Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sparta Rotterdam vs Heracles Almelo, Eredivisie 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2023-24
Sat 6 Apr 2024 · 14:30 UTC Het Kasteel HT 45' · FT 45'
1–1 48' Justin Hoogma
1–2 73' Jizz Hornkamp

Overview

Match Preview

Sparta Rotterdam vs Heracles AlmeloEredivisie at Het Kasteel.

Match Details

  • Referee Laurens Gerrets
  • Assistant 1 Rens Bluemink
  • Assistant 2 Mario Diks

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Apr Heracles Almelo H 1–2 L
02 Apr SBV Vitesse A 4–1 W
30 Mar Fortuna Sittard H 4–0 W
17 Mar AFC Ajax H 2–2 D
09 Mar FC Twente '65 A 1–2 L
02 Mar AZ H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Apr Sparta Rotterdam A 2–1 W
03 Apr AZ H 5–0 W
31 Mar FC Twente '65 A 0–1 L
15 Mar Go Ahead Eagles H 2–0 W
10 Mar Feyenoord Rotterdam A 0–3 L
03 Mar Almere City FC H 2–2 D

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
27% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.49 Sparta Rotterdam xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 Heracles Almelo xG
I would bet for: Sparta Rotterdam or Draw 72%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sparta Rotterdam44% Draw29% Heracles Almelo27%
Actual: Heracles Almelo win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Sparta Rotterdam or Draw
72%
Draw or Heracles Almelo
56%
Sparta Rotterdam or Heracles Almelo
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sparta Rotterdam32% Draw48% Heracles Almelo20%
Actual: Sparta Rotterdam win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
1 – 0
10.4%
0 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
8.8%
2 – 0
8.3%
0 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.4%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 0
4%
3 – 2
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Sparta Rotterdam

Handicap Sparta Rotterdam covers Push Heracles Almelo covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 14% 77%
-1.5 23% 77%
-1 23% 22% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 16% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Sparta Rotterdam keeps clean sheet
35%
Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.