Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Lille OSC vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2025-26
2 – 1
Full Time
Sun 14 Sep 2025 · 13:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Lille OSC vs Toulouse FC — Ligue 1 .

Match Details

  • Referee Jeremy Stinat
5 games this season 🟨 3.4/game ⚽ 8.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep Toulouse FC H 2–1 W
30 Aug FC Lorient A 7–1 W
24 Aug AS Monaco FC H 1–0 W
17 Aug Stade Brestois 29 A 3–3 D
17 May Stade de Reims H 2–1 W
10 May Stade Brestois 29 A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep Lille OSC A 1–2 L
30 Aug Paris Saint-Germain FC H 3–6 L
24 Aug Stade Brestois 29 H 2–0 W
16 Aug OGC Nice A 1–0 W
17 May AS Saint-Étienne A 3–2 W
10 May Racing Club de Lens H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Lille OSC Toulouse FC
#4 Position #13
10 Points 5
5 Played 5
3 / 1 / 1 W / D / L 1 / 2 / 2
8 Scored 7
4 Conceded 9
+4 GD -2
2.00 PPG 1.00
60% Win % 20%

Key Stats

62% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
60% Clean Sheets
Lille OSC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season

Lille OSC are 4th (10 pts). Toulouse FC are 13th (5 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Lille OSC
0-15
1/–
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toulouse FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/2
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/3
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at . Lille OSC are looking to make home advantage count against Toulouse FC.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 2-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

Lille OSC Lineups

Toulouse FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.98 Lille OSC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01 Toulouse FC xG
I would bet for: Lille OSC to win 59% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Lille OSC59% Draw23% Toulouse FC18%
Actual: Lille OSC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.99
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Lille OSC or Draw
82%
Draw or Toulouse FC
41%
Lille OSC or Toulouse FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Lille OSC42% Draw43% Toulouse FC15%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.9%
2 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.3%
0 – 0
6.7%
3 – 1
6.3%
3 – 0
6.3%
1 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 1
4.3%
3 – 2
3.3%
4 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Lille OSC

Handicap Lille OSC covers Push Toulouse FC covers
-2.5 18% — 82%
-2 18% 18% 64%
-1.5 36% — 64%
-1 36% 23% 41%
-0.5 59% — 41%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 11% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Lille OSC keeps clean sheet
37% ✓
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.