FC Mito Holly Hock vs FC Machida Zelvia, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Mito Holly Hock vs FC Machida Zelvia — J. League at K's denki Stadium Mito.
- FC Mito Holly Hock 18 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
- FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Ming Fu
- Assistant 1 Yusuke Shiotsu
- Assistant 2 Bumpei Ueda
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 5–4 | W |
| 24 Apr | FC Tokyo | A | 2–5 | L |
| 19 Apr | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | A | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Apr | Kashima Antlers | H | 5–3 | W |
| 22 Mar | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr | FC Mito Holly Hock | A | 4–5 | L |
| 11 Apr | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Apr | FC Tokyo | A | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Apr | FC Tokyo | H | 0–3 | L |
| 28 Mar | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Mar | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| FC Mito Holly Hock | FC Machida Zelvia | |
|---|---|---|
| #19 | Position | #13 |
| 18 | Points | 37 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 6 / 0 / 12 | W / D / L | 13 / 0 / 5 |
| 35 | Scored | 42 |
| 50 | Conceded | 33 |
| -15 | GD | +9 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 2.06 |
| 33% | Win % | 72% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
FC Mito Holly Hock this season
FC Mito Holly Hock this season
54%
Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Mito Holly Hock are 19th (18 pts). FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Mito Holly Hock
0-15
1/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
1/2
46-60
3/6
61-75
1/5
76+
1/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
2/4
61-75
6/1
76+
9/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Mito Holly Hock
| Arata Watanabe | 5 G |
| Yasuki Kimoto | 2 G |
| Chihiro Kato | 2 G |
| Kotaro Uchino | 1 G |
| Yoshiki Torikai | 1 G |
FC Machida Zelvia
| Takuma Nishimura | 5 G | |
| Koki Ogawa | 4 G | |
| Yuki Soma | 3 G | 4 A |
| Tete Yengi | 3 G | 1 A |
| Hiroki Mochizuki | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against FC Mito Holly Hock and FC Machida Zelvia has kicked off!
- 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 10' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 15' FC Machida Zelvia looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Yuki Soma scoring 1 goals.
- 17' Goal! Hokuto Shimoda scores his 9 goal in 450 matches.
- 22' Takahiro Iida has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 378 appearances.
- 27' With 1 assists to his name this season, Gen Shoji is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Machida Zelvia.
- 32' FC Machida Zelvia started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 32.
- 37' FC Mito Holly Hock is showing some good football. However, FC Mito Holly Hock are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 42' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 47' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 47 minutes.
- 48' GOAL! Ibrahim Dresevic fires home to make it 0-2!
- 53' FC Mito Holly Hock currently sit 13 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 58' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 63' The whistle greets Yuto Yamashita as he departs to be replaced by Taishi Semba.
- 67' GOAL! Hiroki Mochizuki scores on 67.
- 68' Koki Ando is replacing Matheus Leiria Dos Santos for the FC Mito Holly Hock side.
- 73' Matheus Leiria Dos Santos, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 76' It is a substitution in FC Machida Zelvia team. Keiya Sento is replaced by Kanji Kuwayama on 76 minute.
- 77' The whistle greets Shota Fujio as he departs to be replaced by Tete Yengi.
- 79' The whistle greets Asahi Masuyama as he departs to be replaced by Shota Yamashita.
- 84' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Mito Holly Hock and FC Machida Zelvia are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 87' The crowd applauds Futa Tokumura as he leaves the pitch. Gen Shoji steps in for FC Machida Zelvia.
- 88' Controversy at the stadium! Kanji Kuwayama argues furiously but the card stands.
- 90' Koki Ando doubles the advantage! 1-3 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- The points are shared — FC Mito Holly Hock 5-4 FC Machida Zelvia. Honours even.
Lineups
FC Mito Holly Hock Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 6
- 21
-
9
Ryo Nemoto ↓ Keisuke Tada 68'
- 10
- 17
- 4
- 7
- 3
- 25
-
48
Yuto Yamashita ↓ Taishi Semba 63'
- 70
Bench
- 51
-
19
Taishi Semba ↑ 63'
-
33
Koki Ando ↑ 68'
- 89
- 44
- 53
- 24
-
29
Keisuke Tada ↑ 68'
Coach
Daisuke Kimori
FC Machida Zelvia Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 18
- 1
- 11
- 23
- 5
-
8
Keiya Sento ↓ Kanji Kuwayama 76'
-
9
Shota Fujio ↓ Tete Yengi 77'
-
10
Sang-ho Na ↓ Kotaro Hayashi 76'
- 24
-
34
Futa Tokumura ↓ Gen Shoji 87'
- 6
Bench
- 27
-
3
Gen Shoji ↑ 87'
- 13
- 88
- 16
-
26
Kotaro Hayashi ↑ 76'
-
99
Tete Yengi ↑ 77'
-
49
Kanji Kuwayama ↑ 76'
- 60
Coach
Go Kuroda
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hokuto Shimoda | 1 |
| Ibrahim Dresevic | 1 |
| Koki Ando | 1 |
| Yuki Soma | 1 |
| Arata Watanabe | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Mito Holly Hock Form
2026-04-29
FC Mito Holly Hock
5–4
FC Machida Zelvia
W
2026-04-24
FC Tokyo
5–2
FC Mito Holly Hock
L
2026-04-19
FC Mito Holly Hock
2–0
Kashiwa Reysol
W
2026-04-11
JEF United Ichihara Chiba
0–1
FC Mito Holly Hock
W
2026-04-04
FC Mito Holly Hock
5–3
Kashima Antlers
W
2026-03-22
Kashiwa Reysol
3–0
FC Mito Holly Hock
L
FC Machida Zelvia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.68
FC Mito Holly Hock xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.78
FC Machida Zelvia xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 90% + Both teams to score 86%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Mito Holly Hock win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 5.46
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 2.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 3.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 4.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
Double Chance
FC Mito Holly Hock or Draw
64%
Draw or FC Machida Zelvia
56%
FC Mito Holly Hock or FC Machida Zelvia
81%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Machida Zelvia win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–4 not predicted5 – 4Actual
2 – 2
5.8%
2 – 3
5.3%
3 – 2
5.1%
3 – 3
4.7%
1 – 2
4.5%
2 – 1
4.4%
1 – 3
4.1%
3 – 1
3.8%
1 – 1
3.8%
2 – 4
3.7%
4 – 2
3.4%
3 – 4
3.3%
Asian Handicap — FC Mito Holly Hock
| Handicap | FC Mito Holly Hock covers | Push | FC Machida Zelvia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 11% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 15% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +1 | 58% | 16% | 27% |
| +1.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +2 | 73% | 12% | 14% |
| +2.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
Clean Sheet
FC Mito Holly Hock keeps clean sheet
7%
✓
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

