Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Lille OSC vs FC Nantes, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2025-26
1 – 0
Full Time
Sun 1 Mar 2026 · 16:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Lille OSC vs FC Nantes — Ligue 1 .

Match Details

  • Referee Thomas Leonard

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar FC Nantes H 1–0 W
26 Feb FK Crvena Zvezda A 2–0 W
22 Feb Angers SCO A 1–0 W
19 Feb FK Crvena Zvezda H 0–1 L
14 Feb Stade Brestois 29 H 1–1 D
06 Feb FC Metz A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar Lille OSC A 0–1 L
22 Feb Le Havre AC H 2–0 W
13 Feb AS Monaco FC A 1–3 L
07 Feb Olympique Lyonnais H 0–1 L
31 Jan FC Lorient A 1–2 L
25 Jan OGC Nice H 1–4 L

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
60% Clean Sheets
Lille OSC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Lille OSC
0-15
1/–
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Lille OSC
Ayase Ueda 2 G
Tiago Santos 2 G
Olivier Giroud 1 G 2 A
Dilane Bakwa 1 G 1 A
Hakon Haraldsson 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Lille OSC Lineups

FC Nantes Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.3 Lille OSC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.82 FC Nantes xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Lille OSC52% Draw28% FC Nantes20%
Actual: Lille OSC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.12
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Lille OSC or Draw
80%
Draw or FC Nantes
48%
Lille OSC or FC Nantes
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Lille OSC31% Draw52% FC Nantes17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
14.2%
1 – 1
13.7%
2 – 0
9.7%
0 – 1
8.6%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 1
3.6%
2 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
1.6%

Asian Handicap — Lille OSC

Handicap Lille OSC covers Push FC Nantes covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 24% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 15% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Lille OSC keeps clean sheet
44% ✗
FC Nantes keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.