FK Rostov vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Rostov vs FK Orenburg — RFPL .
- FK Rostov 30 games · 33 pts (2026/27)
- FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Vladislav Bezborodov
- Referee Valery Danchenko
- Referee Aleksey Stipidi
- Referee Pavel Kukuyan
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul | FK Orenburg | H | 2–1 | W |
| 26 May | RFK Akhmat Grozny | A | 0–1 | L |
| 19 May | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | H | 1–0 | W |
| 10 May | FK Dinamo Moskva | A | 0–0 | D |
| 05 May | FK Krasnodar | H | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Apr | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul | FK Rostov | A | 1–2 | L |
| 26 May | FK Spartak Moskva | H | 2–0 | W |
| 18 May | FK Ufa | A | 2–0 | W |
| 10 May | FK Ural | H | 2–2 | D |
| 03 May | FK Rubin Kazan | A | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Apr | PFK Arsenal Tula | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| FK Rostov | FK Orenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #12 |
| 33 | Points | 29 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 8 / 9 / 13 | W / D / L | 7 / 8 / 15 |
| 25 | Scored | 29 |
| 32 | Conceded | 44 |
| -7 | GD | -15 |
| 1.10 | PPG | 0.97 |
| 27% | Win % | 23% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
FK Rostov are 10th (33 pts). FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at . FK Rostov are looking to make home advantage count against FK Orenburg.
- 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Aleksey Ionov suffering a number of foals already.
- 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 11' What a strike from Eldor Shomurodov! The score is 1-0.
- 16' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 21' FK Orenburg come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 26' Poor challenge from Khoren Bayramyan. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 31' FK Orenburg are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 36' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FK Rostov side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 41' Over 41 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 42' Aleksei Ionov has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 42 minutes.
- 43' The referee shows FK Orenburg player a Yellow card on 43.
- 48' It looks like no one’s ball. FK Orenburg is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 49' GOAL! Dorde Despotovic fires home to make it 2-1!
- 52' Poor challenge from Mikhail Sivakow. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 54' That is a Yellow card for FK Rostov. Mathias Normann will be fuming at that decision.
- 59' Uzbekistan international Vadim Afonin has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 61' The FK Orenburg manager makes a substitution. Ricardo Alves departs to be replaced by Artem Kulishev.
- 66' FK Orenburg looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Gedeon Guzina scoring 1 goals.
- 67' FK Rostov ring the changes. Khoren Bayramyan has done his job and it is now time for Aleksandr Zuev to step up.
- 72' Timur Ayupov gets the nod from FK Orenburg. He replaces Nikita Malyarov and will look to change the dynamic.
- 75' The FK Rostov manager makes a substitution. Aleksei Kozlov departs to be replaced by Arsenii Logashov.
- 80' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FK Rostov and FK Orenburg are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 81' The referee shows FK Orenburg player a Yellow card on 81.
- 82' The crowd applauds Eldor Shomurodov as he leaves the pitch. Bjorn Sigurdarson steps in for FK Rostov.
- 87' It looks surprising FK Orenburg does not make any changes. Savelii Kozlov has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- The final score is 2-1.
Lineups
FK Rostov Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
- 30
- 11
- 14
- 28
- 34
- 8
- 7
- 19
- 17
- 78
Bench
-
9
Bjorn Sigurðarson ↑ 82'
- 5
-
25
Arsenii Logashov ↑ 75'
- 3
- 84
-
23
Aleksandr Zuev ↑ 67'
- 15
- 1
- 26
- 47
Coach
Valeriy Karpin
FK Orenburg Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
- 31
-
77
Nikita Malyarov ↓ Timur Ayupov 72'
- 13
- 12
- 29
- 3
- 56
-
10
Ricardo Alves ↓ Artem Kulishev 61'
- 8
- 66
Bench
-
32
Artem Kulishev ↑ 61'
- 1
- 11
- 57
- 76
-
5
Timur Ayupov ↑ 72'
Coach
Vladimir Fedotov
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Nikolay Komlichenko | 5 |
| Brian Mansilla | 2 |
| Maksim Osipenko | 2 |
| Ronaldo | 2 |
| Sergei Terekhov | 1 |
| Braian Mansilla | 1 |
| Sergei Terekhov | 1 |
| Renato Gojkovic | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Rostov Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.16
FK Rostov xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03
FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for:
FK Rostov or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Rostov win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.19
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 2.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 3.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
FK Rostov or Draw
71%
Draw or FK Orenburg
60%
FK Rostov or FK Orenburg
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FK Rostov win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
13.5%
1 – 0
11.7%
0 – 1
10.2%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
4%
3 – 1
3%
3 – 0
2.8%
1 – 3
2.3%
Asian Handicap — FK Rostov
| Handicap | FK Rostov covers | Push | FK Orenburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 11% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 21% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 19% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
FK Rostov keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.