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Hertha BSC vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2019-20 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2019-20
Sun 19 Jan 2020 · 14:30 UTC Olympiastadion Berlin HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Hertha BSC vs FC Bayern MünchenBundesliga at Olympiastadion Berlin.

Match Details

  • Referee Christian Gittelmann
  • Referee Tobias Stieler
  • Referee Tobias Welz
  • Referee Matthias Jollenbeck
  • Referee Bibiana Steinhaus

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Jan FC Bayern München H 0–4 L
21 Dec Borussia Mönchengladbach H 0–0 D
18 Dec Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–0 W
14 Dec SC Freiburg H 1–0 W
06 Dec Eintracht Frankfurt A 2–2 D
30 Nov Borussia Dortmund H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Jan Hertha BSC A 4–0 W
21 Dec VfL Wolfsburg H 2–0 W
18 Dec SC Freiburg A 3–1 W
14 Dec SV Werder Bremen H 6–1 W
11 Dec Tottenham Hotspur FC H 3–1 W
07 Dec Borussia Mönchengladbach A 1–2 L

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Hertha BSC vs FC Bayern München — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' The 40-year-old Manuel Neuer has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 7' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Vladimir Darida on 7 minutes.
  • 12' David Alaba is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Bayern München so far.
  • 17' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 19' A moment of madness from Benjamin Pavard on 19 minutes earns him a Yellow card. FC Bayern Munchen will be frustrated.
  • 24' It looks surprising FC Bayern München does not make any changes. Mickael Cuisance has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 29' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 34' The energy levels are beginning to show. Hansi Flick might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 39' Alphonso Davies has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 44' It’s high time Hansi Flick made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 49' Over 49 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 54' Hertha BSC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 54.
  • 59' Hertha BSC have won 445 goals from 464 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 60' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Thomas Muller makes it 0-1.
  • 63' Controversy at the stadium! Rune Jarstein argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 64' It’s a booking for Hertha BSC player. Rune Jarstein gets a Yellow card.
  • 68' Marius Wolf has so much to prove this time. He replaces Vladimir Darida on 68 minute.
  • 73' What a moment for Robert Lewandowski! That strike on 73 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 76' A goal from the Spain international Thiago Alcantara! He fires home on 76 to make it 0-3!
  • 80' A tactical swap from FC Bayern Munchen — Leon Dajaku on, Alphonso Davies off on 80 minutes.
  • 81' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Dedryck Boyata on 81 minutes.
  • 82' Another substitution for Hertha BSC to replace Dodi Lukebakio by Pascal Kopke on 82 minute.
  • 83' Mickael Cuisance is ready to make an impact after coming on for Philippe Coutinho at the 83 minute mark.
  • 84' Goal! Ivan Perisic scores his 66 goal in 485 matches.
  • 87' The supporters are chanting for Serge Gnabry. He replaces Thomas Muller on 87 minute.
  • With this win, FC Bayern München is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.07 Hertha BSC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.68 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hertha BSC25% Draw27% FC Bayern München48%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.75
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Hertha BSC or Draw
52%
Draw or FC Bayern München
75%
Hertha BSC or FC Bayern München
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Hertha BSC19% Draw46% FC Bayern München35%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–4 not predicted
0 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
12.4%
0 – 1
9.9%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 2
8.8%
0 – 0
8.3%
1 – 0
5.9%
2 – 1
5.9%
1 – 3
5.2%
2 – 2
5%
0 – 3
4.9%
2 – 0
3.6%
2 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Hertha BSC

Handicap Hertha BSC covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 14% 77%
-0.5 23% 77%
+0.5 50% 50%
+1 50% 23% 28%
+1.5 72% 28%
+2 72% 16% 12%
+2.5 88% 12%

Clean Sheet

Hertha BSC keeps clean sheet
20%
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
35%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.