Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Gamba Osaka vs V-Varen Nagasaki, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2026
Sun 8 Mar 2026 · 06:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Gamba Osaka vs V-Varen Nagasaki — J. League .

Match Details

  • Referee Akihiko Ikeuchi
3 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 10.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar V-Varen Nagasaki H 3–2 W
28 Feb Shimizu S-Pulse H 2–0 W
22 Feb Fagiano Okayama FC A 2–1 W
15 Feb Nagoya Grampus H 0–0 D
07 Feb Cerezo Osaka FC A 5–4 W
06 Dec Tōkyō Verdy H 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar Gamba Osaka A 2–3 L
28 Feb Cerezo Osaka FC H 1–0 W
21 Feb Nagoya Grampus A 3–1 W
13 Feb Vissel Kobe A 0–2 L
06 Feb Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 1–3 L
01 Dec Shimizu S-Pulse H 4–4 D

Season Stats

Gamba Osaka V-Varen Nagasaki
#5 Position #9
28 Points 21
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 7 / 0 / 11
61 Scored 25
53 Conceded 33
+8 GD -8
1.56 PPG 1.17
56% Win % 39%

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season
14% Clean Sheets
V-Varen Nagasaki this season

Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts). V-Varen Nagasaki are 9th (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gamba Osaka
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
V-Varen Nagasaki
0-15
–/2
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/3
46-60
4/4
61-75
–/1
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gamba Osaka
Issam Jebali 2 G 1 A
Deniz Hummet 2 G
Shinnosuke Nakatani 1 G
Asahi Uenaka 1 G
Welton 1 G
V-Varen Nagasaki
Matheus Jesus 3 G
Thiago Santana 3 G
Tenmu Matsumoto 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Gamba Osaka welcome V-Varen Nagasaki for this crunch clash at .
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Gamba Osaka to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Gamba Osaka Lineups

V-Varen Nagasaki Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.58 Gamba Osaka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.72 V-Varen Nagasaki xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 79% + Both teams to score 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Gamba Osaka56% Draw20% V-Varen Nagasaki24%
Actual: Gamba Osaka win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes75% 0% No25%
Avg goals/match: 4.3
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 79%
21%
± 3.5 61%
39%
± 4.5 42%
58%

Double Chance

Gamba Osaka or Draw
76%
Draw or V-Varen Nagasaki
44%
Gamba Osaka or V-Varen Nagasaki
80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Gamba Osaka42% Draw35% V-Varen Nagasaki23%
Actual: V-Varen Nagasaki win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 1
6.8%
3 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
6.4%
3 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
5.1%
2 – 0
4.7%
4 – 1
4.1%
3 – 0
3.9%
2 – 3
3.7%
4 – 2
3.6%
1 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Gamba Osaka

Handicap Gamba Osaka covers Push V-Varen Nagasaki covers
-2.5 20% — 80%
-2 20% 16% 64%
-1.5 36% — 64%
-1 36% 19% 45%
-0.5 55% — 45%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 13% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 7% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
19% ✓
V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet
8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.