Heart of Midlothian FC vs Aberdeen FC, Premier League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Heart of Midlothian FC vs Aberdeen FC — Premier League at Tynecastle Park.
- Heart of Midlothian FC 7 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
- Aberdeen FC 7 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic FC | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Rangers FC | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 7 | 13 |
| 4 | Dundee FC | 7 | 10 |
| 5 | St. Mirren FC | 7 | 10 |
| 6 | St. Johnstone FC | 7 | 8 |
| 7 | Aberdeen FC | 7 | 8 |
| 8 | Motherwell FC | 7 | 8 |
| 9 | Dundee United FC | 7 | 8 |
| 10 | Hibernian FC | 7 | 7 |
| 11 | Falkirk FC | 7 | 6 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock FC | 7 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan | Aberdeen FC | H | 5–0 | W |
| 13 Jan | St. Mirren FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Jan | St. Mirren FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Jan | Hibernian FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 28 Dec | St. Johnstone FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 24 Dec | Dundee United FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan | Heart of Midlothian FC | A | 0–5 | L |
| 07 Jan | St. Johnstone FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 02 Jan | Ross County FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Dec | Kilmarnock FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Dec | St. Mirren FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Dec | Rangers FC | H | 2–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Heart of Midlothian FC | Aberdeen FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #7 |
| 13 | Points | 8 |
| 7 | Played | 7 |
| 4 / 1 / 2 | W / D / L | 2 / 2 / 3 |
| 14 | Scored | 7 |
| 8 | Conceded | 8 |
| +6 | GD | -1 |
| 1.86 | PPG | 1.14 |
| 57% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
52%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
H2H (25 games)
48%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
29%
Clean Sheets
Aberdeen FC this season
Aberdeen FC this season
Heart of Midlothian FC are 3rd (13 pts). Aberdeen FC are 7th (8 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Heart of Midlothian FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Aberdeen FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/1
61-75
–/2
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Heart of Midlothian FC
| James Wilson | 3 G | |
| Claudio Braga | 2 G | 2 A |
| Joshua McPake | 1 G | 1 A |
| Calvin Miller | 1 G | |
| Tom Renaud | 1 G |
Aberdeen FC
| Kevin Nisbet | 3 G | 2 A |
| Lewis Mayo | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Aberdeen FC gets underway.
- 5' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 10' Heart of Midlothian FC have won 334 goals from 312 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 15' Against the run of play, Josh Ginnelly has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 20' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Heart of Midlothian FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 25' A quiet spell here at Tynecastle Park. Aberdeen FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 28' Michael Smith is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 29' GOAL! Michael Smith fires home to make it 3-0!
- 34' Aberdeen FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Lewis Mayo scoring 1 goals.
- 39' What composure from Lawrence Shankland! The Scotland international strokes it home. 4-0.
- 39' It’s a booking for Aberdeen FC player. Duk gets a Yellow card.
- 40' Lawrence Shankland doubles the advantage! 5-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 45' Ross McCrorie has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 4 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 46' Josh Ginnelly has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 45 minutes.
- 47' Magnificent from Josh Ginnelly! That is 25 goals in 65 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 52' Wales international Marley Watkins has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 54' A change in the Aberdeen FC ranks — Jonathan Hayes exits the field as Vicente Besuijen enters on 54.
- 55' Kye Rowles has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 55.
- 60' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 61' Ryan Duncan gets the nod from Aberdeen FC. He replaces Bojan Miovski and will look to change the dynamic.
- 62' Goal! Cameron Devlin scores his 6 goal in 215 matches.
- 65' Heart of Midlothian FC make a change. Josh Ginnelly trudges off to be replaced by Stephen Humphrys on 65 minutes.
- 70' The travelling Aberdeen FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 71' Jayden Richardson is ready to make an impact after coming on for Matthew Kennedy at the 71 minute mark.
- 72' Another substitution for Aberdeen FC to replace Duk by Marley Watkins on 72 minute.
- 75' The Heart of Midlothian FC bench stirs into life. Toby Sibbick is withdrawn and Stephen Kingsley gets his opportunity.
- 80' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 84' Heart of Midlothian FC ring the changes. Michael Smith has done his job and it is now time for Alan Forrest to step up.
- 85' It is a substitution in Heart of Midlothian FC team. Robert Snodgrass is replaced by Yutaro Oda on 85 minute.
- 90' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Aberdeen FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- Heart of Midlothian FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
21
Toby Sibbick ↓ Stephen Kingsley 75'
-
18
Barrie McKay ↓ Jorge Grant 65'
-
77
Robert Snodgrass ↓ Yutaro Oda 85'
- 30
- 72
- 14
- 15
-
2
Michael Smith ↓ Alan Forrest 84'
- 28
- 9
- 19
Bench
-
3
Stephen Kingsley ↑ 75'
-
29
Stephen Humphrys ↑ 65'
-
7
Jorge Grant ↑ 65'
- 13
- 12
-
88
Yutaro Oda ↑ 85'
-
17
Alan Forrest ↑ 84'
- 8
- 20
Coach
Robbie Neilson
Aberdeen FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 6
- 22
- 2
- 20
- 4
- 16
- 17
- 33
-
9
Bojan Miovski ↓ Ryan Duncan 61'
-
11
Duk ↓ Marley Watkins 72'
Bench
-
15
Marley Watkins ↑ 72'
-
25
Jayden Richardson ↑ 71'
- 8
-
14
Patrik Myslovic ↑ 61'
-
10
Vicente Besuijen ↑ 54'
-
23
Ryan Duncan ↑ 61'
- 30
- 21
- 36
Coach
James Goodwin
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Lawrence Shankland | 5 |
| Sam Cosgrove | 4 |
| Duk | 3 |
| Josh Ginnelly | 3 |
| Matthew Pollock | 2 |
| John Souttar | 2 |
| Leighton Clarkson | 2 |
| Lewis Ferguson | 2 |
Head to Head
Heart of Midlothian FC Form
2023-01-18
Heart of Midlothian FC
5–0
Aberdeen FC
W
2023-01-13
Heart of Midlothian FC
1–0
St. Mirren FC
W
2023-01-07
St. Mirren FC
1–1
Heart of Midlothian FC
D
2023-01-02
Heart of Midlothian FC
3–0
Hibernian FC
W
2022-12-28
St. Johnstone FC
2–3
Heart of Midlothian FC
W
2022-12-24
Dundee United FC
2–2
Heart of Midlothian FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.47
Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.72
Aberdeen FC xG
I would bet for:
Heart of Midlothian FC to win 70% + Over 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Heart of Midlothian FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.19
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
89%
Draw or Aberdeen FC
30%
Heart of Midlothian FC or Aberdeen FC
82%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Heart of Midlothian FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
12.5%
3 – 0
10%
1 – 0
10%
2 – 1
8.7%
1 – 1
8%
3 – 1
7.2%
4 – 0
6.2%
0 – 0
5.5%
4 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
3.1%
5 – 0
Actual
3 – 2
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC
| Handicap | Heart of Midlothian FC covers | Push | Aberdeen FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -2 | 31% | 22% | 47% |
| -1.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| -1 | 53% | 22% | 26% |
| -0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +0.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +1 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +1.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
| +2 | 98% | 2% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
49%
✗
Aberdeen FC keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

