Kashima Antlers vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2020 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2020

Kashima Antlers

2 – 0

Full Time

Sagan Tosu FC

Sat 8 Aug 2020 · 09:30 UTC Kashima Soccer Stadium HT 45+3' · FT 45+5'

Y 5' Teruki Hara

Y 5' Ryoya Morishita

Koki Machida 45' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Kashima Antlers vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Kashima Soccer Stadium.

Kashima Antlers 18 games · 45 pts (2026/27)
Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Yuichi Nishimura
Referee Takumi Takagi
Referee Takeshi Suhara
Referee Shu Kawamata

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Kashima Antlers 16 games · Avg 2.7 goals Sagan Tosu FC

Last 5 meetings

2020-08-08 Kashima Antlers 2–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2019-07-20 Kashima Antlers 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2019-05-26 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 Kashima Antlers 2018-12-01 Kashima Antlers 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2018-04-08 Kashima Antlers 2–0 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Kashima Antlers

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
08 Aug	Sagan Tosu FC	H	2–0	W
01 Aug	Ōita FC Trinita	A	4–1	W
26 Jul	FC Tōkyō	H	2–2	D
22 Jul	Shonan Bellmare	A	0–1	L
18 Jul	Yokohama F·Marinos	H	4–2	W
12 Jul	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	0–1	L

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
08 Aug	Kashima Antlers	A	0–2	L
01 Aug	FC Tōkyō	A	3–2	W
26 Jul	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	1–1	D
22 Jul	Shimizu S-Pulse	H	1–1	D
18 Jul	Nagoya Grampus	A	0–1	L
12 Jul	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	0–0	D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

14% Clean Sheets
Kashima Antlers this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kashima Antlers

0-15

–/1

16-30

1/2

31-45

3/2

46-60

3/5

61-75

3/–

76+

3/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Kashima Antlers

Leo Ceara	11 G
Aleksandar Cavric	4 G	1 A
Takuya Uchida	2 G

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Kashima Antlers and Sagan Tosu FC get this one started.
5' Controversy at the stadium! Teruki Hara argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Tomoya Inukai suffering a number of foals already.
15' Ryota Nagaki, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
20' Riki Harakawa needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
25' A quiet spell here at Kashima Soccer Stadium. Sagan Tosu FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
30' Koki Machida has been relatively quiet despite scoring 12 goals in his last 452 appearances.
35' Sagan Tosu FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
40' Kashima Antlers started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 40.
45' The referee shows Kashima Antlers player a Yellow card on 45.
50' Sagan Tosu FC have won 293 goals from 279 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
55' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
59' A tactical swap from Kashima Antlers — Kento Misao on, Ryota Nagaki off on 59 minutes.
64' Sagan Tosu FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
67' Sagan Tosu FC ring the changes. Cho Donggeon has done his job and it is now time for Yohei Toyoda to step up.
68' The Kashima Antlers manager makes a substitution. Shoma Doi departs to be replaced by Itsuki Someno.
69' The Japan Ryuji Izumi breaks the deadlock on 69 minutes. 1-0!
74' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
77' Ahn Yongwoo gets the nod from Sagan Tosu FC. He replaces Daiki Matsuoka and will look to change the dynamic.
80' Everaldo does the damage! The net is bulging and Kashima Antlers surge ahead!
85' Katsuya Nagato has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 2 goals this season.
86' Fresh legs for Kashima Antlers! Ikuma Sekigawa comes on to replace Everaldo.
90' Ryang Yong Gi gets the nod from Sagan Tosu FC. He replaces Hideto Takahashi and will look to change the dynamic.
Sagan Tosu FC will have plenty to reflect on. Kashima Antlers were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Kashima Antlers Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

20
Kento Misao ↑ 59'
21
Hitoshi Sogahata
2
Atsuto Uchida
11
Ryuji Izumi ↑ 59'
33
Ikuma Sekigawa ↑ 86'
26
Ryotaro Araki ↑ 59'
19
Itsuki Someno ↑ 68'

Coach Antonio Carlos

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

3
Eduardo
18
Yohei Takaoka
4
Riki Harakawa
36
Hideto Takahashi C ↓ Ryang Yong Gi 90'
41
Daiki Matsuoka ↓ Ahn Yongwoo 77'
19
Cho Donggeon ↓ Yohei Toyoda 67'
2
Teruki Hara
30
Yuta Higuchi ↓ Kaisei Ishii 68'
22
Tomoya Koyamatsu
28
Ryoya Morishita
47
Shinya Nakano ↓ Ayumu Ohata 77'

Bench

50
Ryang Yong Gi ↑ 90'
33
Kaisei Ishii ↑ 68'
11
Yohei Toyoda ↑ 67'
25
Ahn Yongwoo ↑ 77'
1
Tatsuya Morita
31
Ayumu Ohata ↑ 77'
46
Ryunosuke Sagara

Coach Myung-Hwi Kim

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Taisei Miyashiro	2
Marcelo Ryan	2
Ryohei Shirasaki	2
Masaya Tashiro	2
Kimito Nono	2
Yuta Higuchi	2
Keita Yamashita	2
Yuma Suzuki	2

Head to Head

Kashima Antlers Form

2020-08-08 Kashima Antlers 2–0 Sagan Tosu FC W 2020-08-01 Ōita FC Trinita 1–4 Kashima Antlers W 2020-07-26 Kashima Antlers 2–2 FC Tōkyō D 2020-07-22 Shonan Bellmare 1–0 Kashima Antlers L 2020-07-18 Kashima Antlers 4–2 Yokohama F·Marinos W 2020-07-12 Urawa Red Diamonds 1–0 Kashima Antlers L

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2020-08-08 Kashima Antlers 2–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2020-08-01 FC Tōkyō 2–3 Sagan Tosu FC W 2020-07-26 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Cerezo Osaka FC D 2020-07-22 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Shimizu S-Pulse D 2020-07-18 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2020-07-12 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.57 Kashima Antlers xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.96 Sagan Tosu FC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Kashima Antlers52% Draw26% Sagan Tosu FC22%

Actual: Kashima Antlers win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes49% 0% No51%

Avg goals/match: 2.53

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	72%	28%
± 2.5	46%	54%
± 3.5	25%	75%
± 4.5	12%	88%

Double Chance

Kashima Antlers or Draw

79%

Draw or Sagan Tosu FC

48%

Kashima Antlers or Sagan Tosu FC

74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Kashima Antlers35% Draw48% Sagan Tosu FC17%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.9%

1 – 0

11.5%

0 – 0

10%

2 – 0

Actual

2 – 1

9.1%

0 – 1

6.6%

1 – 2

5.5%

3 – 0

4.9%

3 – 1

4.8%

2 – 2

4.4%

0 – 2

3.6%

3 – 2

2.4%

Asian Handicap — Kashima Antlers

Handicap	Kashima Antlers covers	Push	Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	15%	73%
-1.5	27%	—	73%
-1	27%	23%	50%
-0.5	50%	—	50%
+0.5	78%	—	22%
+1	78%	14%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	6%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Kashima Antlers keeps clean sheet

39% ✗

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.