FK Dinamo Moskva vs PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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RFPL · 2023-24

FK Dinamo Moskva

4 – 1

Full Time

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara

Sat 18 May 2024 · 11:00 UTC VTB Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Luis Chavez 11' Y

Y 17' Nikolai Rasskazov

Y 45' Amar Rahmanovic

Roberto Fernandez 47' Y

Y 49' Nikita Saltykov

Overview

Match Preview

FK Dinamo Moskva vs PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara — RFPL at VTB Arena.

FK Dinamo Moskva 30 games · 45 pts (2026/27)
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 30 games · 32 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	30	68
2	FK Krasnodar	30	66
3	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	30	53
4	FK Spartak Moskva	30	52
5	PFC CSKA Moskva	30	51
6	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	30	46
7	FK Dinamo Moskva	30	45
8	FK Rubin Kazan	30	43
9	RFK Akhmat Grozny	30	37
10	FK Rostov	30	33
11	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	30	32
12	FK Orenburg	30	29
13	FK Akron Tolyatti	30	27
14	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	30	26
15	FK Nizhny Novgorod	30	23
16	PFK Sochi	30	22

Head-to-Head

FK Dinamo Moskva 14 games · Avg 2.9 goals PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara

Last 5 meetings

2024-05-18 FK Dinamo Moskva 4–1 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 2023-07-29 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 3–3 FK Dinamo Moskva 2023-03-05 FK Dinamo Moskva 1–0 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 2022-08-07 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 0–2 FK Dinamo Moskva 2022-05-06 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 5–2 FK Dinamo Moskva

Recent Form

FK Dinamo Moskva

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 May	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	H	4–1	W
11 May	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	A	3–2	W
05 May	PFK Sochi	H	3–2	W
28 Apr	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	H	1–0	W
24 Apr	FK Orenburg	A	2–1	W
21 Apr	FK Nizhny Novgorod	A	4–1	W

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 May	FK Dinamo Moskva	A	1–4	L
10 May	RFK Akhmat Grozny	H	0–2	L
04 May	FK Orenburg	A	1–2	L
29 Apr	FK Krasnodar	H	0–0	D
25 Apr	FK Fakel Voronezh	A	1–0	W
20 Apr	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	A	1–2	L

Season Stats

FK Dinamo Moskva		PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
#7	Position	#11
45	Points	32
30	Played	30
12 / 9 / 9	W / D / L	8 / 8 / 14
51	Scored	35
40	Conceded	50
+11	GD	-15
1.50	PPG	1.07
40%	Win %	27%

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)

43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FK Dinamo Moskva are 7th (45 pts). PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara are 11th (32 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' FK Dinamo Moskva have kicked off against PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
5' Denis Yakuba has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 30 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
10' PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
11' Luis Chavez is having his name booked by the referee on 11.
16' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
17' That looks like a foul for a card for Nikolai Rasskazov.
22' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Igor Osinkin will be considering his options from the bench.
27' Vladislav Shitov is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara so far.
29' A stunning finish from Fabian Balbuena — that came from absolutely nowhere!
34' PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
39' It looks like no one’s ball. PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
40' What a strike from Yurii Gorshkov! The score is 1-1.
45' That is a card for PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara. Amar Rahmanovic will be fuming at that decision.
47' It’s a booking for FK Dinamo Moskva player. Roberto Fernandez gets a card.
49' PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara receives a card for a hard tackle on 49.
54' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
57' Sensational shot from Fabian Balbuena. FK Dinamo Moskva is back in the lead.
62' FK Dinamo Moskva currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
67' Dmitrii Skopintsev is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FK Dinamo Moskva tonight.
69' The crowd applauds Vladislav Shitov as he leaves the pitch. Franco Orozco steps in for PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara.
74' Nikita Saltykov has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
76' Assisted by Jorge Carrascal with the perfectly-timed delivery and Bitelo makes no mistake. 3-1!
81' Time for substitution for PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara. Amar Rahmanovic is replaced by Vladimir Sychevoy.
85' Time for substitution for FK Dinamo Moskva. Jorge Carrascal is replaced by Nicolas Marichal.
89' The PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara manager makes a substitution. Nikolai Rasskazov departs to be replaced by Denis Yakuba.
90' The supporters are chanting for Vyacheslav Grulev. He replaces Konstantin Tyukavin on 90 minute.
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara.

Lineups

FK Dinamo Moskva Lineups

Starting XI

3
Fabian Balbuena
93
Diego Laxalt
7
Dmitrii Skopintsev
31
Igor Leshchuk
2
Eli Dasa
8
Jorge Carrascal ↓ Nicolas Marichal 85'
70
Konstantin Tyukavin ↓ Vyacheslav Grulev 90'
6
Roberto Fernandez
13
Nicolas Moumi Ngamaleu ↓ Fedor Smolov 90'
24
Luis Chavez
89
Bitelo ↓ Denis Makarov 90'

Bench

Coach Marcel Licka

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara Lineups

Starting XI

15
Nikolai Rasskazov ↓ Denis Yakuba 89'
95
Ilya Gaponov
20
Amar Rahmanovic ↓ Vladimir Sychevoy 81'
10
Benjamin Garre ↓ Kirill Pechenin 81'
1
Ivan Lomaev
4
Aleksandr Soldatenkov
5
Yurii Gorshkov
6
Sergey Babkin ↓ Maksim Vityugov 69'
22
Fernando Costanza
73
Vladislav Shitov ↓ Franco Orozco 69'
–
Nikita Saltykov

Bench

Coach Igor Osinkin

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Fabian Balbuena	4
Vyacheslav Grulev	2
Nicolas Moumi Ngamaleu	2
Maksim Glushenkov	2
Bitelo	2
Yaroslav Gladyshev	2
Fedor Smolov	2
Konstantin Tyukavin	2

Head to Head

FK Dinamo Moskva Form

2024-05-18 FK Dinamo Moskva 4–1 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara W 2024-05-11 FK Baltika Kaliningrad 2–3 FK Dinamo Moskva W 2024-05-05 FK Dinamo Moskva 3–2 PFK Sochi W 2024-04-28 FK Dinamo Moskva 1–0 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg W 2024-04-24 FK Orenburg 1–2 FK Dinamo Moskva W 2024-04-21 FK Nizhny Novgorod 1–4 FK Dinamo Moskva W

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara Form

2024-05-18 FK Dinamo Moskva 4–1 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara L 2024-05-10 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 0–2 RFK Akhmat Grozny L 2024-05-04 FK Orenburg 2–1 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara L 2024-04-29 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 0–0 FK Krasnodar D 2024-04-25 FK Fakel Voronezh 0–1 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara W 2024-04-20 FK Baltika Kaliningrad 2–1 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.6 FK Dinamo Moskva xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.28 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 73% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FK Dinamo Moskva66% Draw19% PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara15%

Actual: FK Dinamo Moskva win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes66% 0% No34%

Avg goals/match: 3.88

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	89%	11%
± 2.5	73%	27%
± 3.5	53%	47%
± 4.5	34%	66%

Double Chance

FK Dinamo Moskva or Draw

84%

Draw or PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara

34%

FK Dinamo Moskva or PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara

81%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FK Dinamo Moskva48% Draw36% PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara16%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

8.7%

1 – 1

7.7%

3 – 1

7.4%

2 – 0

7.1%

3 – 0

2 – 2

5.5%

1 – 0

5.1%

4 – 1

Actual

3 – 2

4.7%

1 – 2

4.3%

4 – 0

3.9%

0 – 0

3.2%

Asian Handicap — FK Dinamo Moskva

Handicap	FK Dinamo Moskva covers	Push	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara covers
-2.5	26%	—	74%
-2	26%	19%	56%
-1.5	44%	—	56%
-1	44%	20%	36%
-0.5	64%	—	36%
+0.5	83%	—	17%
+1	83%	10%	7%
+1.5	93%	—	7%
+2	93%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

FK Dinamo Moskva keeps clean sheet

29% ✓

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara keeps clean sheet

8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.