Thursday , 2 July 2026

FK Lokomotiv Moskva vs FK Spartak Moskva, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2024-25
Sat 28 Sep 2024 · 13:30 UTC RZD-Arena 19,725 HT 45' · FT 45'
Ilya Samoshnikov 7' 1–0
1–1 16' Ezequiel Barco pen
Ilya Samoshnikov 36' 2–1
Dmitry Vorobyev 58' 3–1

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep FK Spartak Moskva H 3–1 W
22 Sep FK Nizhny Novgorod A 3–1 W
14 Sep FK Orenburg A 4–2 W
01 Sep FK Krasnodar H 0–3 L
25 Aug FK Rostov H 3–2 W
18 Aug PFC CSKA Moskva A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep FK Lokomotiv Moskva A 1–3 L
22 Sep FK Dinamo Moskva H 2–2 D
15 Sep FK Dinamo Makhachkala A 1–1 D
31 Aug FK Rubin Kazan H 1–0 W
24 Aug FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg A 0–0 D
18 Aug FK Fakel Voronezh H 3–0 W

Season Stats

FK Lokomotiv Moskva FK Spartak Moskva
#3 Position #4
53 Points 52
30 Played 30
14 / 11 / 5 W / D / L 15 / 7 / 8
54 Scored 47
39 Conceded 39
+15 GD +8
1.77 PPG 1.73
47% Win % 50%

Key Stats

69% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
23% Clean Sheets
FK Lokomotiv Moskva this season
23% Clean Sheets
FK Spartak Moskva this season

FK Lokomotiv Moskva are 3rd (53 pts). FK Spartak Moskva are 4th (52 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Lokomotiv Moskva
0-15
1/
16-30
1/1
31-45
/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Spartak Moskva
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/
61-75
3/
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.94 FK Lokomotiv Moskva xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.51 FK Spartak Moskva xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 66% + Over 2.5 goals 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FK Lokomotiv Moskva48% Draw24% FK Spartak Moskva28%
Actual: FK Lokomotiv Moskva win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.45
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 45%
55%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

FK Lokomotiv Moskva or Draw
72%
Draw or FK Spartak Moskva
52%
FK Lokomotiv Moskva or FK Spartak Moskva
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FK Lokomotiv Moskva35% Draw41% FK Spartak Moskva24%
Actual: FK Lokomotiv Moskva win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.2%
2 – 1
8.7%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 2
6.5%
2 – 0
6%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
5.6%
0 – 0
4.6%
3 – 2
4.2%
0 – 1
4.1%
3 – 0
3.8%
0 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — FK Lokomotiv Moskva

Handicap FK Lokomotiv Moskva covers Push FK Spartak Moskva covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 14% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 20% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 15% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

FK Lokomotiv Moskva keeps clean sheet
23%
FK Spartak Moskva keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.