Millwall FC vs Oxford United FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Millwall FC vs Oxford United FC — Championship at The Den.
- Millwall FC 15 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
- Oxford United FC 46 games · 47 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Tim Robinson
- Assistant 1
- Assistant 2 Hugh Gilroy (England)
3 games this season
🟨 4.0/game
⚽ 11.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan | Oxford United FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Dec | Coventry City FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Dec | Norwich City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Dec | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Dec | Middlesbrough FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Dec | Sheffield United FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan | Millwall FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Dec | Plymouth Argyle FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Dec | Cardiff City FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 21 Dec | Leeds United FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 14 Dec | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 11 Dec | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 0–2 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
Millwall FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Millwall FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/5
61-75
1/4
76+
7/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Millwall FC
| Lyndon Dykes | 5 G | 2 A |
| Camiel Neghli | 3 G | 3 A |
| Tairyk Arconte | 3 G | |
| Josh Coburn | 2 G | |
| Luke Cundle | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Millwall FC and Oxford United FC is underway.
- 5' Idris El Mizouni, a Tunisia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 20' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Louie Sibley suffering a number of foals already.
- 30' Oxford United FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 30.
- 35' Ruben Rodrigues has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 2 goals this season.
- 40' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 45' England international Elliott Moore has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 46' Another change for Oxford United FC made on 46 minute. Elliott Moore leaves to be changed by Peter Kioso.
- 51' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 56' It is a cagey affair so far. Millwall FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Oxford United FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 57' Ruben Rodrigues adds to his 2 season tally! Oxford United FC lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
- 62' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Millwall FC and Oxford United FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 64' That is a card for Oxford United FC. Cameron Brannagan will be fuming at that decision.
- 65' Femi Azeez is ready to make an impact after coming on for Duncan Watmore at the 65 minute mark.
- 69' The crowd applauds Ruben Rodrigues as he leaves the pitch. Matt Phillips steps in for Oxford United FC.
- 72' The Millwall FC manager makes a substitution. Casper De Norre departs to be replaced by George Honeyman.
- 77' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 82' The whistle greets Mark Harris as he departs to be replaced by Idris El Mizouni.
- 85' The Millwall FC bench stirs into life. George Saville is withdrawn and Ryan Wintle gets his opportunity.
- 90' Another substitution for Oxford United FC to replace Tyler Goodrham by Louie Sibley on 90 minute.
- The final score is 0-1.
Lineups
Millwall FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 17
- 18
- 3
-
19
Duncan Watmore ↓ Femi Azeez 65'
- 15
-
23
George Saville ↓ Ryan Wintle 85'
- 24
- 6
- 1
- 25
- 26
Bench
-
9
Tom Bradshaw ↑ 72'
- 4
-
39
George Honeyman ↑ 72'
- 45
- 13
-
14
Ryan Wintle ↑ 85'
- 8
-
11
Femi Azeez ↑ 65'
- 12
Coach
David Livermore
Oxford United FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
9
Mark Harris ↓ Idris El Mizouni 82'
- 3
- 4
- 2
- 8
- 1
-
5
Elliott Moore ↓ Peter Kioso 46'
-
20
Ruben Rodrigues ↓ Matt Phillips 69'
- 7
-
19
Tyler Goodrham ↓ Louie Sibley 90'
- 22
Bench
-
10
Matt Phillips ↑ 69'
- 21
- 6
- 23
-
24
Hidde ter Avest ↑ 69'
-
15
Idris El Mizouni ↑ 82'
-
14
Louie Sibley ↑ 90'
- 44
-
30
Peter Kioso ↑ 46'
Coach
Gary Rowett
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Femi Azeez | 2 |
| Japhet Tanganga | 1 |
| Tyler Goodrham | 1 |
| Ruben Rodrigues | 1 |
Head to Head
Millwall FC Form
Oxford United FC Form
2025-01-01
Millwall FC
0–1
Oxford United FC
W
2024-12-29
Oxford United FC
2–0
Plymouth Argyle FC
W
2024-12-26
Oxford United FC
3–2
Cardiff City FC
W
2024-12-21
Leeds United FC
4–0
Oxford United FC
L
2024-12-14
Oxford United FC
1–3
Sheffield Wednesday FC
L
2024-12-11
Queens Park Rangers FC
2–0
Oxford United FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.06
Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.92
Oxford United FC xG
I would bet for:
Millwall FC or Draw 69% + Under 2.5 goals 68%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Oxford United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.98
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 1.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 2.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 3.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
| ± 4.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
Double Chance
Millwall FC or Draw
69%
Draw or Oxford United FC
64%
Millwall FC or Oxford United FC
67%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.3%
1 – 1
14.4%
1 – 0
13.3%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.4%
2 – 1
7%
1 – 2
6%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
3.3%
3 – 0
2.6%
3 – 1
2.5%
1 – 3
1.9%
Asian Handicap — Millwall FC
| Handicap | Millwall FC covers | Push | Oxford United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 10% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 22% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 18% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
41%
✓
Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
35%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

