Italy vs Germany, 2017
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Overview
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetingsRecent Form
Key Stats
33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history -
Events
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Lineups
Italy Lineups
Germany Lineups
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H2H
H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Mesut Ozil 1 Leonardo Bonucci 1 Mesut Ozil 1 Leonardo Bonucci 1 Head to Head
Italy Form
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Predictions
Prediction accuracy3 / 41.45 Italy xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo0.8 Germany xGI would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Italy winBoth Teams to Score
✓ CorrectAvg goals/match: 2.25Actual: No — clean sheetOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 87% 13% ± 1.5 66% 34% ± 2.5 39% 61% ± 3.5 20% 80% ± 4.5 9% 91% Double Chance
Italy or Draw 81%Draw or Germany 46%Italy or Germany 73%Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Italy win at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 121 – 0 14.2%1 – 1 13.1%0 – 0 12.7%2 – 0 Actual2 – 1 8.6%0 – 1 7.2%3 – 0 5.1%1 – 2 4.7%3 – 1 4.2%2 – 2 3.5%0 – 2 3.2%4 – 0 1.9%Asian Handicap — Italy
Handicap Italy covers Push Germany covers -2.5 10% — 90% -2 10% 16% 74% -1.5 26% — 74% -1 26% 25% 49% -0.5 51% — 49% +0.5 81% — 19% +1 81% 13% 6% +1.5 94% — 6% +2 94% 5% 1% +2.5 99% — 1% Clean Sheet
Italy keeps clean sheet 45% ✗Germany keeps clean sheet 24% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.