Lille OSC vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Lille OSC vs Toulouse FC — Ligue 1 .
- Lille OSC 10 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
- Toulouse FC 10 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Jeremy Stinat
8 games this season
🟨 3.4/game
⚽ 9.0 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 10 | 23 |
| 2 | Lille OSC | 10 | 21 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 10 | 20 |
| 4 | Olympique de Marseille | 10 | 18 |
| 5 | Olympique Lyonnais | 10 | 17 |
| 6 | OGC Nice | 10 | 17 |
| 7 | AS Monaco FC | 10 | 16 |
| 8 | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 10 | 16 |
| 9 | Stade Brestois 29 | 10 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Lorient | 10 | 15 |
| 11 | Racing Club de Lens | 10 | 13 |
| 12 | Toulouse FC | 10 | 13 |
| 13 | RC Strasbourg Alsace | 10 | 10 |
| 14 | AJ Auxerre | 10 | 10 |
| 15 | Le Mans FC | 10 | 8 |
| 16 | Angers SCO | 10 | 8 |
| 17 | ES Troyes AC | 10 | 8 |
| 18 | Le Havre AC | 10 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep | Toulouse FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Aug | FC Lorient | A | 7–1 | W |
| 24 Aug | AS Monaco FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | Stade Brestois 29 | A | 3–3 | D |
| 17 May | Stade de Reims | H | 2–1 | W |
| 10 May | Stade Brestois 29 | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep | Lille OSC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Aug | Paris Saint-Germain FC | H | 3–6 | L |
| 24 Aug | Stade Brestois 29 | H | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | OGC Nice | A | 1–0 | W |
| 17 May | AS Saint-Etienne | A | 3–2 | W |
| 10 May | Racing Club de Lens | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Lille OSC | Toulouse FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #12 |
| 21 | Points | 13 |
| 10 | Played | 10 |
| 6 / 3 / 1 | W / D / L | 3 / 4 / 3 |
| 14 | Scored | 15 |
| 7 | Conceded | 14 |
| +7 | GD | +1 |
| 2.10 | PPG | 1.30 |
| 60% | Win % | 30% |
Key Stats
62%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
H2H (21 games)
57%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
Lille OSC this season
Lille OSC this season
20%
Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season
Toulouse FC this season
Lille OSC are 2nd (21 pts). Toulouse FC are 12th (13 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Lille OSC
0-15
2/1
16-30
4/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
3/2
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toulouse FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
8/–
61-75
2/4
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Lille OSC
| Olivier Giroud | 3 G | 2 A |
| Dilane Bakwa | 2 G | 1 A |
| Ayase Ueda | 2 G | |
| Tiago Santos | 2 G | |
| Ethan Mbappe | 2 G |
Toulouse FC
| Casper Tengstedt | 5 G | 1 A |
| Thomas Jorgensen | 3 G | 1 A |
| Jacen Russell-Rowe | 2 G | |
| Christ Tape | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Lille OSC have kicked off against Toulouse FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- Full Time. Lille OSC beats Toulouse FC
Lineups
Lille OSC Lineups
Toulouse FC Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Max-Alain Gradel | 3 |
| Alexsandro Ribeiro | 2 |
| Thijs Dallinga | 2 |
| Matias Fernandez-Pardo | 2 |
| Loic Remy | 2 |
| Mitchel Bakker | 2 |
| Mohamed Bayo | 1 |
| Olivier Giroud | 1 |
Head to Head
Lille OSC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.58
Lille OSC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97
Toulouse FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Lille OSC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.55
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Lille OSC or Draw
79%
Draw or Toulouse FC
47%
Lille OSC or Toulouse FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
11.4%
0 – 0
9.8%
2 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
6.5%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
4.9%
3 – 1
4.8%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Lille OSC
| Handicap | Lille OSC covers | Push | Toulouse FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 16% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 23% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Lille OSC keeps clean sheet
38%
✓
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.