St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo — MLS at Citypark.
- St. Louis City 26 games · 44 pts (2026/26)
- Houston Dynamo 27 games · 44 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun | Houston Dynamo | H | 3–0 | W |
| 28 May | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 21 May | Sporting Kansas City | H | 4–0 | W |
| 13 May | Chicago Fire FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Apr | Portland Timbers | H | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Apr | Colorado Rapids SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun | St. Louis City | A | 0–3 | L |
| 01 Jun | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | A | 2–6 | L |
| 28 May | Austin FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 21 May | FC Dallas | A | 1–1 | D |
| 18 May | Minnesota United FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 14 May | Seattle Sounders FC | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| St. Louis City | Houston Dynamo | |
|---|---|---|
| #19 | Position | #20 |
| 44 | Points | 44 |
| 26 | Played | 27 |
| 12 / 8 / 6 | W / D / L | 13 / 5 / 9 |
| 45 | Scored | 34 |
| 36 | Conceded | 32 |
| +9 | GD | +2 |
| 1.69 | PPG | 1.63 |
| 46% | Win % | 48% |
Key Stats
43%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
H2H (7 games)
57%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
12%
Clean Sheets
St. Louis City this season
St. Louis City this season
41%
Clean Sheets
Houston Dynamo this season
Houston Dynamo this season
St. Louis City are 19th (44 pts). Houston Dynamo are 20th (44 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
St. Louis City
0-15
4/3
16-30
7/2
31-45
9/3
46-60
8/5
61-75
6/5
76+
6/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Houston Dynamo
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/4
31-45
7/4
46-60
5/3
61-75
5/3
76+
3/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
St. Louis City
| Rafael Navarro | 13 G | 3 A |
| Simon Becher | 8 G | 4 A |
| Marcel Hartel | 6 G | 3 A |
Houston Dynamo
| Guilherme | 14 G | 6 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! St. Louis City welcome Houston Dynamo for this crunch clash at Citypark.
- 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 9' What a strike from Eduard Lowen! The score is 1-0.
- 14' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 19' A quiet spell here at Citypark. St. Louis City seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 24' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Bradley Carnell will be considering his options from the bench.
- 29' St. Louis City are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 34' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 39' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 44' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 45' A moment of madness from Luis Caicedo on 45 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Houston Dynamo will be frustrated.
- 50' Adalberto Carrasquilla is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for St. Louis City tonight.
- 51' GOAL! Tomas Ostrak scores on 51.
- 56' Jakob Nerwinski has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 21 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 60' Houston Dynamo make a change. Artur trudges off to be replaced by Hector Herrera on 60 minutes.
- 61' Another change for Houston Dynamo made on 61 minute. Erik Sviatchenko leaves to be changed by Micael.
- 65' A tactical swap from St. Louis City — Rasmus Alm on, Tomas Ostrak off on 65 minutes.
- 69' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Aziel Jackson.
- 69' Another substitution for Houston Dynamo to replace Chase Gasper by Franco Escobar on 69 minute.
- 70' The Houston Dynamo bench stirs into life. Ibrahim Aliyu is withdrawn and Thor Ulfarsson gets his opportunity.
- 75' Houston Dynamo are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 78' Poor challenge from Ethan Bartlow. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 83' The USA Nicholas Gioacchini breaks the deadlock on 83 minutes. 3-0!
- 84' Nicholas Gioacchini adds to his 1 season tally! St. Louis City lead 4-0 — and this changes everything.
- 85' The whistle greets Adalberto Carrasquilla as he departs to be replaced by Brooklyn Raines.
- 89' The St. Louis City manager makes a substitution. Celio Pompeu departs to be replaced by Isak Jensen.
- 90' Poor challenge from Rasmus Alm. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 90' Joshua Yaro is replacing Jake Nerwinski for the St. Louis City side.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. St. Louis City take all three points.
Lineups
St. Louis City Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1
- 10
- 26
- 11
- 19
-
7
Tomas Ostrak ↓ Rasmus Alm 65'
-
2
Jakob Nerwinski ↓ Joshua Yaro 89'
- 24
- 6
- 22
- 12
Bench
-
14
John Nelson ↑ 89'
- 39
- 23
-
25
Aziel Jackson ↑ 65'
-
21
Rasmus Alm ↑ 65'
-
15
Joshua Yaro ↑ 89'
- 20
- 28
-
30
Isak Steiner Jensen ↑ 89'
Coach
Bradley Carnell
Houston Dynamo Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5
- 11
- 27
- 12
- 20
-
6
Artur ↓ Hector Herrera 60'
-
28
Erik Sviatchenko ↓ Micael 60'
-
30
Chase Gasper ↓ Franco Escobar 69'
- 7
- 4
-
18
Ibrahim Aliyu ↓ Thor Ulfarsson 69'
Bench
-
16
Hector Herrera ↑ 60'
- 13
- 3
-
2
Franco Escobar ↑ 69'
- 25
-
31
Micael ↑ 60'
-
35
Brooklyn Raines ↑ 85'
-
34
Thor Ulfarsson ↑ 69'
- 9
Coach
Ben Olsen
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Simon Becher | 3 |
| Eduard Lowen | 2 |
| Ezequiel Ponce | 2 |
| Henry Kessler | 1 |
| Mykhi Joyner | 1 |
| Corey Baird | 1 |
| Nicholas Gioacchini | 1 |
| Klauss | 1 |
Head to Head
St. Louis City Form
2023-06-04
St. Louis City
3–0
Houston Dynamo
W
2023-05-28
St. Louis City
3–1
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
W
2023-05-21
St. Louis City
4–0
Sporting Kansas City
W
2023-05-13
Chicago Fire FC
1–0
St. Louis City
L
2023-04-30
St. Louis City
1–2
Portland Timbers
L
2023-04-23
Colorado Rapids SC
1–1
St. Louis City
D
Houston Dynamo Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.29
St. Louis City xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.74
Houston Dynamo xG
I would bet for:
St. Louis City to win 67% + Over 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: St. Louis City win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.03
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 3.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
St. Louis City or Draw
87%
Draw or Houston Dynamo
33%
St. Louis City or Houston Dynamo
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: St. Louis City win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
12.5%
1 – 0
10.7%
3 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9.1%
1 – 1
8.9%
3 – 1
6.9%
0 – 0
6.4%
4 – 0
5.3%
4 – 1
4%
2 – 2
3.4%
0 – 1
3%
1 – 2
2.9%
Asian Handicap — St. Louis City
| Handicap | St. Louis City covers | Push | Houston Dynamo covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -2 | 27% | 21% | 52% |
| -1.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| -1 | 48% | 23% | 29% |
| -0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +0.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +1 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 2% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
St. Louis City keeps clean sheet
48%
✗
Houston Dynamo keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

