Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City — MLS at Shell Energy Stadium.
- Houston Dynamo 27 games · 44 pts (2026/26)
- St. Louis City 26 games · 44 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun | St. Louis City | H | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Jun | Minnesota United FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 15 Jun | Montreal Impact FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 01 Jun | Sporting Kansas City | H | 1–3 | L |
| 28 May | New York City FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 25 May | San Jose Earthquakes | A | 3–3 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun | Houston Dynamo | A | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Jun | Orlando City SC | H | 2–4 | L |
| 14 Jun | Los Angeles Galaxy | H | 3–3 | D |
| 08 Jun | Portland Timbers | A | 1–2 | L |
| 31 May | San Jose Earthquakes | H | 2–1 | W |
| 25 May | Colorado Rapids SC | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Houston Dynamo | St. Louis City | |
|---|---|---|
| #20 | Position | #19 |
| 44 | Points | 44 |
| 27 | Played | 26 |
| 13 / 5 / 9 | W / D / L | 12 / 8 / 6 |
| 34 | Scored | 45 |
| 32 | Conceded | 36 |
| +2 | GD | +9 |
| 1.63 | PPG | 1.69 |
| 48% | Win % | 46% |
Key Stats
43%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
H2H (7 games)
57%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
41%
Clean Sheets
Houston Dynamo this season
Houston Dynamo this season
12%
Clean Sheets
St. Louis City this season
St. Louis City this season
Houston Dynamo are 20th (44 pts). St. Louis City are 19th (44 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Houston Dynamo
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/4
31-45
7/4
46-60
5/3
61-75
5/3
76+
3/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
St. Louis City
0-15
4/3
16-30
7/2
31-45
9/3
46-60
8/5
61-75
6/5
76+
6/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Houston Dynamo
| Guilherme | 14 G | 6 A |
St. Louis City
| Rafael Navarro | 13 G | 3 A |
| Simon Becher | 8 G | 4 A |
| Marcel Hartel | 6 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Houston Dynamo get us underway at Shell Energy Stadium.
- 2' Poor challenge from Joey Zalinsky. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 7' It looks surprising St. Louis City does not make any changes. Akil Watts has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 12' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 15' Akil Watts is ready to make an impact after coming on for Alfredo Morales at the 15 minute mark.
- 20' Houston Dynamo are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 21' Jayden Reid is having his name booked by the referee on 21.
- 26' Houston Dynamo started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 26.
- 31' The energy levels are beginning to show. David Critchley might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 36' St. Louis City have won 187 goals from 124 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 38' It’s a booking for Houston Dynamo player. Pablo Ortiz gets a card.
- 43' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Houston Dynamo and St. Louis City are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 45' Ben Lundt was booked on 45.
- 46' Joey Zalinsky makes way for Tomas Totland at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from St. Louis City.
- 51' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 54' Another substitution for Houston Dynamo to replace Erik Sviatchenko by Ethan Bartlow on 54 minute.
- 59' St. Louis City is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 64' St. Louis City fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 66' The Argentina Ezequiel Ponce breaks the deadlock on 66 minutes. 1-0!
- 67' Xande Silva gets the nod from St. Louis City. He replaces Celio Pompeu and will look to change the dynamic.
- 72' Another change for St. Louis City made on 72 minute. Jayden Reid leaves to be changed by Tomas Ostrak.
- 77' Time for substitution for Houston Dynamo. Ondrej Lingr is replaced by Sebastian Kowalczyk.
- 82' It’s high time David Critchley made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 85' Obafemi Awodesu has so much to prove this time. He replaces Felipe on 85 minute.
- 90' Franco Escobar was booked on 90.
- St. Louis City will have plenty to reflect on. Houston Dynamo were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Houston Dynamo Lineups
Starting XI
- 31
-
14
Duane Holmes ↓ Lawrence Ennali 46'
-
8
Amine Bassi ↓ Nicolas Lodeiro 85'
- 10
- 6
- 2
- 28
- 9
- 35
-
36
Felipe ↓ Obafemi Awodesu 85'
- 22
Bench
- 1
-
20
Nicolas Lodeiro ↑ 85'
- 30
-
27
Sebastian Kowalczyk ↑ 77'
-
4
Ethan Bartlow ↑ 54'
-
11
Lawrence Ennali ↑ 46'
- 12
- 17
-
24
Obafemi Awodesu ↑ 85'
Coach
Ben Olsen
St. Louis City Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 17
-
27
Alfredo Morales ↓ Akil Watts 15'
- 9
- 11
- 3
-
12
Celio Pompeu ↓ Xande Silva 67'
-
99
Jayden Reid ↓ Tomas Ostrak 72'
- 13
-
6
Conrad Wallem ↓ Cedric Teuchert 46'
-
71
Joey Zalinsky ↓ Tomas Totland 46'
Bench
-
36
Cedric Teuchert ↑ 46'
- 38
-
45
Xande Silva ↑ 67'
-
7
Tomas Ostrak ↑ 72'
-
22
Kyle Hiebert ↑ 77'
- 15
-
20
Akil Watts ↑ 15'
- 39
-
14
Tomas Totland ↑ 46'
Coach
David Critchley
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Simon Becher | 3 |
| Eduard Lowen | 2 |
| Ezequiel Ponce | 2 |
| Duane Holmes | 1 |
| Henry Kessler | 1 |
| Mykhi Joyner | 1 |
| Corey Baird | 1 |
| Nicholas Gioacchini | 1 |
Head to Head
Houston Dynamo Form
2025-06-29
Houston Dynamo
1–0
St. Louis City
W
2025-06-26
Minnesota United FC
3–1
Houston Dynamo
L
2025-06-15
Houston Dynamo
1–3
Montreal Impact FC
L
2025-06-01
Houston Dynamo
1–3
Sporting Kansas City
L
2025-05-28
New York City FC
0–3
Houston Dynamo
W
2025-05-25
San Jose Earthquakes
3–3
Houston Dynamo
D
St. Louis City Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.07
Houston Dynamo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22
St. Louis City xG
I would bet for:
Houston Dynamo or St. Louis City 71% + Under 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Houston Dynamo win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.29
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Houston Dynamo or Draw
66%
Draw or St. Louis City
63%
Houston Dynamo or St. Louis City
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
12.4%
0 – 1
11.1%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
7.8%
0 – 2
7.2%
2 – 1
6.8%
2 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
4.3%
1 – 3
3.2%
0 – 3
2.9%
3 – 1
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Houston Dynamo
| Handicap | Houston Dynamo covers | Push | St. Louis City covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 18% | 69% |
| -0.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| +0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +1 | 62% | 21% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Houston Dynamo keeps clean sheet
30%
✗
St. Louis City keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

