Adelaide United FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Adelaide United FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League .
- Adelaide United FC 26 games · 43 pts (2026/27)
- Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Shaun Evans
- Referee Daniel Elder
- Referee Ashley Beecham
- Referee George Lakrindis
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United Jets FC | 26 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide United FC | 26 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory FC | 26 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City FC | 26 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix FC | 26 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners FC | 26 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory FC | 26 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar FC | 26 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct | Melbourne Victory FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Oct | Brisbane Roar FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Oct | Wellington Phoenix FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct | Adelaide United FC | A | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| Adelaide United FC | Melbourne Victory FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #4 |
| 43 | Points | 40 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 12 / 7 / 7 | W / D / L | 11 / 7 / 8 |
| 46 | Scored | 44 |
| 36 | Conceded | 33 |
| +10 | GD | +11 |
| 1.65 | PPG | 1.54 |
| 46% | Win % | 42% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Marco Kurz might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 10' Kosta Barbarouses has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 13' What a moment for Besart Berisha! That strike on 13 puts his side firmly in control.
- 18' Johan Absalonsen has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 26 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 23' The deadlock is broken! Vince Lia gets on the scoresheet on 23 minutes.
- 28' Melbourne Victory FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 3 meetings.
- 33' Melbourne Victory FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 38' The home supporters are growing impatient. Adelaide United FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 43' George Blackwood, a Australia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 45' The referee shows Adelaide United FC player a Yellow card on 45.
- 50' A quiet spell here at . Melbourne Victory FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 54' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for James Troisi.
- 59' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 59 minutes.
- 61' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Rhys Williams.
- 62' Vince Lia doubles the advantage! 2-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 67' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 69' The Adelaide United FC manager makes a substitution. Nikola Mileusnic departs to be replaced by Karim Matmour.
- 71' Daniel Adlung has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 71.
- 75' The whistle greets Leroy George as he departs to be replaced by Mitchell Austin.
- 80' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 82' Magnificent from Mitchell Austin! That is 1 goals in 206 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 85' The supporters are chanting for Nathan Konstandopoulos. He replaces Daniel Adlung on 85 minute.
- 87' Isaias has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 87.
- 89' Michael Marrone catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 89.
- 90' The supporters are chanting for Ryan Kitto. He replaces Vince Lia on 90 minute.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.
Lineups
Adelaide United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 20
- 2
- 23
- 8
-
6
Vince Lia ↓ Ryan Kitto 90'
- 17
- 14
- 19
- 22
- 37
- 11
Bench
- 1
-
7
Ryan Kitto ↑ 90'
-
16
Nathan Konstandopoulos ↑ 85'
- 12
-
10
Karim Matmour ↑ 69'
Coach
Marco Kurz
Melbourne Victory FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 20
- 14
- 6
- 21
-
9
Kosta Barbarouses ↓ Jai Ingham 90'
- 5
- 8
- 4
-
41
Leroy George ↓ Mitchell Austin 75'
- 2
Bench
- 22
- 1
-
23
Jai Ingham ↑ 90'
-
11
Mitchell Austin ↑ 75'
- 18
Coach
Kevin Muscat
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bruno Fornaroli | 6 |
| Craig Goodwin | 4 |
| Marco Rojas | 4 |
| Besart Berisha | 3 |
| Hiroshi Ibusuki | 3 |
| Stefan Mauk | 3 |
| Leroy George | 2 |
| Daniel Arzani | 2 |
Adelaide United FC Form
Melbourne Victory FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.94
Adelaide United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.83
Melbourne Victory FC xG
I would bet for:
Adelaide United FC or Melbourne Victory FC 76% + Both teams to score 71%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.77
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 3.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 4.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
Double Chance
Adelaide United FC or Draw
66%
Draw or Melbourne Victory FC
57%
Adelaide United FC or Melbourne Victory FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9%
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
4.9%
3 – 2
4.5%
2 – 0
4.4%
1 – 3
4.4%
2 – 3
4.2%
1 – 0
4%
0 – 2
3.9%
0 – 1
3.7%
Asian Handicap — Adelaide United FC
| Handicap | Adelaide United FC covers | Push | Melbourne Victory FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 12% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 18% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 17% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 11% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

