Saturday , 14 November 2026

Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Union Berlin, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Hamburger SV
3 – 2
Full Time
1. FC Union Berlin
Sat 14 Feb 2026 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Union Berlin — Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Florian Badstubner
8 games this season 🟨 2.8/game ⚽ 10.0 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Bayern München 9 21
2 Borussia Dortmund 9 21
3 SC Freiburg 9 19
4 RB Leipzig 9 18
5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 9 16
6 SV Werder Bremen 9 15
7 SV 07 Elversberg 9 13
8 VfB Stuttgart 9 12
9 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 9 12
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 9 12
11 Hamburger SV 9 12
12 1. FSV Mainz 05 9 10
13 SC Paderborn 07 9 10
14 FC Augsburg 9 9
15 1. FC Köln 9 9
16 1. FC Union Berlin 9 7
17 FC Schalke 04 9 6
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 9 4

Head-to-Head

1
1
Hamburger SV 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals 1. FC Union Berlin
Last 5 meetings
2026-02-14 Hamburger SV 3–2 1. FC Union Berlin 2025-09-28 1. FC Union Berlin 0–0 Hamburger SV

Recent Form

Hamburger SV
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin H 3–2 W
07 Feb 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 2–0 W
31 Jan FC Bayern München H 2–2 D
23 Jan FC St. Pauli 1910 A 0–0 D
17 Jan Borussia Mönchengladbach H 0–0 D
10 Jan SC Freiburg A 1–2 L
1. FC Union Berlin
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Feb Hamburger SV A 2–3 L
06 Feb Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–1 D
31 Jan TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–3 L
24 Jan Borussia Dortmund H 0–3 L
18 Jan VfB Stuttgart A 1–1 D
15 Jan FC Augsburg A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Hamburger SV 1. FC Union Berlin
#11 Position #16
12 Points 7
9 Played 9
4 / 0 / 5 W / D / L 1 / 4 / 4
10 Scored 7
20 Conceded 21
-10 GD -14
1.33 PPG 0.78
44% Win % 11%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
11% Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this season
22% Clean Sheets
1. FC Union Berlin this season

Hamburger SV are 11th (12 pts). 1. FC Union Berlin are 16th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Hamburger SV
0-15
3/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/3
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FC Union Berlin
0-15
2/3
16-30
–/3
31-45
–/2
46-60
–/3
61-75
1/6
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Hamburger SV
Miro Muheim 3 G 1 A
Yussuf Poulsen 2 G
1. FC Union Berlin
Tim Skarke 2 G 1 A
Leopold Querfeld 1 G 1 A
Emmanuel Latte Lath 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Hamburger SV Lineups

1. FC Union Berlin Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.83 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14 1. FC Union Berlin xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 57% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV54% Draw24% 1. FC Union Berlin22%
Actual: Hamburger SV win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.97
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
78%
Draw or 1. FC Union Berlin
46%
Hamburger SV or 1. FC Union Berlin
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Hamburger SV38% Draw44% 1. FC Union Berlin18%
Actual: Hamburger SV win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.6%
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 0
8.6%
2 – 0
8.5%
0 – 0
6.9%
1 – 2
5.9%
3 – 1
5.8%
2 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
5.1%
0 – 1
5%
3 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push 1. FC Union Berlin covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 16% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 22% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 13% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.