FK Orenburg vs FK Dinamo Moskva, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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RFPL · 2025-26

FK Orenburg

1 – 3

Full Time

FK Dinamo Moskva

Sun 21 Sep 2025 · 09:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FK Orenburg vs FK Dinamo Moskva — RFPL .

FK Orenburg 14 games · 17 pts (2026/27)
FK Dinamo Moskva 14 games · 31 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	14	31
2	FK Dinamo Moskva	14	31
3	FK Spartak Moskva	14	29
4	FK Krasnodar	14	26
5	PFC CSKA Moskva	14	26
6	FK Rostov	14	19
7	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	14	18
8	FK Rubin Kazan	14	18
9	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	14	17
10	FK Orenburg	14	17
11	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	14	16
12	RFK Akhmat Grozny	14	14
13	FK Akron Tolyatti	14	12
14	FK Rodina Moskva	14	12
15	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	14	11
16	FK Fakel Voronezh	14	6

Head-to-Head

FK Orenburg 17 games · Avg 3.1 goals FK Dinamo Moskva

Last 5 meetings

2025-09-21 FK Orenburg 1–3 FK Dinamo Moskva 2025-03-29 FK Dinamo Moskva 5–1 FK Orenburg 2024-09-01 FK Orenburg 2–2 FK Dinamo Moskva 2024-04-24 FK Orenburg 1–2 FK Dinamo Moskva 2023-11-12 FK Dinamo Moskva 2–0 FK Orenburg

Recent Form

FK Orenburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Sep	FK Dinamo Moskva	H	1–3	L
13 Sep	FK Nizhny Novgorod	A	1–3	L
30 Aug	FK Rubin Kazan	H	2–2	D
22 Aug	RFK Akhmat Grozny	H	2–2	D
17 Aug	FK Akron Tolyatti	A	2–1	W
10 Aug	FK Krasnodar	H	0–1	L

FK Dinamo Moskva

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Sep	FK Orenburg	A	3–1	W
13 Sep	FK Spartak Moskva	H	2–2	D
31 Aug	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	A	0–1	L
23 Aug	FK Nizhny Novgorod	H	3–0	W
17 Aug	PFC CSKA Moskva	H	1–3	L
10 Aug	PFK Sochi	A	1–1	D

Season Stats

FK Orenburg		FK Dinamo Moskva
#10	Position	#2
17	Points	31
14	Played	14
3 / 8 / 3	W / D / L	10 / 1 / 3
14	Scored	23
14	Conceded	13
+0	GD	+10
1.21	PPG	2.21
21%	Win %	71%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

44% Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season

56% Clean Sheets
FK Dinamo Moskva this season

FK Orenburg are 10th (17 pts). FK Dinamo Moskva are 2nd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Orenburg

0-15

–/2

16-30

2/–

31-45

3/–

46-60

1/–

61-75

3/2

76+

1/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FK Dinamo Moskva

0-15

2/1

16-30

2/2

31-45

3/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/1

76+

7/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FK Orenburg

Jordhy Thompson	3 G	3 A
Gedeon Guzina	3 G	1 A
Ruslan Kul	3 G	1 A
Andrey Kasadzhikov	1 G	1 A

FK Dinamo Moskva

Konstantin Tyukavin	7 G	1 A
Viktor Okishor	3 G	1 A
Anton Miranchuk	2 G
Arthur Gomes	2 G
Maksim Osipenko	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' What a night it is going to be! FK Orenburg welcome FK Dinamo Moskva for this crunch clash at .
It finishes all square. FK Orenburg and FK Dinamo Moskva share the spoils 1-3.

Lineups

FK Orenburg Lineups

FK Dinamo Moskva Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Konstantin Tyukavin	3
Saeid Saharkhizan	2
Jorge Carrascal	2
Brian Mansilla	2
Viktor Okishor	2
Du Queiroz	2
Bitelo	2
Vladimir Sychevoi	2

Head to Head

FK Orenburg Form

2025-09-21 FK Orenburg 1–3 FK Dinamo Moskva L 2025-09-13 FK Nizhny Novgorod 3–1 FK Orenburg L 2025-08-30 FK Orenburg 2–2 FK Rubin Kazan D 2025-08-22 FK Orenburg 2–2 RFK Akhmat Grozny D 2025-08-17 FK Akron Tolyatti 1–2 FK Orenburg W 2025-08-10 FK Orenburg 0–1 FK Krasnodar L

FK Dinamo Moskva Form

2025-09-21 FK Orenburg 1–3 FK Dinamo Moskva W 2025-09-13 FK Dinamo Moskva 2–2 FK Spartak Moskva D 2025-08-31 FK Dinamo Makhachkala 1–0 FK Dinamo Moskva L 2025-08-23 FK Dinamo Moskva 3–0 FK Nizhny Novgorod W 2025-08-17 FK Dinamo Moskva 1–3 PFC CSKA Moskva L 2025-08-10 PFK Sochi 1–1 FK Dinamo Moskva D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

0.96 FK Orenburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.74 FK Dinamo Moskva xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

FK Orenburg23% Draw26% FK Dinamo Moskva51%

Actual: FK Dinamo Moskva win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes52% 0% No48%

Avg goals/match: 2.7

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	75%	25%
± 2.5	50%	50%
± 3.5	29%	71%
± 4.5	14%	86%

Double Chance

FK Orenburg or Draw

49%

Draw or FK Dinamo Moskva

77%

FK Orenburg or FK Dinamo Moskva

74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FK Orenburg16% Draw46% FK Dinamo Moskva38%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.1%

0 – 1

10.8%

0 – 2

9.9%

1 – 2

9.4%

0 – 0

8.6%

0 – 3

5.6%

1 – 0

5.5%

1 – 3

Actual

2 – 1

5.2%

2 – 2

4.6%

2 – 0

2 – 3

2.7%

Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg

Handicap	FK Orenburg covers	Push	FK Dinamo Moskva covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	5%	93%
-1.5	7%	—	93%
-1	7%	12%	80%
-0.5	20%	—	80%
+0.5	46%	—	54%
+1	46%	23%	31%
+1.5	69%	—	31%
+2	69%	17%	14%
+2.5	86%	—	14%

Clean Sheet

FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

FK Dinamo Moskva keeps clean sheet

39% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.