Fagiano Okayama FC vs FC Tōkyō, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fagiano Okayama FC vs FC Tōkyō — J. League at City Light Stadium.
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
- FC Tōkyō 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | FC Tōkyō | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Mar | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Mar | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 0–0 | D |
| 08 Mar | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Mar | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Apr | Tōkyō Verdy | A | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Mar | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 0–3 | L |
| 15 Mar | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Mar | Shonan Bellmare | H | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Mar | Kashima Antlers | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Fagiano Okayama FC | FC Tōkyō | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #12 |
| 26 | Points | 37 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 8 / 0 / 10 | W / D / L | 13 / 0 / 5 |
| 41 | Scored | 55 |
| 46 | Conceded | 42 |
| -5 | GD | +13 |
| 1.44 | PPG | 2.06 |
| 44% | Win % | 72% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
100%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
50%
Clean Sheets
FC Tōkyō this season
FC Tōkyō this season
Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts). FC Tōkyō are 12th (37 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Tōkyō
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
2/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to City Light Stadium that hosts another battle between Fagiano Okayama FC and FC Tokyo.
- 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Masaya Matsumoto, as he is very good at scoring at City Light Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 10' Kein Sato is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Tokyo so far.
- 15' Henrique Trevisan needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 18' Controversy at the stadium! Kento Hashimoto argues furiously but the card stands.
- 23' FC Tokyo fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 28' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 33' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 33 minutes.
- 38' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 41' Kaito Fujii picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 46' The Fagiano Okayama FC bench stirs into life. Kaito Fujii is withdrawn and Ryo Tabei gets his opportunity.
- 51' A quiet spell here at City Light Stadium. FC Tokyo seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 56' Fagiano Okayama FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 59' Fagiano Okayama FC make a change. Kazunari Ichimi trudges off to be replaced by Lucao on 59 minutes.
- 61' Ryo Tabei doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 63' Another change for FC Tokyo made on 63 minute. Teruhito Nakagawa leaves to be changed by Maki Kitahara.
- 68' Both keepers have barely been tested. Fagiano Okayama FC and FC Tokyo are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 73' Teppei Oka, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 78' Fagiano Okayama FC make a change. Ataru Esaka trudges off to be replaced by Yuta Kamiya on 78 minutes.
- 81' The whistle greets Soma Anzai as he departs to be replaced by Teppei Oka.
- 85' Time for substitution for Fagiano Okayama FC. Takaya Kimura is replaced by Hiroto Iwabuchi.
- 90' The home supporters are growing impatient. Fagiano Okayama FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- The final score is 1-0.
Lineups
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 49
- 18
-
22
Kazunari Ichimi ↓ Lucao 59'
-
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Yuta Kamiya 78'
- 28
- 24
- 15
- 50
-
27
Takaya Kimura ↓ Hiroto Iwabuchi 85'
-
4
Kaito Abe ↓ Yasutaka Yanagi 85'
-
3
Kaito Fujii ↓ Ryo Tabei 46'
Bench
- 7
-
33
Yuta Kamiya ↑ 78'
-
99
Lucao ↑ 59'
-
14
Ryo Tabei ↑ 46'
- 45
- 23
-
19
Hiroto Iwabuchi ↑ 85'
- 13
-
5
Yasutaka Yanagi ↑ 85'
FC Tōkyō Lineups
Starting XI
- 47
-
18
Kento Hashimoto ↓ Keigo Higashi 63'
- 99
- 39
- 8
- 41
- 44
- 33
- 32
-
7
Soma Anzai ↓ Teppei Oka 81'
-
16
Kein Sato ↓ Keita Yamashita 81'
Bench
-
10
Keigo Higashi ↑ 63'
- 4
- 13
-
30
Teppei Oka ↑ 81'
-
19
Marcelo Ryan ↑ 59'
-
14
Keita Yamashita ↑ 81'
- 28
-
53
Maki Kitahara ↑ 63'
- 27
Coach
Rikizo Matsuhashi
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kein Sato | 2 |
| Ryo Tabei | 1 |
| Kota Tawaratsumida | 1 |
| Ataru Esaka | 1 |
Head to Head
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
2025-04-06
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–0
FC Tōkyō
W
2025-04-02
Cerezo Osaka FC
2–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-03-29
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–0
Yokohama F·Marinos
W
2025-03-16
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–0
Kawasaki Frontale
D
2025-03-08
Urawa Red Diamonds
1–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-03-02
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–1
Shimizu S-Pulse
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.96
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.84
FC Tōkyō xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Fagiano Okayama FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.8
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 3.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 4.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
Double Chance
Fagiano Okayama FC or Draw
69%
Draw or FC Tōkyō
54%
Fagiano Okayama FC or FC Tōkyō
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.9%
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 2
6.9%
3 – 1
5%
3 – 2
4.5%
1 – 3
4.4%
2 – 0
4.4%
2 – 3
4.3%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
3.9%
0 – 1
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Fagiano Okayama FC
| Handicap | Fagiano Okayama FC covers | Push | FC Tōkyō covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 12% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 18% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 17% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 11% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✗
FC Tōkyō keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

