Sunday , 16 August 2026

FK Orenburg vs FK Dinamo Moskva, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2025-26
Sun 21 Sep 2025 · 09:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Sep FK Dinamo Moskva H 1–3 L
13 Sep FK Nizhny Novgorod A 1–3 L
30 Aug FK Rubin Kazan H 2–2 D
22 Aug RFK Akhmat Grozny H 2–2 D
17 Aug FK Akron Tolyatti A 2–1 W
10 Aug FK Krasnodar H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Sep FK Orenburg A 3–1 W
13 Sep FK Spartak Moskva H 2–2 D
31 Aug FK Dinamo Makhachkala A 0–1 L
23 Aug FK Nizhny Novgorod H 3–0 W
17 Aug PFC CSKA Moskva H 1–3 L
10 Aug PFK Sochi A 1–1 D

Season Stats

FK Orenburg FK Dinamo Moskva
#12 Position #7
29 Points 45
30 Played 30
7 / 8 / 15 W / D / L 12 / 9 / 9
29 Scored 51
44 Conceded 40
-15 GD +11
0.97 PPG 1.50
23% Win % 40%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts). FK Dinamo Moskva are 7th (45 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' FK Orenburg have kicked off against FK Dinamo Moskva. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-3 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

FK Orenburg Lineups

FK Dinamo Moskva Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.16 FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.1 FK Dinamo Moskva xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 62% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FK Orenburg23% Draw24% FK Dinamo Moskva53%
Actual: FK Dinamo Moskva win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.26
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

FK Orenburg or Draw
47%
Draw or FK Dinamo Moskva
77%
FK Orenburg or FK Dinamo Moskva
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FK Orenburg17% Draw41% FK Dinamo Moskva42%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.2%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 2
8.4%
0 – 1
7.5%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 3
5.8%
2 – 2
5.4%
0 – 0
5.4%
2 – 1
5.2%
2 – 3
3.9%
1 – 0
3.8%
1 – 4
3.5%

Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg

Handicap FK Orenburg covers Push FK Dinamo Moskva covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 5% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 12% 81%
-0.5 19% 81%
+0.5 42% 58%
+1 42% 22% 36%
+1.5 64% 36%
+2 64% 18% 18%
+2.5 82% 18%

Clean Sheet

FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
13%
FK Dinamo Moskva keeps clean sheet
32%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.