FK Krasnodar vs PFK Sochi, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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RFPL · 2025-26

FK Krasnodar

5 – 1

Full Time

PFK Sochi

Sun 17 Aug 2025 · 17:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FK Krasnodar vs PFK Sochi — RFPL .

FK Krasnodar 30 games · 66 pts (2026/27)
PFK Sochi 30 games · 22 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	30	68
2	FK Krasnodar	30	66
3	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	30	53
4	FK Spartak Moskva	30	52
5	PFC CSKA Moskva	30	51
6	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	30	46
7	FK Dinamo Moskva	30	45
8	FK Rubin Kazan	30	43
9	RFK Akhmat Grozny	30	37
10	FK Rostov	30	33
11	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	30	32
12	FK Orenburg	30	29
13	FK Akron Tolyatti	30	27
14	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	30	26
15	FK Nizhny Novgorod	30	23
16	PFK Sochi	30	22

Head-to-Head

FK Krasnodar 11 games · Avg 3.2 goals PFK Sochi

Last 5 meetings

2025-08-17 FK Krasnodar 5–1 PFK Sochi 2024-05-18 PFK Sochi 2–3 FK Krasnodar 2023-07-30 FK Krasnodar 2–0 PFK Sochi 2023-04-15 PFK Sochi 0–2 FK Krasnodar 2022-09-03 FK Krasnodar 2–1 PFK Sochi

Recent Form

FK Krasnodar

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Aug	PFK Sochi	H	5–1	W
10 Aug	FK Orenburg	A	1–0	W
02 Aug	FK Dinamo Moskva	H	1–0	W
26 Jul	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	H	1–2	L
20 Jul	FK Nizhny Novgorod	A	3–0	W
24 May	FK Dinamo Moskva	H	3–0	W

PFK Sochi

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Aug	FK Krasnodar	A	1–5	L
10 Aug	FK Dinamo Moskva	H	1–1	D
04 Aug	FK Rubin Kazan	A	1–2	L
26 Jul	FK Akron Tolyatti	H	0–4	L
19 Jul	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	A	0–3	L
25 May	FK Rubin Kazan	A	1–1	D

Season Stats

FK Krasnodar		PFK Sochi
#2	Position	#16
66	Points	22
30	Played	30
20 / 6 / 4	W / D / L	6 / 4 / 20
60	Scored	29
23	Conceded	60
+37	GD	-31
2.20	PPG	0.73
67%	Win %	20%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)

64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FK Krasnodar are 2nd (66 pts). PFK Sochi are 16th (22 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between FK Krasnodar and PFK Sochi is underway.
The final score is 5-1.

Lineups

FK Krasnodar Lineups

PFK Sochi Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Christian Noboa	5
Eduard Spertsyan	3
Ivan Ignatjev	2
Nikita Krivtsov	2
Remy Cabella	2
Saul Guarirapa	2
Olakunle Olusegun	1
Georgii Melkadze	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

3.31 FK Krasnodar xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.7 PFK Sochi xG

I would bet for: FK Krasnodar to win 81% + Over 2.5 goals 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FK Krasnodar81% Draw13% PFK Sochi6%

Actual: FK Krasnodar win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes48% 0% No52%

Avg goals/match: 4.01

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	90%	10%
± 2.5	74%	26%
± 3.5	55%	45%
± 4.5	36%	64%

Double Chance

FK Krasnodar or Draw

93%

Draw or PFK Sochi

19%

FK Krasnodar or PFK Sochi

87%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FK Krasnodar66% Draw28% PFK Sochi6%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

3 – 0

11%

2 – 0

10.4%

4 – 0

8.9%

3 – 1

7.5%

2 – 1

6.9%

1 – 0

6.3%

4 – 1

6.2%

5 – 0

5.9%

1 – 1

4.8%

5 – 1

Actual

6 – 0

3.3%

0 – 0

2.8%

Asian Handicap — FK Krasnodar

Handicap	FK Krasnodar covers	Push	PFK Sochi covers
-2.5	48%	—	52%
-2	48%	21%	32%
-1.5	68%	—	32%
-1	68%	16%	15%
-0.5	85%	—	15%
+0.5	96%	—	4%
+1	96%	3%	1%
+1.5	99%	—	1%
+2	99%	1%	0%
+2.5	100%	—	0%

Clean Sheet

FK Krasnodar keeps clean sheet

50% ✗

PFK Sochi keeps clean sheet

4% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.