Fagiano Okayama FC vs FC Machida Zelvia, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fagiano Okayama FC vs FC Machida Zelvia — J. League at City Light Stadium.
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
- FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 2–2 | D |
| 18 May | Albirex Niigata | H | 2–1 | W |
| 10 May | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 0–2 | L |
| 06 May | Nagoya Grampus | A | 0–0 | D |
| 03 May | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Apr | Tōkyō Verdy | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 17 May | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 3–0 | W |
| 11 May | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 2–2 | D |
| 07 May | Kyōto Sanga FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 03 May | Kashima Antlers | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Fagiano Okayama FC | FC Machida Zelvia | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #13 |
| 26 | Points | 37 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 8 / 0 / 10 | W / D / L | 13 / 0 / 5 |
| 41 | Scored | 42 |
| 46 | Conceded | 33 |
| -5 | GD | +9 |
| 1.44 | PPG | 2.06 |
| 44% | Win % | 72% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
14%
Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Machida Zelvia this season
Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts). FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/–
61-75
–/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/4
61-75
4/1
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Fagiano Okayama FC
| Kota Kawano | 3 G | |
| Lucao | 1 G | 1 A |
| Noah Browne | 1 G |
FC Machida Zelvia
| Yuki Soma | 3 G | 3 A |
| Koki Ogawa | 3 G | |
| Hotaka Nakamura | 2 G | 1 A |
| Tete Yengi | 2 G | 1 A |
| Takuma Nishimura | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Fagiano Okayama FC is hosting FC Machida Zelvia for another epic battle.
- 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Fagiano Okayama FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 10' Fagiano Okayama FC have won 53 goals from 59 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 15' Yugo Tatsuta has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 25' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 26' What composure from Kazunari Ichimi! The Japan international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 31' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 36' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Fagiano Okayama FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 41' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 46' Another substitution for FC Machida Zelvia to replace Shota Fujio by Takaya Numata on 46 minute.
- 51' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Fagiano Okayama FC and FC Machida Zelvia are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 55' Magnificent from Takaya Kimura! That is 7 goals in 59 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 60' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 62' The supporters are chanting for Lucao. He replaces Kazunari Ichimi on 62 minute.
- 63' The supporters are chanting for Hokuto Shimoda. He replaces Keiya Sento on 63 minute.
- 68' FC Machida Zelvia seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 72' Time for substitution for Fagiano Okayama FC. Ataru Esaka is replaced by Masaya Matsumoto.
- 76' The deadlock is broken! Yuki Soma gets on the scoresheet on 76 minutes.
- 81' Assisted by Yuki Soma with the perfectly-timed delivery and Mitchell Duke makes no mistake. 2-2!
- 84' It is a substitution in Fagiano Okayama FC team. Ryunosuke Sato is replaced by Noah Browne on 84 minute.
- 89' FC Machida Zelvia come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 90' Fresh legs for FC Machida Zelvia! Kanji Kuwayama comes on to replace Takuma Nishimura.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-2.
Lineups
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 49
- 43
- 18
-
22
Kazunari Ichimi ↓ Lucao 62'
- 2
-
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Masaya Matsumoto 72'
- 24
-
39
Ryunosuke Sato ↓ Noah Browne 84'
- 50
-
27
Takaya Kimura ↓ Hiroto Iwabuchi 72'
-
14
Ryo Tabei ↓ Ryo Takeuchi 84'
Bench
-
7
Ryo Takeuchi ↑ 84'
-
28
Masaya Matsumoto ↑ 72'
- 33
-
99
Lucao ↑ 62'
-
45
Noah Browne ↑ 84'
-
19
Hiroto Iwabuchi ↑ 72'
- 5
- 21
- 16
FC Machida Zelvia Lineups
Starting XI
- 20
- 1
- 3
-
8
Keiya Sento ↓ Hokuto Shimoda 63'
-
9
Shota Fujio ↓ Takaya Numata 46'
- 16
- 50
-
10
Sang-ho Na ↓ Yuki Soma 63'
- 26
- 6
-
90
Se-hun Oh ↓ Mitchell Duke 62'
Bench
-
18
Hokuto Shimoda ↑ 63'
- 23
-
7
Yuki Soma ↑ 63'
- 13
-
15
Mitchell Duke ↑ 62'
-
49
Kanji Kuwayama ↑ 90'
-
22
Takaya Numata ↑ 46'
- 30
Coach
Go Kuroda
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kazunari Ichimi | 1 |
| Takaya Kimura | 1 |
| Gen Shoji | 1 |
| Yuki Soma | 1 |
| Mitchell Duke | 1 |
Head to Head
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
2025-05-25
Fagiano Okayama FC
2–2
FC Machida Zelvia
D
2025-05-18
Fagiano Okayama FC
2–1
Albirex Niigata
W
2025-05-10
Kashiwa Reysol
2–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-05-06
Nagoya Grampus
0–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
D
2025-05-03
Vissel Kobe
2–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-04-29
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
Tōkyō Verdy
L
FC Machida Zelvia Form
2025-05-25
Fagiano Okayama FC
2–2
FC Machida Zelvia
D
2025-05-17
FC Machida Zelvia
3–0
Kashiwa Reysol
W
2025-05-11
Shimizu S-Pulse
2–2
FC Machida Zelvia
D
2025-05-07
FC Machida Zelvia
1–2
Kyōto Sanga FC
L
2025-05-03
Kashima Antlers
1–0
FC Machida Zelvia
L
2025-04-29
Cerezo Osaka FC
1–2
FC Machida Zelvia
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.02
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.2
FC Machida Zelvia xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 78% + Fagiano Okayama FC or FC Machida Zelvia 77%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.22
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 3.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 4.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
Double Chance
Fagiano Okayama FC or Draw
61%
Draw or FC Machida Zelvia
62%
Fagiano Okayama FC or FC Machida Zelvia
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Fagiano Okayama FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
7%
2 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
6.5%
1 – 3
5.1%
2 – 3
5.1%
3 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.3%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 3
3.4%
2 – 0
3.1%
0 – 1
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Fagiano Okayama FC
| Handicap | Fagiano Okayama FC covers | Push | FC Machida Zelvia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 11% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 16% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 17% | 25% |
| +1.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +2 | 75% | 13% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

