Thursday , 2 July 2026

Burnley FC vs Portsmouth FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 21 Sep 2024 · 14:00 UTC Turf Moor 20,476 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 42' Callum Lang
Jeremy Sarmiento 63' 1–1
Josh Brownhill 90+4' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Portsmouth FCChampionship at Turf Moor.

Match Details

  • Referee David Webb
  • Assistant 1 Rob Smith
  • Assistant 2 Hugh Gilroy (England)

Head-to-Head

1
1
Burnley FC 2 games · Avg 1.5 goals Portsmouth FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Sep Portsmouth FC H 2–1 W
14 Sep Leeds United FC A 1–0 W
31 Aug Blackburn Rovers FC H 1–1 D
24 Aug Sunderland AFC A 0–1 L
17 Aug Cardiff City FC H 5–0 W
12 Aug Luton Town FC A 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Sep Burnley FC A 1–2 L
15 Sep West Bromwich Albion FC H 0–3 L
31 Aug Sunderland AFC H 1–3 L
24 Aug Middlesbrough FC A 2–2 D
17 Aug Luton Town FC H 0–0 D
10 Aug Leeds United FC A 3–3 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Burnley FC is hosting Portsmouth FC for another epic battle.
  • 5' Portsmouth FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
  • 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Josh Murphy, as he is very good at scoring at Turf Moor with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 20' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Portsmouth FC that had 371 games and scored 525 goals.
  • 25' Burnley FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 30' Portsmouth FC is showing some good football. However, Portsmouth FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 34' Josh Cullen is having his name booked by the referee on 34.
  • 39' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 42' Goal! Callum Lang scores his 53 goal in 14 matches.
  • 47' Harvey Blair needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 48' Josh Murphy was booked on 48.
  • 53' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 53 minutes.
  • 58' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 60' Andre Dozzell is replacing Freddie Potts for the Portsmouth FC side.
  • 61' Jeremy Sarmiento has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jaidon Anthony on 61 minute.
  • 63' GOAL! Jeremy Sarmiento scores on 63.
  • 68' Burnley FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 69' Matt Ritchie is replacing Paddy Lane for the Portsmouth FC side.
  • 74' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 76' Time for substitution for Portsmouth FC. Zak Swanson is replaced by Jordan Williams.
  • 77' Harvey Blair is replacing Christian Saydee for the Portsmouth FC side.
  • 78' A meaty challenge results in booking for Zian Flemming on 78.
  • 81' It is a substitution in Burnley FC team. Josh Cullen is replaced by Josh Laurent on 81 minute.
  • 86' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 90' Another change for Burnley FC made on 90 minute. Lyle Foster leaves to be changed by Jay Rodriguez.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Burnley FC players.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.79 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13 Portsmouth FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC55% Draw24% Portsmouth FC21%
Actual: Burnley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.92
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Portsmouth FC
45%
Burnley FC or Portsmouth FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC37% Draw44% Portsmouth FC19%
Actual: Portsmouth FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.9%
2 – 0
8.5%
0 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
5.9%
3 – 1
5.6%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 1
5.3%
3 – 0
5%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Portsmouth FC covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 16% 71%
-1.5 29% 71%
-1 29% 22% 49%
-0.5 51% 49%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
33%
Portsmouth FC keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.