Sunday , 15 November 2026

Leicester City FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Leicester City FC
2 – 1
Full Time
Derby County FC
Mon 29 Dec 2025 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Leicester City FC vs Derby County FC — Championship .

Match Details

  • Referee Gavin Ward
6 games this season 🟨 3.8/game ⚽ 5.8 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Birmingham City FC 15 29
2 Middlesbrough FC 15 29
3 Stoke City FC 15 29
4 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 15 28
5 West Bromwich Albion FC 15 28
6 Swansea City AFC 15 26
7 Southampton FC 15 24
8 Queens Park Rangers FC 15 24
9 West Ham United FC 15 23
10 Sheffield United FC 15 22
11 Portsmouth FC 15 22
12 Norwich City FC 15 21
13 Blackburn Rovers FC 15 21
14 Cardiff City FC 15 18
15 Wrexham AFC 15 18
16 Millwall FC 15 18
17 Bristol City FC 15 18
18 Bolton Wanderers FC 15 17
19 Charlton Athletic FC 15 17
20 Watford FC 15 15
21 Lincoln City FC 15 15
22 Burnley FC 15 10
23 Derby County FC 15 10
24 Preston North End FC 15 8

Head-to-Head

2
Leicester City FC 2 games · Avg 3.5 goals Derby County FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-12-29 Leicester City FC 2–1 Derby County FC 2025-12-06 Derby County FC 1–3 Leicester City FC

Recent Form

Leicester City FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Dec Derby County FC H 2–1 W
26 Dec Watford FC H 1–2 L
20 Dec Queens Park Rangers FC A 1–4 L
13 Dec Ipswich Town FC H 3–1 W
10 Dec Bristol City FC A 2–2 D
06 Dec Derby County FC A 3–1 W
Derby County FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Dec Leicester City FC A 1–2 L
26 Dec Birmingham City FC A 1–1 D
20 Dec Portsmouth FC H 1–1 D
15 Dec Sheffield Wednesday FC A 3–0 W
10 Dec Millwall FC H 1–1 D
06 Dec Leicester City FC H 1–3 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
7% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 3 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 3 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Leicester City FC to score. At the same time, Derby County FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Leicester City FC Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.64 Leicester City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Leicester City FC51% Draw25% Derby County FC24%
Actual: Leicester City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.82
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Leicester City FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Derby County FC
49%
Leicester City FC or Derby County FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Leicester City FC34% Draw45% Derby County FC21%
Actual: Leicester City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.9%
2 – 0
7.8%
0 – 0
7.8%
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 1
6.1%
2 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
5%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
3%

Asian Handicap — Leicester City FC

Handicap Leicester City FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 14% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 22% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 15% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Leicester City FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.