Thursday , 2 July 2026

Millwall FC vs Oxford United FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Wed 1 Jan 2025 · 13:00 UTC The Den 14,964 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 57' Ruben Rodrigues

Overview

Match Preview

Millwall FC vs Oxford United FCChampionship at The Den.

Match Details

  • Referee Tim Robinson
  • Assistant 1
  • Assistant 2 Hugh Gilroy (England)

Head-to-Head

1
2
1
Millwall FC 4 games · Avg 2.3 goals Oxford United FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Jan Oxford United FC H 0–1 L
29 Dec Coventry City FC A 0–0 D
26 Dec Norwich City FC A 1–2 L
21 Dec Blackburn Rovers FC H 1–0 W
14 Dec Middlesbrough FC A 0–1 L
11 Dec Sheffield United FC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Jan Millwall FC A 1–0 W
29 Dec Plymouth Argyle FC H 2–0 W
26 Dec Cardiff City FC H 3–2 W
21 Dec Leeds United FC A 0–4 L
14 Dec Sheffield Wednesday FC H 1–3 L
11 Dec Queens Park Rangers FC A 0–2 L

Season Stats

Millwall FC Oxford United FC
#3 Position #22
83 Points 47
46 Played 46
24 / 11 / 11 W / D / L 11 / 14 / 21
64 Scored 45
49 Conceded 59
+15 GD -14
1.80 PPG 1.02
52% Win % 24%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Millwall FC are 3rd (83 pts). Oxford United FC are 22nd (47 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Millwall FC welcome Oxford United FC for this crunch clash at The Den.
  • 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 15' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Millwall FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 20' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Millwall FC and Oxford United FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 25' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 30' Oxford United FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 35' Oxford United FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 40' Oxford United FC come into this ranked 20 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 45' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 45 minutes.
  • 46' A change in the Oxford United FC ranks — Elliott Moore exits the field as Peter Kioso enters on 46.
  • 51' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 56' Tyler Goodrham has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 57' A stunning finish from Ruben Rodrigues — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 62' The home supporters are growing impatient. Millwall FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 64' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Cameron Brannagan on 64 minutes.
  • 65' The Millwall FC bench stirs into life. Duncan Watmore is withdrawn and Femi Azeez gets his opportunity.
  • 69' The crowd applauds Ruben Rodrigues as he leaves the pitch. Matt Phillips steps in for Oxford United FC.
  • 72' The supporters are chanting for George Honeyman. He replaces Casper De Norre on 72 minute.
  • 77' Millwall FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Oxford United FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 82' Idris El Mizouni is replacing Mark Harris for the Oxford United FC side.
  • 85' Millwall FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ryan Wintle is hanging George Saville on the field on 85 minute.
  • 90' The Oxford United FC manager makes a substitution. Tyler Goodrham departs to be replaced by Louie Sibley.
  • The points are shared — Millwall FC 0-1 Oxford United FC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.2 Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.77 Oxford United FC xG
I would bet for: Millwall FC or Draw 74% + Under 2.5 goals 68%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Millwall FC41% Draw32% Oxford United FC27%
Actual: Oxford United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes39% 0% No61%
Avg goals/match: 1.97
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 59%
41%
± 2.5 32%
68%
± 3.5 14%
86%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Oxford United FC
59%
Millwall FC or Oxford United FC
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Millwall FC30% Draw55% Oxford United FC15%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.3%
1 – 0
15.4%
1 – 1
13.8%
2 – 0
9.6%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
4.8%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 1
3.1%
2 – 2
3.1%
3 – 2
1.3%

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap Millwall FC covers Push Oxford United FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 24% 56%
-0.5 44% 56%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 15% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
47%
Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.