Spain vs Wales, 2017
Overview
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
Spain Lineups
Wales Lineups
H2H
Head to Head
Spain Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.13
Spain xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02
Wales xG
I would bet for:
Spain or Draw 69% + Under 2.5 goals 64%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.15
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 2.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 3.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
Spain or Draw
69%
Draw or Wales
62%
Spain or Wales
69%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Spain win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
14%
1 – 0
11.9%
0 – 1
10.6%
2 – 1
7.4%
2 – 0
7.1%
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 1
2.8%
3 – 0
2.7%
1 – 3
2.3%
Asian Handicap — Spain
| Handicap | Spain covers | Push | Wales covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 10% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 21% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 19% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Spain keeps clean sheet
37%
✓
Wales keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.