide United FC player a Yellow card on 89.
- 90' The whistle greets Vince Lia as he departs to be replaced by Ryan Kitto.
- The final score is 2-2.
Lineups
Adelaide United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 20
- 2
- 23
- 8
-
6
Vince Lia ↓ Ryan Kitto 90'
- 17
- 14
- 19
- 22
- 37
- 11
Bench
- 1
-
7
Ryan Kitto ↑ 90'
-
16
Nathan Konstandopoulos ↑ 85'
- 12
-
10
Karim Matmour ↑ 69'
Coach
Marco Kurz
Melbourne Victory FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 20
- 14
- 6
- 21
-
9
Kosta Barbarouses ↓ Jai Ingham 90'
- 5
- 8
- 4
-
41
Leroy George ↓ Mitchell Austin 75'
- 2
Bench
- 22
- 1
-
23
Jai Ingham ↑ 90'
-
11
Mitchell Austin ↑ 75'
- 18
Coach
Kevin Muscat
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bruno Fornaroli | 6 |
| Marco Rojas | 4 |
| Craig Goodwin | 4 |
| Stefan Mauk | 3 |
| Besart Berisha | 3 |
| Hiroshi Ibusuki | 3 |
| Ola Toivonen | 2 |
| Leroy George | 2 |
Adelaide United FC Form
Melbourne Victory FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.94
Adelaide United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.83
Melbourne Victory FC xG
I would bet for:
Adelaide United FC or Melbourne Victory FC 76% + Both teams to score 71%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.77
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 3.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 4.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
Double Chance
Adelaide United FC or Draw
66%
Draw or Melbourne Victory FC
57%
Adelaide United FC or Melbourne Victory FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9%
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
4.9%
3 – 2
4.5%
2 – 0
4.4%
1 – 3
4.4%
2 – 3
4.2%
1 – 0
4%
0 – 2
3.9%
0 – 1
3.7%
Asian Handicap — Adelaide United FC
| Handicap | Adelaide United FC covers | Push | Melbourne Victory FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 12% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 18% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 17% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 11% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

