Kashiwa Reysol vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Kashiwa Reysol vs Fagiano Okayama FC — J. League at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium.
- Kashiwa Reysol 18 games · 20 pts (2026/27)
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 06 May | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Apr | Nagoya Grampus | A | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Apr | Albirex Niigata | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Apr | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | FC Tōkyō | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 0–2 | L |
| 06 May | Nagoya Grampus | A | 0–0 | D |
| 03 May | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Apr | Tōkyō Verdy | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Apr | Kashima Antlers | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Kashiwa Reysol | Fagiano Okayama FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #17 | Position | #6 |
| 20 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 0 / 11 | W / D / L | 8 / 0 / 10 |
| 24 | Scored | 41 |
| 25 | Conceded | 46 |
| -1 | GD | -5 |
| 1.11 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 39% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
23%
Clean Sheets
Kashiwa Reysol this season
Kashiwa Reysol this season
23%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Kashiwa Reysol are 17th (20 pts). Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Kashiwa Reysol
0-15
2/4
16-30
2/2
31-45
4/4
46-60
6/3
61-75
8/1
76+
7/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/5
46-60
3/4
61-75
3/3
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Kashiwa Reysol
| Yusuke Segawa | 7 G | 2 A |
| Hinata Yamauchi | 5 G | |
| Yoshio Koizumi | 4 G | 5 A |
| Keita Endo | 4 G | 1 A |
| Tojiro Kubo | 4 G | 1 A |
Fagiano Okayama FC
| Kota Kawano | 3 G | |
| Noah Browne | 2 G | 1 A |
| Lucao | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Kashiwa Reysol kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Kashiwa Reysol started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
- 10' It looks surprising Kashiwa Reysol does not make any changes. Koki Kumasaka has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 15' The home supporters are growing impatient. Kashiwa Reysol must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 20' Fagiano Okayama FC is showing some good football. However, Fagiano Okayama FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 25' It is a cagey affair so far. Kashiwa Reysol in their trying to find a way past Fagiano Okayama FC's compact .
- 30' Fagiano Okayama FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 35' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 40' Kaito Abe is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Kashiwa Reysol so far.
- 45' Fagiano Okayama FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 46' Hijiri Kato gets the nod from Fagiano Okayama FC. He replaces Ryunosuke Sato and will look to change the dynamic.
- 51' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 56' With 0 assists to his name this season, Taiyo Koga is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Kashiwa Reysol.
- 60' The supporters are chanting for Mao Hosoya. He replaces Hayato Nakama on 60 minute.
- 65' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 67' Poor challenge from Ibuki Fujita. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 69' Another substitution for Fagiano Okayama FC to replace Takaya Kimura by Kazunari Ichimi on 69 minute.
- 74' A meaty challenge results in booking for Koki Kumasaka on 74.
- 76' Mao Hosoya has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 76 minutes.
- 78' Kashiwa Reysol manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Diego is hanging Tomoya Koyamatsu on the field on 78 minute.
- 83' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 87' Kashiwa Reysol ring the changes. Yuki Kakita has done his job and it is now time for Nobuteru Nakagawa to step up.
- 90' Brilliant from the ! Diego makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 90.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-0 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Kashiwa Reysol Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 25
- 6
-
14
Tomoya Koyamatsu ↓ Diego 78'
-
19
Hayato Nakama ↓ Mao Hosoya 60'
-
8
Yoshio Koizumi ↓ Masaki Watai 60'
-
18
Yuki Kakita ↓ Nobuteru Nakagawa 87'
-
42
Wataru Harada ↓ Tomoya Inukai 87'
- 5
- 24
- 27
Bench
-
13
Tomoya Inukai ↑ 87'
- 17
-
9
Mao Hosoya ↑ 60'
-
11
Masaki Watai ↑ 60'
- 46
-
3
Diego ↑ 78'
- 33
-
39
Nobuteru Nakagawa ↑ 87'
- 37
Coach
Ricardo Rodríguez
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 49
- 2
-
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Hiroto Iwabuchi 69'
- 28
- 24
- 15
-
39
Ryunosuke Sato ↓ Hijiri Kato 46'
-
27
Takaya Kimura ↓ Kazunari Ichimi 69'
-
99
Lucao ↓ Noah Browne 78'
-
14
Ryo Tabei ↓ Yuta Kamiya 60'
- 4
Bench
- 88
- 43
-
22
Kazunari Ichimi ↑ 69'
- 7
-
33
Yuta Kamiya ↑ 60'
-
50
Hijiri Kato ↑ 46'
-
45
Noah Browne ↑ 78'
-
19
Hiroto Iwabuchi ↑ 69'
- 13
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Diego | 1 |
| Hayato Nakama | 1 |
| Lucao | 1 |
| Hiroto Iwabuchi | 1 |
| Mao Hosoya | 1 |
Head to Head
Kashiwa Reysol Form
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
2025-05-10
Kashiwa Reysol
2–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-05-06
Nagoya Grampus
0–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
D
2025-05-03
Vissel Kobe
2–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-04-29
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
Tōkyō Verdy
L
2025-04-25
Avispa Fukuoka
1–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
D
2025-04-20
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–2
Kashima Antlers
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.73
Kashiwa Reysol xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.77
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
I would bet for:
Kashiwa Reysol to win 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Kashiwa Reysol win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.5
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Kashiwa Reysol or Draw
85%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC
40%
Kashiwa Reysol or Fagiano Okayama FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.4%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
11.7%
0 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
9.1%
3 – 0
6.8%
0 – 1
5.3%
3 – 1
5.3%
1 – 2
4%
2 – 2
3.5%
4 – 0
3%
4 – 1
2.4%
Asian Handicap — Kashiwa Reysol
| Handicap | Kashiwa Reysol covers | Push | Fagiano Okayama FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 18% | 66% |
| -1.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| -1 | 34% | 25% | 41% |
| -0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +0.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 10% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Kashiwa Reysol keeps clean sheet
47%
✗
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.