Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City — MLS at Shell Energy Stadium.
- Houston Dynamo 34 games · 51 pts (2026/26)
- St. Louis City 34 games · 54 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun | St. Louis City | H | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Jun | Minnesota United FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 15 Jun | Montreal Impact FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 01 Jun | Sporting Kansas City | H | 1–3 | L |
| 28 May | New York City FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 25 May | San Jose Earthquakes | A | 3–3 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun | Houston Dynamo | A | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Jun | Orlando City SC | H | 2–4 | L |
| 14 Jun | Los Angeles Galaxy | H | 3–3 | D |
| 08 Jun | Portland Timbers | A | 1–2 | L |
| 31 May | San Jose Earthquakes | H | 2–1 | W |
| 25 May | Colorado Rapids SC | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Houston Dynamo | St. Louis City | |
|---|---|---|
| #20 | Position | #18 |
| 51 | Points | 54 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 14 / 9 / 11 | W / D / L | 15 / 9 / 10 |
| 43 | Scored | 59 |
| 43 | Conceded | 48 |
| +0 | GD | +11 |
| 1.50 | PPG | 1.59 |
| 41% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
38%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
38%
Clean Sheets
Houston Dynamo this season
Houston Dynamo this season
18%
Clean Sheets
St. Louis City this season
St. Louis City this season
Houston Dynamo are 20th (51 pts). St. Louis City are 18th (54 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Houston Dynamo
0-15
1/3
16-30
6/7
31-45
9/4
46-60
6/4
61-75
6/4
76+
5/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded
St. Louis City
0-15
9/3
16-30
8/2
31-45
11/8
46-60
10/9
61-75
6/7
76+
10/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Houston Dynamo
| Guilherme | 16 G | 8 A |
| Mateusz Bogusz | 8 G | 2 A |
St. Louis City
| Rafael Navarro | 18 G | 6 A |
| Simon Becher | 9 G | 4 A |
| Marcel Hartel | 6 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Houston Dynamo to score. At the same time, St. Louis City does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 2' That is a card for St. Louis City. Joey Zalinsky will be fuming at that decision.
- 7' St. Louis City fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 12' Houston Dynamo seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 15' It is a substitution in St. Louis City team. Alfredo Morales is replaced by Akil Watts on 15 minute.
- 20' St. Louis City come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 21' Poor challenge from Jayden Reid. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 26' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Houston Dynamo side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 31' Houston Dynamo are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against St. Louis City's shape.
- 36' Simon Becher has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 38' A meaty challenge results in booking for Pablo Ortiz on 38.
- 43' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 45' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Ben Lundt on 45 minutes.
- 46' A tactical swap from St. Louis City — Tomas Totland on, Joey Zalinsky off on 46 minutes.
- 51' St. Louis City is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 54' Ethan Bartlow is ready to make an impact after coming on for Erik Sviatchenko at the 54 minute mark.
- 59' Houston Dynamo are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 64' It is a cagey affair so far. Houston Dynamo in their trying to find a way past St. Louis City's compact .
- 66' A stunning finish from Ezequiel Ponce — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 67' A change in the St. Louis City ranks — Celio Pompeu exits the field as Xande Silva enters on 67.
- 72' The crowd applauds Jayden Reid as he leaves the pitch. Tomas Ostrak steps in for St. Louis City.
- 77' Another change for Houston Dynamo made on 77 minute. Ondrej Lingr leaves to be changed by Sebastian Kowalczyk.
- 82' Houston Dynamo are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined St. Louis City backline.
- 85' The whistle greets Felipe as he departs to be replaced by Obafemi Awodesu.
- 90' Houston Dynamo player sees a card in front of him.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Houston Dynamo 1-0 St. Louis City.
Lineups
Houston Dynamo Lineups
Starting XI
- 31
-
14
Duane Holmes ↓ Lawrence Ennali 46'
-
8
Amine Bassi ↓ Nicolas Lodeiro 85'
- 10
- 6
- 2
- 28
- 9
- 35
-
36
Felipe ↓ Obafemi Awodesu 85'
- 22
Bench
- 1
-
20
Nicolas Lodeiro ↑ 85'
- 30
-
27
Sebastian Kowalczyk ↑ 77'
-
4
Ethan Bartlow ↑ 54'
-
11
Lawrence Ennali ↑ 46'
- 12
- 17
-
24
Obafemi Awodesu ↑ 85'
Coach
Ben Olsen
St. Louis City Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 17
-
27
Alfredo Morales ↓ Akil Watts 15'
- 9
- 11
- 3
-
12
Celio Pompeu ↓ Xande Silva 67'
-
99
Jayden Reid ↓ Tomas Ostrak 72'
- 13
-
6
Conrad Wallem ↓ Cedric Teuchert 46'
-
71
Joey Zalinsky ↓ Tomas Totland 46'
Bench
-
36
Cedric Teuchert ↑ 46'
- 38
-
45
Xande Silva ↑ 67'
-
7
Tomas Ostrak ↑ 72'
-
22
Kyle Hiebert ↑ 77'
- 15
-
20
Akil Watts ↑ 15'
- 39
-
14
Tomas Totland ↑ 46'
Coach
David Critchley
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Simon Becher | 3 |
| Eduard Lowen | 2 |
| Ezequiel Ponce | 2 |
| Henry Kessler | 1 |
| Mykhi Joyner | 1 |
| Nicholas Gioacchini | 1 |
| Corey Baird | 1 |
| Tomas Ostrak | 1 |
Head to Head
Houston Dynamo Form
2025-06-29
Houston Dynamo
1–0
St. Louis City
W
2025-06-26
Minnesota United FC
3–1
Houston Dynamo
L
2025-06-15
Houston Dynamo
1–3
Montreal Impact FC
L
2025-06-01
Houston Dynamo
1–3
Sporting Kansas City
L
2025-05-28
New York City FC
0–3
Houston Dynamo
W
2025-05-25
San Jose Earthquakes
3–3
Houston Dynamo
D
St. Louis City Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.08
Houston Dynamo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.25
St. Louis City xG
I would bet for:
Houston Dynamo or St. Louis City 71% + Under 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Houston Dynamo win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.33
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Houston Dynamo or Draw
66%
Draw or St. Louis City
63%
Houston Dynamo or St. Louis City
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 0
11.9%
0 – 1
11%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
8%
0 – 2
7.4%
2 – 1
6.8%
2 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
4.4%
1 – 3
3.4%
0 – 3
3%
3 – 1
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Houston Dynamo
| Handicap | Houston Dynamo covers | Push | St. Louis City covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 8% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 18% | 70% |
| -0.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| +0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +1 | 61% | 21% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 11% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Houston Dynamo keeps clean sheet
29%
✗
St. Louis City keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

