Heart of Midlothian FC vs Aberdeen FC, Premier League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Heart of Midlothian FC vs Aberdeen FC — Premier League at Tynecastle Park.
- Heart of Midlothian FC 33 games · 70 pts (2026/27)
- Aberdeen FC 33 games · 33 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 33 | 70 |
| 2 | Rangers FC | 33 | 69 |
| 3 | Celtic FC | 33 | 67 |
| 4 | Motherwell FC | 33 | 54 |
| 5 | Hibernian FC | 33 | 51 |
| 6 | Falkirk FC | 33 | 46 |
| 7 | Dundee United FC | 33 | 40 |
| 8 | Aberdeen FC | 33 | 33 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 33 | 33 |
| 10 | St. Mirren FC | 33 | 30 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock FC | 33 | 28 |
| 12 | Livingston FC | 33 | 16 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan | Aberdeen FC | H | 5–0 | W |
| 13 Jan | St. Mirren FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Jan | St. Mirren FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Jan | Hibernian FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 28 Dec | St. Johnstone FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 24 Dec | Dundee United FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan | Heart of Midlothian FC | A | 0–5 | L |
| 07 Jan | St. Johnstone FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 02 Jan | Ross County FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Dec | Kilmarnock FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Dec | St. Mirren FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Dec | Rangers FC | H | 2–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Heart of Midlothian FC | Aberdeen FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #8 |
| 70 | Points | 33 |
| 33 | Played | 33 |
| 21 / 7 / 5 | W / D / L | 9 / 6 / 18 |
| 58 | Scored | 33 |
| 28 | Conceded | 48 |
| +30 | GD | -15 |
| 2.12 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 64% | Win % | 27% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Heart of Midlothian FC are 1st (70 pts). Aberdeen FC are 8th (33 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Heart of Midlothian FC and Aberdeen FC get this one started.
- 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 10' It looks like no one’s ball. Aberdeen FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 15' Josh Ginnelly adds to his 0 season tally! Heart of Midlothian FC lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
- 20' Heart of Midlothian FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Aberdeen FC backline.
- 25' Heart of Midlothian FC have won 322 goals from 305 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 28' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Michael Smith makes it 2-0.
- 29' Michael Smith is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 34' With 0 assists to his name this season, Lawrence Shankland is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Heart of Midlothian FC.
- 39' The Scotland Lawrence Shankland breaks the deadlock on 39 minutes. 4-0!
- 39' It’s a booking for Aberdeen FC player. Duk gets a Yellow card.
- 40' Brilliant from the ! Lawrence Shankland makes it 5-0 with a superb finish on 40.
- 45' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 46' Magnificent from Josh Ginnelly! That is 25 goals in 65 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 47' Josh Ginnelly is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 52' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 54' It is a substitution in Aberdeen FC team. Jonathan Hayes is replaced by Vicente Besuijen on 54 minute.
- 55' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Kye Rowles.
- 60' The 22-year-old Ryan Duncan has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 61' Ryan Duncan gets the nod from Aberdeen FC. He replaces Bojan Miovski and will look to change the dynamic.
- 62' Against the run of play, Cameron Devlin has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 65' The crowd applauds Josh Ginnelly as he leaves the pitch. Stephen Humphrys steps in for Heart of Midlothian FC.
- 70' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 71' The Aberdeen FC bench stirs into life. Matthew Kennedy is withdrawn and Jayden Richardson gets his opportunity.
- 72' Marley Watkins is ready to make an impact after coming on for Duk at the 72 minute mark.
- 75' Stephen Kingsley is ready to make an impact after coming on for Toby Sibbick at the 75 minute mark.
- 80' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 84' A tactical swap from Heart of Midlothian FC — Alan Forrest on, Michael Smith off on 84 minutes.
- 85' The Heart of Midlothian FC manager makes a substitution. Robert Snodgrass departs to be replaced by Yutaro Oda.
- 90' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 90 minutes.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Aberdeen FC.
Lineups
Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
21
Toby Sibbick ↓ Stephen Kingsley 75'
-
18
Barrie McKay ↓ Jorge Grant 65'
-
77
Robert Snodgrass ↓ Yutaro Oda 85'
- 30
- 72
- 14
- 15
-
2
Michael Smith ↓ Alan Forrest 84'
- 28
- 9
- 19
Bench
-
3
Stephen Kingsley ↑ 75'
-
29
Stephen Humphrys ↑ 65'
-
7
Jorge Grant ↑ 65'
- 13
- 12
-
88
Yutaro Oda ↑ 85'
-
17
Alan Forrest ↑ 84'
- 8
- 20
Coach
Robbie Neilson
Aberdeen FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 6
- 22
- 2
- 20
- 4
- 16
- 17
- 33
-
9
Bojan Miovski ↓ Ryan Duncan 61'
-
11
Duk ↓ Marley Watkins 72'
Bench
-
15
Marley Watkins ↑ 72'
-
25
Jayden Richardson ↑ 71'
- 8
-
14
Patrik Myslovic ↑ 61'
-
10
Vicente Besuijen ↑ 54'
-
23
Ryan Duncan ↑ 61'
- 30
- 21
- 36
Coach
James Goodwin
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Lawrence Shankland | 5 |
| Sam Cosgrove | 4 |
| Duk | 3 |
| Josh Ginnelly | 3 |
| Leighton Clarkson | 2 |
| Lewis Ferguson | 2 |
| Steven Naismith | 2 |
| Michael Smith | 2 |
Head to Head
Heart of Midlothian FC Form
2023-01-18
Heart of Midlothian FC
5–0
Aberdeen FC
W
2023-01-13
Heart of Midlothian FC
1–0
St. Mirren FC
W
2023-01-07
St. Mirren FC
1–1
Heart of Midlothian FC
D
2023-01-02
Heart of Midlothian FC
3–0
Hibernian FC
W
2022-12-28
St. Johnstone FC
2–3
Heart of Midlothian FC
W
2022-12-24
Dundee United FC
2–2
Heart of Midlothian FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.51
Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.58
Aberdeen FC xG
I would bet for:
Heart of Midlothian FC to win 73% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Heart of Midlothian FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.09
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
90%
Draw or Aberdeen FC
27%
Heart of Midlothian FC or Aberdeen FC
83%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Heart of Midlothian FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
14.2%
3 – 0
11.5%
1 – 0
11.3%
2 – 1
8.1%
4 – 0
7.2%
1 – 1
7.2%
3 – 1
6.8%
0 – 0
5.9%
4 – 1
4.3%
5 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
2.3%
5 – 1
2.3%
Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC
| Handicap | Heart of Midlothian FC covers | Push | Aberdeen FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| -2 | 34% | 22% | 44% |
| -1.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| -1 | 56% | 22% | 22% |
| -0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +0.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +1 | 94% | 5% | 1% |
| +1.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
| +2 | 99% | 1% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
56%
✓
Aberdeen FC keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

