Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Manchester United FC vs Burnley FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sat 30 Aug 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Manchester United FC vs Burnley FC — Premier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Sam Barrott (England)
5 games this season 🟨 2.6/game ⚽ 11.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Aug Burnley FC H 3–2 W
24 Aug Fulham FC A 1–1 D
17 Aug Arsenal FC H 0–1 L
25 May Aston Villa FC H 2–0 W
21 May Tottenham Hotspur FC A 0–1 L
16 May Chelsea FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Aug Manchester United FC A 2–3 L
23 Aug Sunderland AFC H 2–0 W
16 Aug Tottenham Hotspur FC A 0–3 L
03 May Millwall FC H 3–1 W
26 Apr Queens Park Rangers FC A 5–0 W
21 Apr Sheffield United FC H 2–1 W

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Manchester United FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Manchester United FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
2/–
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Manchester United FC
Bruno Fernandes 3 G 1 A
Bryan Mbeumo 2 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Manchester United FC Lineups

Burnley FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.66 Manchester United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.24 Burnley FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Manchester United FC48% Draw26% Burnley FC26%
Actual: Manchester United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.9
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Manchester United FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Burnley FC
52%
Manchester United FC or Burnley FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Manchester United FC33% Draw45% Burnley FC22%
Actual: Manchester United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 1
9%
1 – 0
8.2%
2 – 0
7.4%
0 – 0
7.3%
1 – 2
6.8%
0 – 1
5.9%
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
5%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
4%
3 – 2
Actual

Asian Handicap — Manchester United FC

Handicap Manchester United FC covers Push Burnley FC covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 14% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 21% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 16% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Manchester United FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.