Fagiano Okayama FC vs FC Tōkyō, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fagiano Okayama FC vs FC Tōkyō — J. League at City Light Stadium.
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- FC Tōkyō 18 games · 37 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | FC Tōkyō | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Mar | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Mar | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 0–0 | D |
| 08 Mar | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Mar | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Apr | Tokyo Verdy | A | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Mar | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 0–3 | L |
| 15 Mar | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Mar | Shonan Bellmare | H | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Mar | Kashima Antlers | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Fagiano Okayama FC | FC Tōkyō | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #12 |
| 26 | Points | 37 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 8 / 0 / 10 | W / D / L | 13 / 0 / 5 |
| 41 | Scored | 55 |
| 46 | Conceded | 42 |
| -5 | GD | +13 |
| 1.44 | PPG | 2.06 |
| 44% | Win % | 72% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
28%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
22%
Clean Sheets
FC Tōkyō this season
FC Tōkyō this season
Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts). FC Tōkyō are 12th (37 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
4/3
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Tōkyō
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
8/–
46-60
2/–
61-75
4/4
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to City Light Stadium that hosts another battle between Fagiano Okayama FC and FC Tōkyō.
- 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 15' It’s high time Rikizo Matsuhashi made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 18' Kento Hashimoto is having his name booked by the referee on 18.
- 23' FC Tōkyō is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 28' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Henrique Trevisan suffering a number of foals already.
- 33' It looks surprising Fagiano Okayama FC does not make any changes. Kota Kudo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 38' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 41' The referee shows Fagiano Okayama FC player a card on 41.
- 46' It is a substitution in Fagiano Okayama FC team. Kaito Fujii is replaced by Ryo Tabei on 46 minute.
- 51' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Tōkyō that had 437 games and scored 396 goals.
- 56' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Svend Brodersen made 273 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 59' Another substitution for Fagiano Okayama FC to replace Kazunari Ichimi by Lucao on 59 minute.
- 61' Ryo Tabei puts Fagiano Okayama FC on the lead.
- 63' Another change for FC Tokyo made on 63 minute. Teruhito Nakagawa leaves to be changed by Maki Kitahara.
- 68' Teppei Oka needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 73' Supporters expect more eagerness from Daichi Tagami, as he is very good at scoring at City Light Stadium with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
- 78' Another substitution for Fagiano Okayama FC to replace Ataru Esaka by Yuta Kamiya on 78 minute.
- 81' Teppei Oka is replacing Soma Anzai for the FC Tokyo side.
- 85' It is a substitution in Fagiano Okayama FC team. Takaya Kimura is replaced by Hiroto Iwabuchi on 85 minute.
- 90' Fagiano Okayama FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- The final score is 1-0.
Lineups
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 49
- 18
-
22
Kazunari Ichimi ↓ Lucao 59'
-
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Yuta Kamiya 78'
- 28
- 24
- 15
- 50
-
27
Takaya Kimura ↓ Hiroto Iwabuchi 85'
-
4
Kaito Abe ↓ Yasutaka Yanagi 85'
-
3
Kaito Fujii ↓ Ryo Tabei 46'
Bench
- 7
-
33
Yuta Kamiya ↑ 78'
-
99
Lucao ↑ 59'
-
14
Ryo Tabei ↑ 46'
- 45
- 23
-
19
Hiroto Iwabuchi ↑ 85'
- 13
-
5
Yasutaka Yanagi ↑ 85'
FC Tōkyō Lineups
Starting XI
- 47
-
18
Kento Hashimoto ↓ Keigo Higashi 63'
- 99
- 39
- 8
- 41
- 44
- 33
- 32
-
7
Soma Anzai ↓ Teppei Oka 81'
-
16
Kein Sato ↓ Keita Yamashita 81'
Bench
-
10
Keigo Higashi ↑ 63'
- 4
- 13
-
30
Teppei Oka ↑ 81'
-
19
Marcelo Ryan ↑ 59'
-
14
Keita Yamashita ↑ 81'
- 28
-
53
Maki Kitahara ↑ 63'
- 27
Coach
Rikizo Matsuhashi
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kein Sato | 2 |
| Ryo Tabei | 1 |
| Kota Tawaratsumida | 1 |
| Ataru Esaka | 1 |
Head to Head
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
2025-04-06
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–0
FC Tōkyō
W
2025-04-02
Cerezo Osaka FC
2–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-03-29
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–0
Yokohama F·Marinos
W
2025-03-16
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–0
Kawasaki Frontale
D
2025-03-08
Urawa Red Diamonds
1–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-03-02
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–1
Shimizu S-Pulse
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.96
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.84
FC Tōkyō xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Fagiano Okayama FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.8
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 3.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 4.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
Double Chance
Fagiano Okayama FC or Draw
69%
Draw or FC Tōkyō
54%
Fagiano Okayama FC or FC Tōkyō
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.9%
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 2
6.9%
3 – 1
5%
3 – 2
4.5%
1 – 3
4.4%
2 – 0
4.4%
2 – 3
4.3%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
3.9%
0 – 1
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Fagiano Okayama FC
| Handicap | Fagiano Okayama FC covers | Push | FC Tōkyō covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 12% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 18% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 17% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 11% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✗
FC Tōkyō keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

