Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City — MLS at Shell Energy Stadium.
- Houston Dynamo 18 games · 32 pts (2026/26)
- St. Louis City 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun | St. Louis City | H | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Jun | Minnesota United FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 15 Jun | Montreal Impact FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 01 Jun | Sporting Kansas City | H | 1–3 | L |
| 28 May | New York City FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 25 May | San Jose Earthquakes | A | 3–3 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun | Houston Dynamo | A | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Jun | Orlando City SC | H | 2–4 | L |
| 14 Jun | Los Angeles Galaxy | H | 3–3 | D |
| 08 Jun | Portland Timbers | A | 1–2 | L |
| 31 May | San Jose Earthquakes | H | 2–1 | W |
| 25 May | Colorado Rapids SC | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Houston Dynamo | St. Louis City | |
|---|---|---|
| #19 | Position | #22 |
| 32 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 2 / 6 | W / D / L | 7 / 5 / 6 |
| 27 | Scored | 24 |
| 24 | Conceded | 24 |
| +3 | GD | +0 |
| 1.78 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 56% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
42%
Clean Sheets
Houston Dynamo this season
Houston Dynamo this season
16%
Clean Sheets
St. Louis City this season
St. Louis City this season
Houston Dynamo are 19th (32 pts). St. Louis City are 22nd (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Houston Dynamo
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
3/3
61-75
4/2
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
St. Louis City
0-15
2/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
4/2
46-60
5/5
61-75
4/3
76+
5/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Houston Dynamo
| Guilherme | 8 G | 4 A |
St. Louis City
| Marcel Hartel | 5 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Houston Dynamo to score. At the same time, St. Louis City does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 2' Joey Zalinsky is having his name booked by the referee on 2.
- 7' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 12' Houston Dynamo is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 15' A change in the St. Louis City ranks — Alfredo Morales exits the field as Akil Watts enters on 15.
- 20' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 21' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Jayden Reid on 21 minutes.
- 26' Houston Dynamo are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined St. Louis City backline.
- 31' Alfredo Morales needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 36' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 38' Pablo Ortiz was booked on 38.
- 43' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Houston Dynamo and St. Louis City are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 45' Controversy at the stadium! Ben Lundt argues furiously but the card stands.
- 46' Tomas Totland is ready to make an impact after coming on for Joey Zalinsky at the 46 minute mark.
- 51' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 54' Ethan Bartlow gets the nod from Houston Dynamo. He replaces Erik Sviatchenko and will look to change the dynamic.
- 59' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 64' It looks surprising Houston Dynamo does not make any changes. Marcel Hartel has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 66' The Argentina Ezequiel Ponce breaks the deadlock on 66 minutes. 1-0!
- 67' Celio Pompeu makes way for Xande Silva at the 67 minute mark. A tactical switch from St. Louis City.
- 72' It is a substitution in St. Louis City team. Jayden Reid is replaced by Tomas Ostrak on 72 minute.
- 77' Houston Dynamo make a change. Ondrej Lingr trudges off to be replaced by Sebastian Kowalczyk on 77 minutes.
- 82' St. Louis City are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 85' Obafemi Awodesu has so much to prove this time. He replaces Felipe on 85 minute.
- 90' Franco Escobar catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
- With this win, Houston Dynamo is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Houston Dynamo Lineups
Starting XI
- 31
-
14
Duane Holmes ↓ Lawrence Ennali 46'
-
8
Amine Bassi ↓ Nicolas Lodeiro 85'
- 10
- 6
- 2
- 28
- 9
- 35
-
36
Felipe ↓ Obafemi Awodesu 85'
- 22
Bench
- 1
-
20
Nicolas Lodeiro ↑ 85'
- 30
-
27
Sebastian Kowalczyk ↑ 77'
-
4
Ethan Bartlow ↑ 54'
-
11
Lawrence Ennali ↑ 46'
- 12
- 17
-
24
Obafemi Awodesu ↑ 85'
Coach
Ben Olsen
St. Louis City Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 17
-
27
Alfredo Morales ↓ Akil Watts 15'
- 9
- 11
- 3
-
12
Celio Pompeu ↓ Xande Silva 67'
-
99
Jayden Reid ↓ Tomas Ostrak 72'
- 13
-
6
Conrad Wallem ↓ Cedric Teuchert 46'
-
71
Joey Zalinsky ↓ Tomas Totland 46'
Bench
-
36
Cedric Teuchert ↑ 46'
- 38
-
45
Xande Silva ↑ 67'
-
7
Tomas Ostrak ↑ 72'
-
22
Kyle Hiebert ↑ 77'
- 15
-
20
Akil Watts ↑ 15'
- 39
-
14
Tomas Totland ↑ 46'
Coach
David Critchley
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Eduard Lowen | 2 |
| Simon Becher | 2 |
| Ezequiel Ponce | 2 |
| Mykhi Joyner | 1 |
| Corey Baird | 1 |
| Klauss | 1 |
| Nicholas Gioacchini | 1 |
| Tomas Ostrak | 1 |
Head to Head
Houston Dynamo Form
2025-06-29
Houston Dynamo
1–0
St. Louis City
W
2025-06-26
Minnesota United FC
3–1
Houston Dynamo
L
2025-06-15
Houston Dynamo
1–3
Montreal Impact FC
L
2025-06-01
Houston Dynamo
1–3
Sporting Kansas City
L
2025-05-28
New York City FC
0–3
Houston Dynamo
W
2025-05-25
San Jose Earthquakes
3–3
Houston Dynamo
D
St. Louis City Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.16
Houston Dynamo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14
St. Louis City xG
I would bet for:
Houston Dynamo or St. Louis City 71% + Under 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Houston Dynamo win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Houston Dynamo or Draw
69%
Draw or St. Louis City
60%
Houston Dynamo or St. Louis City
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
12.3%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
10.2%
2 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 0
6.5%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
2.9%
1 – 3
2.8%
3 – 0
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Houston Dynamo
| Handicap | Houston Dynamo covers | Push | St. Louis City covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 10% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 20% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 19% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 10% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Houston Dynamo keeps clean sheet
33%
✗
St. Louis City keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

