Kashiwa Reysol vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Kashiwa Reysol vs Fagiano Okayama FC — J. League at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium.
- Kashiwa Reysol 18 games · 20 pts (2026/27)
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 06 May | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Apr | Nagoya Grampus | A | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Apr | Albirex Niigata | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Apr | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | FC Tōkyō | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 0–2 | L |
| 06 May | Nagoya Grampus | A | 0–0 | D |
| 03 May | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Apr | Tōkyō Verdy | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Apr | Kashima Antlers | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Kashiwa Reysol | Fagiano Okayama FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #17 | Position | #6 |
| 20 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 0 / 11 | W / D / L | 8 / 0 / 10 |
| 24 | Scored | 41 |
| 25 | Conceded | 46 |
| -1 | GD | -5 |
| 1.11 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 39% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
Kashiwa Reysol this season
Kashiwa Reysol this season
29%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Kashiwa Reysol are 17th (20 pts). Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Kashiwa Reysol
0-15
2/2
16-30
–/2
31-45
–/2
46-60
3/3
61-75
6/1
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/–
61-75
–/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Kashiwa Reysol
| Yusuke Segawa | 6 G | 2 A |
| Yoshio Koizumi | 3 G | 2 A |
| Tojiro Kubo | 2 G | 1 A |
| Keita Endo | 2 G | |
| Yuki Kakita | 1 G |
Fagiano Okayama FC
| Kota Kawano | 3 G | |
| Lucao | 1 G | 1 A |
| Noah Browne | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium. Kashiwa Reysol are looking to make home advantage count against Fagiano Okayama FC.
- 5' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Koki Kumasaka suffering a number of foals already.
- 20' Noah Browne is a natural forward and has been asked to do a very specific job for Fagiano Okayama FC tonight.
- 25' Fagiano Okayama FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 30' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 35' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 40' Yuki Kakita needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 8 Yellow cards this season.
- 45' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 46' A tactical swap from Fagiano Okayama FC — Hijiri Kato on, Ryunosuke Sato off on 46 minutes.
- 51' Fagiano Okayama FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 56' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 60' Fresh legs for Kashiwa Reysol! Mao Hosoya comes on to replace Hayato Nakama.
- 65' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 67' It’s gonna be a card for Ibuki Fujita.
- 69' The crowd applauds Takaya Kimura as he leaves the pitch. Kazunari Ichimi steps in for Fagiano Okayama FC.
- 74' Poor challenge from Koki Kumasaka. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 76' What composure from Mao Hosoya! The Japan international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 78' The crowd applauds Tomoya Koyamatsu as he leaves the pitch. Diego steps in for Kashiwa Reysol.
- 83' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Fagiano Okayama FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 87' Nobuteru Nakagawa is ready to make an impact after coming on for Yuki Kakita at the 87 minute mark.
- 90' GOAL! Diego scores on 90. Assisted by Masaki Watai
- With this win, Kashiwa Reysol is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Kashiwa Reysol Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 25
- 6
-
14
Tomoya Koyamatsu ↓ Diego 78'
-
19
Hayato Nakama ↓ Mao Hosoya 60'
-
8
Yoshio Koizumi ↓ Masaki Watai 60'
-
18
Yuki Kakita ↓ Nobuteru Nakagawa 87'
-
42
Wataru Harada ↓ Tomoya Inukai 87'
- 5
- 24
- 27
Bench
-
13
Tomoya Inukai ↑ 87'
- 17
-
9
Mao Hosoya ↑ 60'
-
11
Masaki Watai ↑ 60'
- 46
-
3
Diego ↑ 78'
- 33
-
39
Nobuteru Nakagawa ↑ 87'
- 37
Coach
Ricardo Rodríguez
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 49
- 2
-
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Hiroto Iwabuchi 69'
- 28
- 24
- 15
-
39
Ryunosuke Sato ↓ Hijiri Kato 46'
-
27
Takaya Kimura ↓ Kazunari Ichimi 69'
-
99
Lucao ↓ Noah Browne 78'
-
14
Ryo Tabei ↓ Yuta Kamiya 60'
- 4
Bench
- 88
- 43
-
22
Kazunari Ichimi ↑ 69'
- 7
-
33
Yuta Kamiya ↑ 60'
-
50
Hijiri Kato ↑ 46'
-
45
Noah Browne ↑ 78'
-
19
Hiroto Iwabuchi ↑ 69'
- 13
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mao Hosoya | 1 |
| Diego | 1 |
| Hayato Nakama | 1 |
| Lucao | 1 |
| Hiroto Iwabuchi | 1 |
Head to Head
Kashiwa Reysol Form
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
2025-05-10
Kashiwa Reysol
2–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-05-06
Nagoya Grampus
0–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
D
2025-05-03
Vissel Kobe
2–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-04-29
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
Tōkyō Verdy
L
2025-04-25
Avispa Fukuoka
1–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
D
2025-04-20
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–2
Kashima Antlers
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.73
Kashiwa Reysol xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.77
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
I would bet for:
Kashiwa Reysol to win 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Kashiwa Reysol win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.5
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Kashiwa Reysol or Draw
85%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC
40%
Kashiwa Reysol or Fagiano Okayama FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.4%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
11.7%
0 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
9.1%
3 – 0
6.8%
0 – 1
5.3%
3 – 1
5.3%
1 – 2
4%
2 – 2
3.5%
4 – 0
3%
4 – 1
2.4%
Asian Handicap — Kashiwa Reysol
| Handicap | Kashiwa Reysol covers | Push | Fagiano Okayama FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 18% | 66% |
| -1.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| -1 | 34% | 25% | 41% |
| -0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +0.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 10% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Kashiwa Reysol keeps clean sheet
47%
✗
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

