Tuesday , 28 July 2026

Manchester United FC vs Burnley FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sat 30 Aug 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Manchester United FC vs Burnley FCPremier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Sam Barrott (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Aug Burnley FC H 3–2 W
24 Aug Fulham FC A 1–1 D
17 Aug Arsenal FC H 0–1 L
25 May Aston Villa FC H 2–0 W
21 May Tottenham Hotspur FC A 0–1 L
16 May Chelsea FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Aug Manchester United FC A 2–3 L
23 Aug Sunderland AFC H 2–0 W
16 Aug Tottenham Hotspur FC A 0–3 L
03 May Millwall FC H 3–1 W
26 Apr Queens Park Rangers FC A 5–0 W
21 Apr Sheffield United FC H 2–1 W

Season Stats

Manchester United FC Burnley FC
#6 Position #2
71 Points 22
38 Played 38
20 / 11 / 7 W / D / L 4 / 10 / 24
69 Scored 38
50 Conceded 75
+19 GD -37
1.87 PPG 0.58
53% Win % 11%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Manchester United FC are 6th (71 pts). Burnley FC are 2nd (22 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Manchester United FC Lineups

Burnley FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.52 Manchester United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18 Burnley FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Manchester United FC62% Draw20% Burnley FC18%
Actual: Manchester United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.7
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 50%
50%
± 4.5 31%
69%

Double Chance

Manchester United FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Burnley FC
38%
Manchester United FC or Burnley FC
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Manchester United FC48% Draw37% Burnley FC15%
Actual: Manchester United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
9%
1 – 1
8.2%
2 – 0
8%
3 – 1
7.5%
3 – 0
6.5%
1 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
5.2%
4 – 1
4.7%
3 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
4.2%
4 – 0
4.1%
0 – 0
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Manchester United FC

Handicap Manchester United FC covers Push Burnley FC covers
-2.5 25% 75%
-2 25% 19% 56%
-1.5 44% 56%
-1 44% 21% 35%
-0.5 65% 35%
+0.5 84% 16%
+1 84% 9% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Manchester United FC keeps clean sheet
31%
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
9%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.