Sunday , 16 August 2026

Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Sun 29 Jun 2025 · 00:30 UTC Shell Energy Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Jun St. Louis City H 1–0 W
26 Jun Minnesota United FC A 1–3 L
15 Jun Montreal Impact FC H 1–3 L
01 Jun Sporting Kansas City H 1–3 L
28 May New York City FC A 3–0 W
25 May San Jose Earthquakes A 3–3 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Jun Houston Dynamo A 0–1 L
26 Jun Orlando City SC H 2–4 L
14 Jun Los Angeles Galaxy H 3–3 D
08 Jun Portland Timbers A 1–2 L
31 May San Jose Earthquakes H 2–1 W
25 May Colorado Rapids SC A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Houston Dynamo St. Louis City
#19 Position #22
32 Points 26
18 Played 18
10 / 2 / 6 W / D / L 7 / 5 / 6
27 Scored 24
24 Conceded 24
+3 GD +0
1.78 PPG 1.44
56% Win % 39%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
42% Clean Sheets
Houston Dynamo this season
16% Clean Sheets
St. Louis City this season

Houston Dynamo are 19th (32 pts). St. Louis City are 22nd (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Houston Dynamo
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
3/3
61-75
4/2
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
St. Louis City
0-15
2/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
4/2
46-60
5/5
61-75
4/3
76+
5/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Houston Dynamo
Guilherme 8 G 4 A
St. Louis City
Marcel Hartel 5 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Houston Dynamo to score. At the same time, St. Louis City does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 2' Joey Zalinsky is having his name booked by the referee on 2.
  • 7' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 12' Houston Dynamo is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 15' A change in the St. Louis City ranks — Alfredo Morales exits the field as Akil Watts enters on 15.
  • 20' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 21' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Jayden Reid on 21 minutes.
  • 26' Houston Dynamo are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined St. Louis City backline.
  • 31' Alfredo Morales needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 36' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 38' Pablo Ortiz was booked on 38.
  • 43' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Houston Dynamo and St. Louis City are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 45' Controversy at the stadium! Ben Lundt argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 46' Tomas Totland is ready to make an impact after coming on for Joey Zalinsky at the 46 minute mark.
  • 51' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 54' Ethan Bartlow gets the nod from Houston Dynamo. He replaces Erik Sviatchenko and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 59' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 64' It looks surprising Houston Dynamo does not make any changes. Marcel Hartel has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 66' The Argentina Ezequiel Ponce breaks the deadlock on 66 minutes. 1-0!
  • 67' Celio Pompeu makes way for Xande Silva at the 67 minute mark. A tactical switch from St. Louis City.
  • 72' It is a substitution in St. Louis City team. Jayden Reid is replaced by Tomas Ostrak on 72 minute.
  • 77' Houston Dynamo make a change. Ondrej Lingr trudges off to be replaced by Sebastian Kowalczyk on 77 minutes.
  • 82' St. Louis City are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 85' Obafemi Awodesu has so much to prove this time. He replaces Felipe on 85 minute.
  • 90' Franco Escobar catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
  • With this win, Houston Dynamo is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.16 Houston Dynamo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14 St. Louis City xG
I would bet for: Houston Dynamo or St. Louis City 71% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Houston Dynamo40% Draw29% St. Louis City31%
Actual: Houston Dynamo win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Houston Dynamo or Draw
69%
Draw or St. Louis City
60%
Houston Dynamo or St. Louis City
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Houston Dynamo25% Draw51% St. Louis City24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
12.3%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
10.2%
2 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 0
6.5%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
2.9%
1 – 3
2.8%
3 – 0
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Houston Dynamo

Handicap Houston Dynamo covers Push St. Louis City covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 20% 65%
-0.5 35% 65%
+0.5 66% 34%
+1 66% 19% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 10% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Houston Dynamo keeps clean sheet
33%
St. Louis City keeps clean sheet
32%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.