Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FC Tōkyō vs Shonan Bellmare, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sat 8 Mar 2025 · 07:00 UTC Ajinomoto Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Teppei Oka 86' Y

Overview

Match Preview

FC Tokyo vs Shonan Bellmare — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar Shonan Bellmare H 0–0 D
01 Mar Kashima Antlers A 0–2 L
26 Feb Nagoya Grampus H 3–1 W
22 Feb FC Machida Zelvia H 0–1 L
15 Feb Yokohama FC A 1–0 W
08 Dec Cerezo Osaka FC H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar FC Tōkyō A 0–0 D
01 Mar Yokohama F·Marinos A 1–1 D
26 Feb Urawa Red Diamonds H 2–1 W
22 Feb Cerezo Osaka FC A 2–1 W
15 Feb Kashima Antlers H 1–0 W
08 Dec Vissel Kobe A 0–3 L

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
71% Clean Sheets
FC Tōkyō this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Tōkyō
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
4/1
46-60
4/1
61-75
4/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Tōkyō
Motoki Nagakura 5 G 2 A
Marcelo Ryan 3 G 2 A
Soma Anzai 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — FC Tokyo and Shonan Bellmare get this one started.
  • 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 15' Masato Morishige is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Shonan Bellmare tonight.
  • 20' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Min-tae Kim, as he is very good at scoring at Ajinomoto Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 30' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 35' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 40' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 40 minutes.
  • 45' Kohei Okuno has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 13 cards already picked up this season.
  • 50' With 1 assists to his name this season, Taishi Nozawa is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Tokyo.
  • 55' It looks surprising Shonan Bellmare does not make any changes. Yuto Suzuki has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 60' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Tokyo that had 444 games and scored 409 goals.
  • 63' A change in the FC Tokyo ranks — Keita Yamashita exits the field as Kein Sato enters on 63.
  • 68' Naoto Kamifukumoto is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Tokyo so far.
  • 70' The crowd applauds Taiyo Hiraoka as he leaves the pitch. Hisatsugu Ishii steps in for Shonan Bellmare.
  • 73' Another change for FC Tokyo made on 73 minute. Kento Hashimoto leaves to be changed by Kyota Tokiwa.
  • 78' Kosuke Shirai has been relatively quiet despite scoring 7 goals in his last 381 appearances.
  • 83' Leon Nozawa gets the nod from FC Tokyo. He replaces Kota Tawaratsumida and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 86' The referee has no hesitation. Teppei Oka is booked for FC Tokyo — card on 86.
  • 90' Sho Fukuda makes way for Ryo Nemoto at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Shonan Bellmare.
  • 0-0 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.17 FC Tokyo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88 Shonan Bellmare xG
I would bet for: FC Tokyo or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FC Tokyo42% Draw31% Shonan Bellmare27%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.05
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 34%
66%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

FC Tokyo or Draw
73%
Draw or Shonan Bellmare
58%
FC Tokyo or Shonan Bellmare
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Tokyo28% Draw54% Shonan Bellmare18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14.2%
1 – 0
13.8%
0 – 1
10%
2 – 0
8.4%
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
5.6%
0 – 2
4.7%
2 – 2
3.5%
3 – 0
3.2%
3 – 1
3%
1 – 3
1.7%

Asian Handicap — FC Tokyo

Handicap FC Tokyo covers Push Shonan Bellmare covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 23% 59%
-0.5 41% — 59%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 17% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet
42% ✗
Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
32% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.