Millwall FC vs Oxford United FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Millwall FC vs Oxford United FC — Championship at The Den.
- Millwall FC 8 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
- Oxford United FC 46 games · 47 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Tim Robinson
- Assistant 1
- Assistant 2 Hugh Gilroy (England)
4 games this season
🟨 3.0/game
⚽ 9.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan | Oxford United FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Dec | Coventry City FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Dec | Norwich City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Dec | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Dec | Middlesbrough FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Dec | Sheffield United FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan | Millwall FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Dec | Plymouth Argyle FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Dec | Cardiff City FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 21 Dec | Leeds United FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 14 Dec | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 11 Dec | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 0–2 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
38%
Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
Millwall FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Millwall FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
–/4
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Millwall FC
| Lyndon Dykes | 4 G | 1 A |
| Tairyk Arconte | 3 G | |
| Josh Coburn | 2 G | |
| Luke Cundle | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Millwall FC host Oxford United FC — let the battle begin!
- 5' Ruben Rodrigues has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 10' Millwall FC is showing some good football. However, Millwall FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 15' The home supporters are growing impatient. Millwall FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 25' Oxford United FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 30' Supporters expect more eagerness from Will Vaulks, as he is very good at scoring at The Den with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 35' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Matt Phillips suffering a number of foals already.
- 40' George Saville has been relatively quiet despite scoring 19 goals in his last 387 appearances.
- 45' It looks like no one’s ball. Millwall FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 46' Peter Kioso is ready to make an impact after coming on for Elliott Moore at the 46 minute mark.
- 51' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 56' It looks surprising Oxford United FC does not make any changes. Macaulay Langstaff has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 57' The Portugal Ruben Rodrigues breaks the deadlock on 57 minutes. 0-1!
- 62' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Joe Bryan made 343 appearances and scored 8 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 64' Cameron Brannagan has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 64.
- 65' Femi Azeez gets the nod from Millwall FC. He replaces Duncan Watmore and will look to change the dynamic.
- 69' The Oxford United FC bench stirs into life. Ruben Rodrigues is withdrawn and Matt Phillips gets his opportunity.
- 72' It is a substitution in Millwall FC team. Casper De Norre is replaced by George Honeyman on 72 minute.
- 77' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 82' It is a substitution in Oxford United FC team. Mark Harris is replaced by Idris El Mizouni on 82 minute.
- 85' It is a substitution in Millwall FC team. George Saville is replaced by Ryan Wintle on 85 minute.
- 90' A tactical swap from Oxford United FC — Louie Sibley on, Tyler Goodrham off on 90 minutes.
- The final score is 0-1.
Lineups
Millwall FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 17
- 18
- 3
-
19
Duncan Watmore ↓ Femi Azeez 65'
- 15
-
23
George Saville ↓ Ryan Wintle 85'
- 24
- 6
- 1
- 25
- 26
Bench
-
9
Tom Bradshaw ↑ 72'
- 4
-
39
George Honeyman ↑ 72'
- 45
- 13
-
14
Ryan Wintle ↑ 85'
- 8
-
11
Femi Azeez ↑ 65'
- 12
Coach
David Livermore
Oxford United FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
9
Mark Harris ↓ Idris El Mizouni 82'
- 3
- 4
- 2
- 8
- 1
-
5
Elliott Moore ↓ Peter Kioso 46'
-
20
Ruben Rodrigues ↓ Matt Phillips 69'
- 7
-
19
Tyler Goodrham ↓ Louie Sibley 90'
- 22
Bench
-
10
Matt Phillips ↑ 69'
- 21
- 6
- 23
-
24
Hidde ter Avest ↑ 69'
-
15
Idris El Mizouni ↑ 82'
-
14
Louie Sibley ↑ 90'
- 44
-
30
Peter Kioso ↑ 46'
Coach
Gary Rowett
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Femi Azeez | 2 |
| Japhet Tanganga | 1 |
| Tyler Goodrham | 1 |
| Ruben Rodrigues | 1 |
Head to Head
Millwall FC Form
Oxford United FC Form
2025-01-01
Millwall FC
0–1
Oxford United FC
W
2024-12-29
Oxford United FC
2–0
Plymouth Argyle FC
W
2024-12-26
Oxford United FC
3–2
Cardiff City FC
W
2024-12-21
Leeds United FC
4–0
Oxford United FC
L
2024-12-14
Oxford United FC
1–3
Sheffield Wednesday FC
L
2024-12-11
Queens Park Rangers FC
2–0
Oxford United FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.06
Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.92
Oxford United FC xG
I would bet for:
Millwall FC or Draw 69% + Under 2.5 goals 68%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Oxford United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.98
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 1.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 2.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 3.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
| ± 4.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
Double Chance
Millwall FC or Draw
69%
Draw or Oxford United FC
64%
Millwall FC or Oxford United FC
67%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.3%
1 – 1
14.4%
1 – 0
13.3%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.4%
2 – 1
7%
1 – 2
6%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
3.3%
3 – 0
2.6%
3 – 1
2.5%
1 – 3
1.9%
Asian Handicap — Millwall FC
| Handicap | Millwall FC covers | Push | Oxford United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 10% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 22% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 18% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
41%
✓
Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
35%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.