Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Mantova 1911 SSD vs AC Monza, Serie B 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie B · 2025-26
Mantova 1911 SSD
3 – 2
Full Time
AC Monza
Fri 1 May 2026 · 13:00 UTC Danilo Martelli HT 45' · FT 45'
Rachid Kouda 23' 1–0
Leonardo Mancuso 35' 2–0
2–1 78' Lorenzo Lucchesi
2–2 88' Dany Mota Carvalho
Fahem Benaissa-Yahia 90+5' 3–2
Ali Dembele 11' Y
Y 28' Andrea Petagna
Y 57' Hernani
Stefano Cella 59' Y
Flavio Paoletti 88' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Mantova 1911 SSD vs AC Monza — Serie B at Danilo Martelli.

Match Details

  • Referee Juan Luca Sacchi (Italy)
  • Assistant 1 Davide Imperiale
  • Assistant 2 Mattia Regattieri (Italy)
3 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 10.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Palermo FC 5 13
2 FC Südtirol 5 11
3 Mantova 1911 SSD 5 11
4 Modena FC 2018 5 10
5 Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC 5 10
6 Padova Calcio 5 7
7 Benevento Calcio 5 7
8 Hellas Verona FC 5 7
9 AC Cesena 5 7
10 Calcio Avellino SSD 5 7
11 AC Pisa 1909 5 7
12 SS Arezzo 5 6
13 Empoli FC 5 6
14 ACD Virtus Entella 5 5
15 L.R. Vicenza Virtus 5 5
16 US Cremonese 5 5
17 UC Sampdoria 5 4
18 SS Juve Stabia 5 3
19 US Catanzaro 5 3
20 Carrarese Calcio 5 1

Head-to-Head

1
1
Mantova 1911 SSD 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals AC Monza
Last 5 meetings
2026-05-01 Mantova 1911 SSD 3–2 AC Monza 2025-08-23 AC Monza 1–0 Mantova 1911 SSD

Recent Form

Mantova 1911 SSD
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 May AC Monza H 3–2 W
25 Apr FC Südtirol A 3–0 W
18 Apr Calcio Avellino SSD H 0–2 L
12 Apr Spezia Calcio A 2–0 W
06 Apr ACD Virtus Entella H 1–0 W
21 Mar Modena FC 2018 A 1–2 L
AC Monza
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 May Mantova 1911 SSD A 2–3 L
24 Apr Modena FC 2018 H 1–0 W
17 Apr UC Sampdoria A 3–0 W
11 Apr SSC Bari H 2–0 W
06 Apr US Catanzaro A 1–1 D
21 Mar Venezia FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Mantova 1911 SSD this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Mantova 1911 SSD
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
3/–
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Mantova 1911 SSD
Francesco Ruocco 4 G
Vanja Vlahovic 2 G
Rares Ilie 1 G 1 A
Fahem Benaissa-Yahia 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Danilo Martelli!
  • 5' AC Monza is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 10' Pedro Obiang has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 11' It’s gonna be a card for Ali Dembele.
  • 16' Mantova 1911 SSD are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against AC Monza's 3-4-2-1 shape.
  • 21' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 23' Rachid Kouda is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the midfielder.
  • 28' AC Monza receives a card for a hard tackle on 28.
  • 33' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 35' Leonardo Mancuso has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 35 minutes.
  • 40' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 45' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Mantova 1911 SSD and AC Monza are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 50' AC Monza have won 143 goals from 157 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 55' The home supporters are growing impatient. Mantova 1911 SSD must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 57' Hernani catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 57.
  • 59' Controversy at the stadium! Stefano Cella argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 64' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Mantova 1911 SSD and AC Monza are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 69' A quiet spell here at Danilo Martelli. AC Monza seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 74' Stefano Cella has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 5 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 78' Goal! Lorenzo Lucchesi scores his 5 goal in 461 matches.
  • 83' With 0 assists to his name this season, Patrick Cutrone is clearly more than just a goal scorer for AC Monza.
  • 88' A goal from the Portugal international Dany Mota Carvalho! He fires home on 88 to make it 2-2!
  • 88' Poor challenge from Flavio Paoletti. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • Mantova 1911 SSD celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Mantova 1911 SSD Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Francesco Modesto

AC Monza Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Paolo Bianco

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Leonardo Mancuso 1
Rachid Kouda 1
Fahem Benaissa-Yahia 1
Dany Mota Carvalho 1
Lorenzo Lucchesi 1

Head to Head

2026-05-01 Mantova 1911 SSD 3–2 AC Monza 2025-08-23 AC Monza 1–0 Mantova 1911 SSD

Mantova 1911 SSD Form

2026-05-01 Mantova 1911 SSD 3–2 AC Monza W 2026-04-25 FC Südtirol 0–3 Mantova 1911 SSD W 2026-04-18 Mantova 1911 SSD 0–2 Calcio Avellino SSD L 2026-04-12 Spezia Calcio 0–2 Mantova 1911 SSD W 2026-04-06 Mantova 1911 SSD 1–0 ACD Virtus Entella W 2026-03-21 Modena FC 2018 2–1 Mantova 1911 SSD L

AC Monza Form

2026-05-01 Mantova 1911 SSD 3–2 AC Monza L 2026-04-24 AC Monza 1–0 Modena FC 2018 W 2026-04-17 UC Sampdoria 0–3 AC Monza W 2026-04-11 AC Monza 2–0 SSC Bari W 2026-04-06 US Catanzaro 1–1 AC Monza D 2026-03-21 AC Monza 1–1 Venezia FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.44 Mantova 1911 SSD xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.4 AC Monza xG
I would bet for: Mantova 1911 SSD or AC Monza 74% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Mantova 1911 SSD42% Draw26% AC Monza32%
Actual: Mantova 1911 SSD win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.84
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Mantova 1911 SSD or Draw
68%
Draw or AC Monza
58%
Mantova 1911 SSD or AC Monza
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Mantova 1911 SSD28% Draw46% AC Monza26%
Actual: Mantova 1911 SSD win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
7.9%
0 – 0
7.7%
1 – 0
7.4%
0 – 1
7.2%
2 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
3.9%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 2
Actual

Asian Handicap — Mantova 1911 SSD

Handicap Mantova 1911 SSD covers Push AC Monza covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 19% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 18% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Mantova 1911 SSD keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
AC Monza keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.