Leyton Orient FC vs Derby County FC, FA Cup 2024-25 ROUND 3
Overview
Match Preview
Leyton Orient FC vs Derby County FC — FA Cup at Brisbane Road.
- Leyton Orient FC 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
- Derby County FC 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Benjamin Speedie (England)
- Assistant 1
- Assistant 2 Alexander Bradley (England)
7 games this season
🟨 2.9/game
⚽ 10.1 goals/game
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan | Derby County FC | H | 6–5 | W |
| 04 Jan | Shrewsbury Town FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Jan | Bristol Rovers FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 29 Dec | Cambridge United FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Dec | Crawley Town FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 21 Dec | Barnsley FC | A | 4–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan | Leyton Orient FC | A | 5–6 | L |
| 04 Jan | Bristol City FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Jan | Sheffield Wednesday FC | A | 2–4 | L |
| 29 Dec | Leeds United FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Dec | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Dec | Luton Town FC | A | 1–2 | L |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
Leyton Orient FC this season
Leyton Orient FC this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Brisbane Road. Leyton Orient FC are looking to make home advantage count against Derby County FC.
- 5' Derby County FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 10' It’s high time Richie Wellens made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 15' Thomas Barkhuizen has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 20' Charlie Kelman doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 24' Dajaune Brown is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 29' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Derby County FC that had 393 games and scored 459 goals.
- 34' Derby County FC have won 459 goals from 393 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 39' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Leyton Orient FC and Derby County FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 43' Darren Pratley is having his name booked by the referee on 43.
- 48' Leyton Orient FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 48.
- 53' Zech Obiero has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 157 appearances.
- 58' The travelling Derby County FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 62' Another substitution for Leyton Orient FC to replace Darren Pratley by Jordan Brown on 62 minute.
- 67' With 0 assists to his name this season, Omar Beckles is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Derby County FC.
- 68' Derby County FC ring the changes. Corey Blackett-Taylor has done his job and it is now time for Thomas Barkhuizen to step up.
- 71' The Leyton Orient FC manager makes a substitution. Diallang Jaiyesimi departs to be replaced by Tom James.
- 74' Poor challenge from Jamie Donley. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 75' Derby County FC make a change. Nathaniel Mendez-Laing trudges off to be replaced by James Collins on 75 minutes.
- 80' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Leyton Orient FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 82' Another substitution for Leyton Orient FC to replace Ethan Galbraith by Jayden Sweeney on 82 minute.
- 87' The 30-year-old Marcus Harness has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 90' Sean Clare was booked on 90.
- With this win, Leyton Orient FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Leyton Orient FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
4
Jack Simpson ↓ Brandon Cooper 100'
- 28
-
18
Darren Pratley ↓ Jordan Brown 62'
- 19
-
27
Diallang Jaiyesimi ↓ Tom James 71'
- 23
- 22
- 24
- 12
-
20
Sonny Perkins ↓ Zech Obiero 101'
- 17
Bench
-
6
Brandon Cooper ↑ 100'
-
3
Jayden Sweeney ↑ 82'
-
8
Jordan Brown ↑ 62'
-
2
Tom James ↑ 71'
-
29
Zech Obiero ↑ 101'
- 26
- 36
- –
- –
Coach
Richie Wellens
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
- 3
- 18
- 11
- 27
- 2
- 35
- 12
- 16
- 1
-
39
Dajaune Brown ↓ Kayden Jackson 68'
Bench
- 8
-
19
Kayden Jackson ↑ 68'
- 31
-
9
James Collins ↑ 75'
- 32
- 20
- 21
-
7
Thomas Barkhuizen ↑ 68'
- –
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sonny Bradley | 2 |
| Nathaniel Mendez-Laing | 1 |
| Louie Sibley | 1 |
| Thomas Barkhuizen | 1 |
| Dajaune Brown | 1 |
| Charlie Kelman | 1 |
Head to Head
Leyton Orient FC Form
2025-01-14
Leyton Orient FC
6–5
Derby County FC
W
2025-01-04
Leyton Orient FC
1–0
Shrewsbury Town FC
W
2025-01-01
Bristol Rovers FC
2–3
Leyton Orient FC
W
2024-12-29
Leyton Orient FC
2–0
Cambridge United FC
W
2024-12-26
Leyton Orient FC
3–0
Crawley Town FC
W
2024-12-21
Barnsley FC
0–4
Leyton Orient FC
W
Derby County FC Form
2025-01-14
Leyton Orient FC
6–5
Derby County FC
L
2025-01-04
Bristol City FC
1–0
Derby County FC
L
2025-01-01
Sheffield Wednesday FC
4–2
Derby County FC
L
2024-12-29
Derby County FC
0–1
Leeds United FC
L
2024-12-26
Derby County FC
2–1
West Bromwich Albion FC
W
2024-12-20
Luton Town FC
2–1
Derby County FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.12
Leyton Orient FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.89
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 75% + Both teams to score 74%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Leyton Orient FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.01
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 3.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 4.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
Double Chance
Leyton Orient FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Derby County FC
51%
Leyton Orient FC or Derby County FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 6–5 not predicted6 – 5Actual
1 – 1
8.1%
2 – 1
7.5%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 2
6.7%
3 – 1
5.2%
3 – 2
4.9%
2 – 3
4.4%
2 – 0
4.2%
1 – 3
4.2%
1 – 0
3.4%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 3
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Leyton Orient FC
| Handicap | Leyton Orient FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 13% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 18% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 16% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 10% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Leyton Orient FC keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.