Lille OSC vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Ligue 1 · 2025-26

Lille OSC

2 – 1

Full Time

Toulouse FC

Sun 14 Sep 2025 · 13:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Lille OSC vs Toulouse FC — Ligue 1 .

Lille OSC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Toulouse FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Jeremy Stinat

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Nantes	34	24
2	FC Metz	34	17
3	Paris Saint-Germain FC	0	0
4	Racing Club de Lens	0	0
5	Lille OSC	0	0
6	Olympique Lyonnais	0	0
7	Olympique de Marseille	0	0
8	Stade Rennais FC 1901	0	0
9	AS Monaco FC	0	0
10	RC Strasbourg Alsace	0	0
11	Toulouse FC	0	0
12	FC Lorient	0	0
13	Paris FC	0	0
14	Stade Brestois 29	0	0
15	ES Troyes AC	0	0
16	Angers SCO	0	0
17	Le Mans FC	0	0
18	Le Havre AC	0	0
19	AJ Auxerre	0	0
20	OGC Nice	0	0

Head-to-Head

Lille OSC 20 games · Avg 2.6 goals Toulouse FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-09-14 Lille OSC 2–1 Toulouse FC 2025-04-12 Toulouse FC 1–2 Lille OSC 2024-10-05 Lille OSC 2–1 Toulouse FC 2024-02-25 Toulouse FC 3–1 Lille OSC 2023-11-12 Lille OSC 1–1 Toulouse FC

Recent Form

Lille OSC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Sep	Toulouse FC	H	2–1	W
30 Aug	FC Lorient	A	7–1	W
24 Aug	AS Monaco FC	H	1–0	W
17 Aug	Stade Brestois 29	A	3–3	D
17 May	Stade de Reims	H	2–1	W
10 May	Stade Brestois 29	A	0–2	L

Toulouse FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Sep	Lille OSC	A	1–2	L
30 Aug	Paris Saint-Germain FC	H	3–6	L
24 Aug	Stade Brestois 29	H	2–0	W
16 Aug	OGC Nice	A	1–0	W
17 May	AS Saint-Étienne	A	3–2	W
10 May	Racing Club de Lens	H	1–1	D

Season Stats

Lille OSC		Toulouse FC
#5	Position	#11
0	Points	0
0	Played	0
0 / 0 / 0	W / D / L	0 / 0 / 0
0	Scored	0
0	Conceded	0
+0	GD	+0
–	PPG	–
–	Win %	–

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Lille OSC are 5th (0 pts). Toulouse FC are 11th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' Lille OSC have kicked off against Toulouse FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
Full Time. Lille OSC beats Toulouse FC

Lineups

Lille OSC Lineups

Toulouse FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Max-Alain Gradel	3
Mitchel Bakker	2
Alexsandro Ribeiro	2
Thijs Dallinga	2
Matias Fernandez-Pardo	2
Loic Remy	2
Zakaria Aboukhlal	1
Chaibi Fares	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

0.81 Lille OSC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.63 Toulouse FC xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 82% + Lille OSC or Draw 78%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Lille OSC42% Draw35% Toulouse FC23%

Actual: Lille OSC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes28% 0% No72%

Avg goals/match: 1.44

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	74%	26%
± 1.5	43%	57%
± 2.5	18%	82%
± 3.5	7%	93%
± 4.5	2%	98%

Double Chance

Lille OSC or Draw

78%

Draw or Toulouse FC

58%

Lille OSC or Toulouse FC

65%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Lille OSC21% Draw64% Toulouse FC15%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

26.3%

1 – 0

17.6%

0 – 1

13.2%

1 – 1

13.1%

2 – 0

7.3%

2 – 1

Actual

0 – 2

4.2%

1 – 2

3.8%

3 – 0

1.9%

2 – 2

1.8%

3 – 1

1.4%

0 – 3

0.9%

Asian Handicap — Lille OSC

Handicap	Lille OSC covers	Push	Toulouse FC covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	9%	88%
-1.5	12%	—	88%
-1	12%	23%	65%
-0.5	35%	—	65%
+0.5	76%	—	24%
+1	76%	17%	6%
+1.5	94%	—	6%
+2	94%	5%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Lille OSC keeps clean sheet

54% ✗

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet

45% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.