Kashima Antlers vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2019 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2019

Kashima Antlers

2 – 1

Full Time

Sagan Tosu FC

Sat 20 Jul 2019 · 09:30 UTC HT 45+6' · FT 45+6'

Y 20' Yuji Takahashi

Tomoya Inukai 42' Y

Leandro 55' Y

Ryota Nagaki 59' Y

Y 81' Mu Kanazaki

R 90' Yuji Takahashi

Overview

Match Preview

Kashima Antlers vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League .

Kashima Antlers 18 games · 45 pts (2026/27)
Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Shinji Ochi
Referee Masaaki Toma
Referee Mikiya Nishimura
Referee

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Kashima Antlers 16 games · Avg 2.7 goals Sagan Tosu FC

Last 5 meetings

2019-07-20 Kashima Antlers 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2019-05-26 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 Kashima Antlers 2018-12-01 Kashima Antlers 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2018-04-08 Kashima Antlers 2–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2018-03-18 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Kashima Antlers

Recent Form

Kashima Antlers

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Jul	Sagan Tosu FC	H	2–1	W
13 Jul	Vegalta Sendai	A	4–0	W
06 Jul	Júbilo Iwata	H	2–0	W
30 Jun	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	2–2	D
14 Jun	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	2–0	W
01 Jun	Gamba Osaka	A	1–1	D

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Jul	Kashima Antlers	A	1–2	L
13 Jul	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	0–2	L
07 Jul	Kawasaki Frontale	A	0–0	D
30 Jun	Shimizu S-Pulse	H	4–2	W
22 Jun	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	1–3	L
15 Jun	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	1–2	L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

14% Clean Sheets
Kashima Antlers this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kashima Antlers

0-15

–/1

16-30

1/2

31-45

3/2

46-60

3/5

61-75

3/–

76+

3/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Kashima Antlers

Leo Ceara	11 G
Aleksandar Cavric	4 G	1 A
Takuya Uchida	2 G

Events

Match Events

0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Kashima Antlers and Sagan Tosu FC has kicked off!
5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Kashima Antlers and Sagan Tosu FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
10' Sagan Tosu FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
15' Sagan Tosu FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 15.
20' The deadlock is broken! Leandro gets on the scoresheet on 20 minutes.
20' Yuji Takahashi catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 20.
23' Magnificent from Mu Kanazaki! That is 31 goals in 279 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
28' Hitoshi Sogahata is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sagan Tosu FC so far.
33' With 0 assists to his name this season, Tomoya Inukai is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sagan Tosu FC.
35' GOAL! Ryohei Shirasaki scores on 35. Assisted by Leandro
40' Kashima Antlers have won 477 goals from 452 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
42' The referee has no hesitation. Tomoya Inukai is booked for Kashima Antlers — Yellow card on 42.
47' It looks surprising Sagan Tosu FC does not make any changes. Hiromu Mitsumaru has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
52' Yuta Koike has been relatively quiet despite scoring 4 goals in his last 268 appearances.
55' The referee calls foul for Leandro. He receives a Yellow card.
59' The referee shows Kashima Antlers player a Yellow card on 59.
60' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 60 minute. Akito Fukuta leaves to be changed by Ahn Yongwoo.
65' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
70' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
75' It is a cagey affair so far. Kashima Antlers in their trying to find a way past Sagan Tosu FC's compact .
80' The home supporters are growing impatient. Kashima Antlers must find a spark to ignite this game.
81' That is a Yellow card for Sagan Tosu FC. Mu Kanazaki will be fuming at that decision.
82' Fresh legs for Sagan Tosu FC! Yoshiki Takahashi comes on to replace Isaac Cuenca.
83' The Kashima Antlers bench stirs into life. Leandro is withdrawn and Yasushi Endo gets his opportunity.
84' The supporters are chanting for Fernando Torres. He replaces Yohei Toyoda on 84 minute.
87' The supporters are chanting for Bueno. He replaces Shintaro Nago on 87 minute.
90' It is a substitution in Kashima Antlers team. Sho Ito is replaced by Takeshi Kanamori on 90 minute.
90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Yuji Takahashi on 90.
2-1 the final result. Sagan Tosu FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Kashima Antlers Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Go Oiwa

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Myung-Hwi Kim

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Keita Yamashita	2
Yuma Suzuki	2
Ayase Ueda	2
Taisei Miyashiro	2
Marcelo Ryan	2
Ryohei Shirasaki	2
Masaya Tashiro	2
Kimito Nono	2

Head to Head

Kashima Antlers Form

2019-07-20 Kashima Antlers 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC W 2019-07-13 Vegalta Sendai 0–4 Kashima Antlers W 2019-07-06 Kashima Antlers 2–0 Júbilo Iwata W 2019-06-30 Kashima Antlers 2–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2019-06-14 Kashima Antlers 2–0 Cerezo Osaka FC W 2019-06-01 Gamba Osaka 1–1 Kashima Antlers D

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2019-07-20 Kashima Antlers 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2019-07-13 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2019-07-07 Kawasaki Frontale 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC D 2019-06-30 Sagan Tosu FC 4–2 Shimizu S-Pulse W 2019-06-22 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 3–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2019-06-15 Urawa Red Diamonds 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.43 Kashima Antlers xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.85 Sagan Tosu FC xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Kashima Antlers53% Draw27% Sagan Tosu FC20%

Actual: Kashima Antlers win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes44% 0% No56%

Avg goals/match: 2.28

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	88%	12%
± 1.5	67%	33%
± 2.5	40%	60%
± 3.5	20%	80%
± 4.5	9%	91%

Double Chance

Kashima Antlers or Draw

80%

Draw or Sagan Tosu FC

47%

Kashima Antlers or Sagan Tosu FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Kashima Antlers34% Draw50% Sagan Tosu FC16%

Actual: Kashima Antlers win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 0

13.5%

1 – 1

13.3%

0 – 0

12.4%

2 – 0

10.1%

2 – 1

Actual

0 – 1

7.5%

1 – 2

5.1%

3 – 0

4.8%

3 – 1

4.2%

2 – 2

3.8%

0 – 2

3.5%

3 – 2

1.9%

Asian Handicap — Kashima Antlers

Handicap	Kashima Antlers covers	Push	Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	15%	75%
-1.5	25%	—	75%
-1	25%	24%	51%
-0.5	49%	—	51%
+0.5	79%	—	21%
+1	79%	14%	7%
+1.5	93%	—	7%
+2	93%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Kashima Antlers keeps clean sheet

43% ✓

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.