FC Mito Holly Hock vs FC Machida Zelvia, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Mito Holly Hock vs FC Machida Zelvia — J. League at K's denki Stadium Mito.
- FC Mito Holly Hock 18 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
- FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Ming Fu
- Assistant 1 Yusuke Shiotsu
- Assistant 2 Bumpei Ueda
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 5–4 | W |
| 24 Apr | FC Tōkyō | A | 2–5 | L |
| 19 Apr | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | A | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Apr | Kashima Antlers | H | 5–3 | W |
| 22 Mar | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr | FC Mito Holly Hock | A | 4–5 | L |
| 11 Apr | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Apr | FC Tōkyō | A | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Apr | FC Tōkyō | H | 0–3 | L |
| 28 Mar | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Mar | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| FC Mito Holly Hock | FC Machida Zelvia | |
|---|---|---|
| #19 | Position | #13 |
| 18 | Points | 37 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 6 / 0 / 12 | W / D / L | 13 / 0 / 5 |
| 35 | Scored | 42 |
| 50 | Conceded | 33 |
| -15 | GD | +9 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 2.06 |
| 33% | Win % | 72% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
FC Mito Holly Hock this season
FC Mito Holly Hock this season
14%
Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Mito Holly Hock are 19th (18 pts). FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Mito Holly Hock
0-15
1/1
16-30
4/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/1
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/4
61-75
4/1
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Mito Holly Hock
| Arata Watanabe | 5 G |
| Yasuki Kimoto | 2 G |
| Kotaro Uchino | 1 G |
| Yoshiki Torikai | 1 G |
FC Machida Zelvia
| Yuki Soma | 3 G | 3 A |
| Koki Ogawa | 3 G | |
| Hotaka Nakamura | 2 G | 1 A |
| Tete Yengi | 2 G | 1 A |
| Takuma Nishimura | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at K's denki Stadium Mito as FC Mito Holly Hock face off against FC Machida Zelvia in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Mito Holly Hock is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 10' Hokuto Shimoda needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
- 15' Kosei Tani has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 410 appearances.
- 17' What composure from Hokuto Shimoda! The Japan international strokes it home. 0-1.
- 22' It looks surprising FC Machida Zelvia does not make any changes. Futa Tokumura has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 27' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 32' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 32 minutes.
- 37' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 42' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 47' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with FC Machida Zelvia winning 0% of all matches.
- 48' A stunning finish from Ibrahim Dresevic — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 53' The 30-year-old Yuto Yamashita has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 58' FC Mito Holly Hock have won 20 goals from 25 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 63' FC Mito Holly Hock manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Taishi Semba is hanging Yuto Yamashita on the field on 63 minute.
- 67' A stunning finish from Hiroki Mochizuki — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 68' The crowd applauds Matheus Leiria Dos Santos as he leaves the pitch. Koki Ando steps in for FC Mito Holly Hock.
- 73' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 76' The FC Machida Zelvia manager makes a substitution. Keiya Sento departs to be replaced by Kanji Kuwayama.
- 77' Time for substitution for FC Machida Zelvia. Shota Fujio is replaced by Tete Yengi.
- 79' Shota Yamashita has so much to prove this time. He replaces Asahi Masuyama on 79 minute.
- 84' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Mito Holly Hock and FC Machida Zelvia are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 87' FC Machida Zelvia make a change. Futa Tokumura trudges off to be replaced by Gen Shoji on 87 minutes.
- 88' Kanji Kuwayama is having his name booked by the referee on 88.
- 90' GOAL! Koki Ando scores on 90. Assisted by Taishi Semba
- Full Time. FC Mito Holly Hock beats FC Machida Zelvia
Lineups
FC Mito Holly Hock Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 6
- 21
-
9
Ryo Nemoto ↓ Keisuke Tada 68'
- 10
- 17
- 4
- 7
- 3
- 25
-
48
Yuto Yamashita ↓ Taishi Semba 63'
- 70
Bench
- 51
-
19
Taishi Semba ↑ 63'
-
33
Koki Ando ↑ 68'
- 89
- 44
- 53
- 24
-
29
Keisuke Tada ↑ 68'
Coach
Daisuke Kimori
FC Machida Zelvia Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 18
- 1
- 11
- 23
- 5
-
8
Keiya Sento ↓ Kanji Kuwayama 76'
-
9
Shota Fujio ↓ Tete Yengi 77'
-
10
Sang-ho Na ↓ Kotaro Hayashi 76'
- 24
-
34
Futa Tokumura ↓ Gen Shoji 87'
- 6
Bench
- 27
-
3
Gen Shoji ↑ 87'
- 13
- 88
- 16
-
26
Kotaro Hayashi ↑ 76'
-
99
Tete Yengi ↑ 77'
-
49
Kanji Kuwayama ↑ 76'
- 60
Coach
Go Kuroda
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ibrahim Dresevic | 1 |
| Koki Ando | 1 |
| Yuki Soma | 1 |
| Arata Watanabe | 1 |
| Hokuto Shimoda | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Mito Holly Hock Form
2026-04-29
FC Mito Holly Hock
5–4
FC Machida Zelvia
W
2026-04-24
FC Tōkyō
5–2
FC Mito Holly Hock
L
2026-04-19
FC Mito Holly Hock
2–0
Kashiwa Reysol
W
2026-04-11
JEF United Ichihara Chiba
0–1
FC Mito Holly Hock
W
2026-04-04
FC Mito Holly Hock
5–3
Kashima Antlers
W
2026-03-22
Kashiwa Reysol
3–0
FC Mito Holly Hock
L
FC Machida Zelvia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.68
FC Mito Holly Hock xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.78
FC Machida Zelvia xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 90% + Both teams to score 86%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Mito Holly Hock win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 5.46
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 2.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 3.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 4.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
Double Chance
FC Mito Holly Hock or Draw
64%
Draw or FC Machida Zelvia
56%
FC Mito Holly Hock or FC Machida Zelvia
81%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Machida Zelvia win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–4 not predicted5 – 4Actual
2 – 2
5.8%
2 – 3
5.3%
3 – 2
5.1%
3 – 3
4.7%
1 – 2
4.5%
2 – 1
4.4%
1 – 3
4.1%
3 – 1
3.8%
1 – 1
3.8%
2 – 4
3.7%
4 – 2
3.4%
3 – 4
3.3%
Asian Handicap — FC Mito Holly Hock
| Handicap | FC Mito Holly Hock covers | Push | FC Machida Zelvia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 11% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 15% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +1 | 58% | 16% | 27% |
| +1.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +2 | 73% | 12% | 14% |
| +2.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
Clean Sheet
FC Mito Holly Hock keeps clean sheet
7%
✓
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

