Thursday , 2 July 2026

PFK Sochi vs FK Akron Tolyatti, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2025-26
Sat 26 Jul 2025 · 17:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

2
PFK Sochi 2 games · Avg 4.5 goals FK Akron Tolyatti

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Jul FK Akron Tolyatti H 0–4 L
19 Jul FK Lokomotiv Moskva A 0–3 L
25 May FK Rubin Kazan A 1–1 D
18 May FK Krasnodar H 2–3 L
12 May FK Nizhny Novgorod H 6–1 W
05 May FK Dinamo Moskva A 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Jul PFK Sochi A 4–0 W
19 Jul PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara H 1–1 D
24 May FK Lokomotiv Moskva H 1–4 L
18 May FK Dinamo Moskva A 1–2 L
11 May RFK Akhmat Grozny H 3–2 W
02 May FK Dinamo Makhachkala H 1–0 W

Season Stats

PFK Sochi FK Akron Tolyatti
#16 Position #13
22 Points 27
30 Played 30
6 / 4 / 20 W / D / L 6 / 9 / 15
29 Scored 35
60 Conceded 53
-31 GD -18
0.73 PPG 0.90
20% Win % 20%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
PFK Sochi this season
13% Clean Sheets
FK Akron Tolyatti this season

PFK Sochi are 16th (22 pts). FK Akron Tolyatti are 13th (27 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

PFK Sochi
0-15
2/1
16-30
/2
31-45
2/
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Akron Tolyatti
0-15
1/2
16-30
/2
31-45
1/6
46-60
2/1
61-75
1/2
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

PFK Sochi Lineups

FK Akron Tolyatti Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.23 PFK Sochi xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.61 FK Akron Tolyatti xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
PFK Sochi21% Draw22% FK Akron Tolyatti57%
Actual: FK Akron Tolyatti win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.84
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 72%
28%
± 3.5 52%
48%
± 4.5 34%
66%

Double Chance

PFK Sochi or Draw
43%
Draw or FK Akron Tolyatti
79%
PFK Sochi or FK Akron Tolyatti
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
PFK Sochi15% Draw36% FK Akron Tolyatti49%
Actual: FK Akron Tolyatti win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
8.8%
1 – 1
7.7%
1 – 3
7.5%
0 – 2
7.4%
0 – 3
6.2%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 1
5.3%
1 – 4
4.9%
2 – 3
4.6%
2 – 1
4.2%
0 – 4
Actual
0 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — PFK Sochi

Handicap PFK Sochi covers Push FK Akron Tolyatti covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 4% 94%
-1.5 6% 94%
-1 6% 9% 84%
-0.5 16% 84%
+0.5 35% 65%
+1 35% 20% 45%
+1.5 55% 45%
+2 55% 19% 26%
+2.5 74% 26%

Clean Sheet

PFK Sochi keeps clean sheet
8%
FK Akron Tolyatti keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.