Adelaide United FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Adelaide United FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League .
- Adelaide United FC 26 games · 43 pts (2025/26)
- Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Shaun Evans
- Referee Daniel Elder
- Referee Ashley Beecham
- Referee George Lakrindis
18 games this season
🟨 0.0/game
⚽ 3.1 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United Jets FC | 26 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide United FC | 26 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory FC | 26 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City FC | 26 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix FC | 26 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners FC | 26 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory FC | 26 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar FC | 26 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct | Melbourne Victory FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Oct | Brisbane Roar FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Oct | Wellington Phoenix FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct | Adelaide United FC | A | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| Adelaide United FC | Melbourne Victory FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #4 |
| 43 | Points | 40 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 12 / 7 / 7 | W / D / L | 11 / 7 / 8 |
| 46 | Scored | 44 |
| 36 | Conceded | 33 |
| +10 | GD | +11 |
| 1.65 | PPG | 1.54 |
| 46% | Win % | 42% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
11%
Clean Sheets
Adelaide United FC this season
Adelaide United FC this season
23%
Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC this season
Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Adelaide United FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
4/–
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Adelaide United FC
| Luka Jovanovic | 11 G | 3 A |
| Johnny Yull | 4 G | 5 A |
| Ethan Alagich | 4 G | 4 A |
| Ryan Kitto | 3 G | 1 A |
Melbourne Victory FC
| Nikolaos Vergos | 7 G | 1 A |
| Clarismario | 6 G | |
| Mata | 5 G | 12 A |
| Keegan Jelacic | 5 G | 2 A |
| Charles Nduka | 5 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at !
- 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 10' Michael Marrone, a Australia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 13' Besart Berisha doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 18' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 23' GOAL! Vince Lia scores on 23. Assisted by Johan Absalonsen
- 28' Melbourne Victory FC have won 299 goals from 210 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 33' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 33 minutes.
- 38' Adelaide United FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 43' Leigh Broxham needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 45' Johan Absalonsen picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 50' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Adelaide United FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 54' Controversy at the stadium! James Troisi argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 59' Adelaide United FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 61' Rhys Williams was booked on 61.
- 62' Vince Lia puts Adelaide United FC on the lead.
- 67' Melbourne Victory FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 69' The Adelaide United FC bench stirs into life. Nikola Mileusnic is withdrawn and Karim Matmour gets his opportunity.
- 71' The referee shows Adelaide United FC player a Yellow card on 71.
- 75' The whistle greets Leroy George as he departs to be replaced by Mitchell Austin.
- 80' With 0 assists to his name this season, Johan Absalonsen is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Adelaide United FC.
- 82' Mitchell Austin is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 85' The crowd applauds Daniel Adlung as he leaves the pitch. Nathan Konstandopoulos steps in for Adelaide United FC.
- 87' A meaty challenge results in booking for Isaias on 87.
- 89' Michael Marrone catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 89.
- 90' The Adelaide United FC manager makes a substitution. Vince Lia departs to be replaced by Ryan Kitto.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.
Lineups
Adelaide United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 20
- 2
- 23
- 8
-
6
Vince Lia ↓ Ryan Kitto 90'
- 17
- 14
- 19
- 22
- 37
- 11
Bench
- 1
-
7
Ryan Kitto ↑ 90'
-
16
Nathan Konstandopoulos ↑ 85'
- 12
-
10
Karim Matmour ↑ 69'
Coach
Marco Kurz
Melbourne Victory FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 20
- 14
- 6
- 21
-
9
Kosta Barbarouses ↓ Jai Ingham 90'
- 5
- 8
- 4
-
41
Leroy George ↓ Mitchell Austin 75'
- 2
Bench
- 22
- 1
-
23
Jai Ingham ↑ 90'
-
11
Mitchell Austin ↑ 75'
- 18
Coach
Kevin Muscat
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bruno Fornaroli | 6 |
| Marco Rojas | 4 |
| Craig Goodwin | 4 |
| Stefan Mauk | 3 |
| Besart Berisha | 3 |
| Hiroshi Ibusuki | 3 |
| Ola Toivonen | 2 |
| Leroy George | 2 |
Adelaide United FC Form
Melbourne Victory FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.94
Adelaide United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.83
Melbourne Victory FC xG
I would bet for:
Adelaide United FC or Melbourne Victory FC 76% + Both teams to score 71%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.77
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 3.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 4.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
Double Chance
Adelaide United FC or Draw
66%
Draw or Melbourne Victory FC
57%
Adelaide United FC or Melbourne Victory FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9%
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
4.9%
3 – 2
4.5%
2 – 0
4.4%
1 – 3
4.4%
2 – 3
4.2%
1 – 0
4%
0 – 2
3.9%
0 – 1
3.7%
Asian Handicap — Adelaide United FC
| Handicap | Adelaide United FC covers | Push | Melbourne Victory FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 12% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 18% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 17% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 11% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

