FC Tōkyō vs Shonan Bellmare, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Tokyo vs Shonan Bellmare — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.
- FC Tokyo 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
- Shonan Bellmare 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar | Shonan Bellmare | H | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Mar | Kashima Antlers | A | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Feb | Nagoya Grampus | H | 3–1 | W |
| 22 Feb | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Feb | Yokohama FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 08 Dec | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar | FC Tōkyō | A | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Mar | Yokohama F·Marinos | A | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Feb | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Feb | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Feb | Kashima Antlers | H | 1–0 | W |
| 08 Dec | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–3 | L |
Key Stats
38%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
71%
Clean Sheets
FC Tōkyō this season
FC Tōkyō this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Tōkyō
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
4/1
46-60
4/1
61-75
4/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Tōkyō
| Motoki Nagakura | 5 G | 2 A |
| Marcelo Ryan | 3 G | 2 A |
| Soma Anzai | 3 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — FC Tokyo and Shonan Bellmare get this one started.
- 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 15' Masato Morishige is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Shonan Bellmare tonight.
- 20' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Min-tae Kim, as he is very good at scoring at Ajinomoto Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 30' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 35' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 40' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 40 minutes.
- 45' Kohei Okuno has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 13 cards already picked up this season.
- 50' With 1 assists to his name this season, Taishi Nozawa is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Tokyo.
- 55' It looks surprising Shonan Bellmare does not make any changes. Yuto Suzuki has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 60' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Tokyo that had 444 games and scored 409 goals.
- 63' A change in the FC Tokyo ranks — Keita Yamashita exits the field as Kein Sato enters on 63.
- 68' Naoto Kamifukumoto is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Tokyo so far.
- 70' The crowd applauds Taiyo Hiraoka as he leaves the pitch. Hisatsugu Ishii steps in for Shonan Bellmare.
- 73' Another change for FC Tokyo made on 73 minute. Kento Hashimoto leaves to be changed by Kyota Tokiwa.
- 78' Kosuke Shirai has been relatively quiet despite scoring 7 goals in his last 381 appearances.
- 83' Leon Nozawa gets the nod from FC Tokyo. He replaces Kota Tawaratsumida and will look to change the dynamic.
- 86' The referee has no hesitation. Teppei Oka is booked for FC Tokyo — card on 86.
- 90' Sho Fukuda makes way for Ryo Nemoto at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Shonan Bellmare.
- 0-0 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
FC Tokyo Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 18
- 99
- 39
- 8
- 30
- 41
- 14
- 33
- 32
- 7
Bench
- 47
- 37
- 13
- 44
- 98
- 36
- 28
- 16
- 27
Coach
Rikizo Matsuhashi
Shonan Bellmare Lineups
Starting XI
- 37
- 99
- 15
- 50
- 3
-
13
Taiyo Hiraoka ↓ Hisatsugu Ishii 70'
-
10
Akito Suzuki ↓ Lukian 70'
- 5
- 47
- 7
-
19
Sho Fukuda ↓ Ryo Nemoto 90'
Bench
- 22
- 31
- 8
-
11
Lukian ↑ 70'
- 14
-
16
Ryo Nemoto ↑ 90'
- 32
- 33
-
77
Hisatsugu Ishii ↑ 70'
Coach
Satoshi Yamaguchi
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Diego Oliveira | 4 |
| Kensuke Nagai | 3 |
| Akito Suzuki | 2 |
| Shuto Machino | 2 |
| Kei Koizumi | 1 |
| Teruhito Nakagawa | 1 |
| Taichi Hara | 1 |
| Henrique Trevisan | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Tokyo Form
Shonan Bellmare Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.17
FC Tokyo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88
Shonan Bellmare xG
I would bet for:
FC Tokyo or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 66%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.05
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 1.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 2.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 3.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
| ± 4.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
Double Chance
FC Tokyo or Draw
73%
Draw or Shonan Bellmare
58%
FC Tokyo or Shonan Bellmare
69%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14.2%
1 – 0
13.8%
0 – 1
10%
2 – 0
8.4%
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
5.6%
0 – 2
4.7%
2 – 2
3.5%
3 – 0
3.2%
3 – 1
3%
1 – 3
1.7%
Asian Handicap — FC Tokyo
| Handicap | FC Tokyo covers | Push | Shonan Bellmare covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 12% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 23% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 17% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 7% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet
42%
✗
Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
32%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

