Fagiano Okayama FC vs FC Machida Zelvia, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2025

Fagiano Okayama FC

2 – 2

Full Time

FC Machida Zelvia

Sun 25 May 2025 · 04:00 UTC City Light Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Fagiano Okayama FC vs FC Machida Zelvia — J. League at City Light Stadium.

Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Fagiano Okayama FC 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals FC Machida Zelvia

Last 5 meetings

2025-05-25 Fagiano Okayama FC 2–2 FC Machida Zelvia

Recent Form

Fagiano Okayama FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 May	FC Machida Zelvia	H	2–2	D
18 May	Albirex Niigata	H	2–1	W
10 May	Kashiwa Reysol	A	0–2	L
06 May	Nagoya Grampus	A	0–0	D
03 May	Vissel Kobe	A	0–2	L
29 Apr	Tokyo Verdy	H	0–1	L

FC Machida Zelvia

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 May	Fagiano Okayama FC	A	2–2	D
17 May	Kashiwa Reysol	H	3–0	W
11 May	Shimizu S-Pulse	A	2–2	D
07 May	Kyoto Sanga FC	H	1–2	L
03 May	Kashima Antlers	A	0–1	L
29 Apr	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	2–1	W

Season Stats

Fagiano Okayama FC		FC Machida Zelvia
#6	Position	#13
26	Points	37
18	Played	18
8 / 0 / 10	W / D / L	13 / 0 / 5
41	Scored	42
46	Conceded	33
-5	GD	+9
1.44	PPG	2.06
44%	Win %	72%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

100% Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season

100% Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season

Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts). FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fagiano Okayama FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

–/–

46-60

1/–

61-75

–/–

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Machida Zelvia

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/–

31-45

1/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

1/–

76+

1/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at City Light Stadium!
5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Go Kuroda might look to freshen things up shortly.
10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
15' Fagiano Okayama FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Machida Zelvia backline.
20' FC Machida Zelvia seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
25' Hijiri Kato has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
26' GOAL! Kazunari Ichimi scores on 26. Assisted by Ryunosuke Sato
31' Fagiano Okayama FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
36' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Hokuto Shimoda made 439 appearances and scored 9 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
41' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
46' The whistle greets Shota Fujio as he departs to be replaced by Takaya Numata.
51' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Fagiano Okayama FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
55' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Takaya Kimura makes it 2-0.
60' Fagiano Okayama FC have won 51 goals from 56 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
62' The whistle greets Kazunari Ichimi as he departs to be replaced by Lucao.
63' FC Machida Zelvia make a change. Keiya Sento trudges off to be replaced by Hokuto Shimoda on 63 minutes.
68' Ibuki Fujita has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
72' A change in the Fagiano Okayama FC ranks — Ataru Esaka exits the field as Masaya Matsumoto enters on 72.
76' Brilliant from the ! Yuki Soma makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 76.
81' A stunning finish from Mitchell Duke — that came from absolutely nowhere!
84' The Fagiano Okayama FC manager makes a substitution. Ryunosuke Sato departs to be replaced by Noah Browne.
89' A quiet spell here at City Light Stadium. Fagiano Okayama FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
90' Kanji Kuwayama has so much to prove this time. He replaces Takuma Nishimura on 90 minute.
2-2 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

7
Ryo Takeuchi ↑ 84'
28
Masaya Matsumoto ↑ 72'
33
Yuta Kamiya
99
Lucao ↑ 62'
45
Noah Browne ↑ 84'
19
Hiroto Iwabuchi ↑ 72'
5
Yasutaka Yanagi
21
Kohei Kawakami
16
Yoko Iesaka

FC Machida Zelvia Lineups

Starting XI

20
Takuma Nishimura ↓ Kanji Kuwayama 90'
1
Kosei Tani
3
Gen Shoji
8
Keiya Sento ↓ Hokuto Shimoda 63'
9
Shota Fujio ↓ Takaya Numata 46'
16
Hiroyuki Mae
50
Daihachi Okamura
10
Sang-ho Na ↓ Yuki Soma 63'
26
Kotaro Hayashi
6
Hiroki Mochizuki
90
Se-hun Oh ↓ Mitchell Duke 62'

Bench

18
Hokuto Shimoda ↑ 63'
23
Ryohei Shirasaki
7
Yuki Soma ↑ 63'
13
Tatsuya Morita
15
Mitchell Duke ↑ 62'
49
Kanji Kuwayama ↑ 90'
22
Takaya Numata ↑ 46'
30
Yuki Nakashima

Coach Go Kuroda

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kazunari Ichimi	1
Takaya Kimura	1
Gen Shoji	1
Yuki Soma	1
Mitchell Duke	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.02 Fagiano Okayama FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.2 FC Machida Zelvia xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 78% + Fagiano Okayama FC or FC Machida Zelvia 77%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Fagiano Okayama FC38% Draw23% FC Machida Zelvia39%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes76% 0% No24%

Avg goals/match: 4.22

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	92%	8%
± 2.5	78%	22%
± 3.5	60%	40%
± 4.5	41%	59%

Double Chance

Fagiano Okayama FC or Draw

61%

Draw or FC Machida Zelvia

62%

Fagiano Okayama FC or FC Machida Zelvia

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Fagiano Okayama FC29% Draw37% FC Machida Zelvia34%

Actual: Fagiano Okayama FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

7.3%

1 – 2

2 – 2

Actual

2 – 1

6.5%

1 – 3

5.1%

2 – 3

5.1%

3 – 2

4.7%

3 – 1

4.3%

0 – 2

3.7%

3 – 3

3.4%

2 – 0

3.1%

0 – 1

2.9%

Asian Handicap — Fagiano Okayama FC

Handicap	Fagiano Okayama FC covers	Push	FC Machida Zelvia covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	11%	80%
-1.5	20%	—	80%
-1	20%	16%	64%
-0.5	36%	—	64%
+0.5	57%	—	43%
+1	57%	17%	25%
+1.5	75%	—	25%
+2	75%	13%	12%
+2.5	88%	—	12%

Clean Sheet

Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

Fagiano Okayama FC vs FC Machida Zelvia, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Overview

Match Preview

Standings

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

Season Stats

Key Stats

Goal Timing (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

FC Machida Zelvia Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Head to Head

Fagiano Okayama FC Form

FC Machida Zelvia Form

Predictions

Match Result

Both Teams to Score

Over / Under Goals

Double Chance

Half-Time Result

Correct Score

Asian Handicap — Fagiano Okayama FC

Clean Sheet