Sunday , 16 August 2026

Hertha BSC vs FC Bayern München, 2018-19 ROUND OF 16

DFB-Pokal · 2018-19
Wed 6 Feb 2019 · 19:45 UTC Olympiastadion Berlin HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Hertha BSC vs FC Bayern München — DFB-Pokal at Olympiastadion Berlin.

Match Details

  • Referee Sascha Thielert
  • Referee Frederick Assmuth
  • Referee Tobias Reichel
  • Referee Markus Schmidt

Head-to-Head

1
1
9
Hertha BSC 11 games · Avg 3.7 goals FC Bayern München

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Feb FC Bayern München H 2–3 L
02 Feb VfL Wolfsburg H 0–1 L
25 Jan FC Schalke 04 H 2–2 D
20 Jan 1. FC Nürnberg A 3–1 W
22 Dec Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–3 L
18 Dec FC Augsburg H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Feb Hertha BSC A 3–2 W
02 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–3 L
27 Jan VfB Stuttgart H 4–1 W
18 Jan TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 3–1 W
22 Dec Eintracht Frankfurt A 3–0 W
19 Dec RB Leipzig H 1–0 W

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Olympiastadion Berlin that hosts another battle between Hertha BSC and FC Bayern Munchen.
  • 3' GOAL! Maximilian Mittelstadt fires home to make it 1-0!
  • 3' Leon Goretzka was booked on 3.
  • 7' Serge Gnabry adds to his 0 season tally! FC Bayern Munchen lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 12' Hertha BSC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 17' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 22' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Bayern Munchen is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 27' Hertha BSC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 32' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 37' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 42' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Hertha BSC that had 464 games and scored 445 goals.
  • 47' With 0 assists to his name this season, Leon Goretzka is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Bayern Munchen.
  • 49' The deadlock is broken! Serge Gnabry gets on the scoresheet on 49 minutes.
  • 54' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 59' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 64' Hertha BSC make a change. Vedad Ibisevic trudges off to be replaced by Davie Selke on 64 minutes.
  • 67' Davie Selke does the damage! The net is bulging and Hertha BSC surge ahead!
  • 72' Hertha BSC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FC Bayern Munchen's shape.
  • 77' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Bayern Munchen needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 82' The Hertha BSC manager makes a substitution. Salomon Kalou departs to be replaced by Lukas Klunter.
  • 87' Vedad Ibisevic needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
  • 89' Franck Ribery has so much to prove this time. He replaces Serge Gnabry on 89 minute.
  • Hertha BSC will have plenty to reflect on. FC Bayern Munchen were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.55 Hertha BSC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.54 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Hertha BSC or FC Bayern München 73% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hertha BSC35% Draw27% FC Bayern München38%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.09
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Hertha BSC or Draw
62%
Draw or FC Bayern München
65%
Hertha BSC or FC Bayern München
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Hertha BSC28% Draw44% FC Bayern München28%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
11.7%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
8.1%
2 – 2
6.2%
1 – 0
6.2%
0 – 0
6.2%
0 – 1
6.2%
2 – 0
5.4%
0 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
4.2%
1 – 3
4.1%
3 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Hertha BSC

Handicap Hertha BSC covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 11% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 18% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 63% 37%
+1 63% 18% 18%
+1.5 82% 18%
+2 82% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Hertha BSC keeps clean sheet
22%
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.