FC Mito Holly Hock vs FC Machida Zelvia, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Mito Holly Hock vs FC Machida Zelvia — J. League at K's denki Stadium Mito.
- FC Mito Holly Hock 18 games · 18 pts (2026/26)
- FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Ming Fu
- Assistant 1 Yusuke Shiotsu
- Assistant 2 Bumpei Ueda
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 5–4 | W |
| 24 Apr | FC Tōkyō | A | 2–5 | L |
| 19 Apr | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | A | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Apr | Kashima Antlers | H | 5–3 | W |
| 22 Mar | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr | FC Mito Holly Hock | A | 4–5 | L |
| 11 Apr | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Apr | FC Tōkyō | A | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Apr | FC Tōkyō | H | 0–3 | L |
| 28 Mar | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Mar | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| FC Mito Holly Hock | FC Machida Zelvia | |
|---|---|---|
| #19 | Position | #13 |
| 18 | Points | 37 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 6 / 0 / 12 | W / D / L | 13 / 0 / 5 |
| 35 | Scored | 42 |
| 50 | Conceded | 33 |
| -15 | GD | +9 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 2.06 |
| 33% | Win % | 72% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
17%
Clean Sheets
FC Mito Holly Hock this season
FC Mito Holly Hock this season
44%
Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Mito Holly Hock are 19th (18 pts). FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Mito Holly Hock
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
2/5
76+
3/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
2/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/1
61-75
2/1
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. FC Mito Holly Hock is hosting FC Machida Zelvia for another epic battle.
- 5' It looks surprising FC Machida Zelvia does not make any changes. Keiya Sento has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 10' Gen Shoji has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Min-tae Kim made 447 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 17' FC Machida Zelvia is taking the lead after the goal scored by Hokuto Shimoda on 17.
- 22' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kenta Itakura suffering a number of foals already.
- 27' FC Machida Zelvia started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 27.
- 32' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 37' FC Mito Holly Hock seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 42' FC Machida Zelvia is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 47' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 48' GOAL! Ibrahim Dresevic scores on 48. Assisted by Asahi Masuyama
- 53' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 58' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Machida Zelvia needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 63' FC Mito Holly Hock manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Taishi Semba is hanging Yuto Yamashita on the field on 63 minute.
- 67' GOAL! Hiroki Mochizuki scores on 67.
- 68' Time for substitution for FC Mito Holly Hock. Matheus Leiria Dos Santos is replaced by Koki Ando.
- 73' Arata Watanabe needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 2 Yellow cards this season.
- 76' Another change for FC Machida Zelvia made on 76 minute. Keiya Sento leaves to be changed by Kanji Kuwayama.
- 77' Time for substitution for FC Machida Zelvia. Shota Fujio is replaced by Tete Yengi.
- 79' The supporters are chanting for Shota Yamashita. He replaces Asahi Masuyama on 79 minute.
- 84' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Mito Holly Hock is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 87' Another substitution for FC Machida Zelvia to replace Futa Tokumura by Gen Shoji on 87 minute.
- 88' Kanji Kuwayama was booked on 88.
- 90' What a strike from Koki Ando! The score is 1-3.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 5-4.
Lineups
FC Mito Holly Hock Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 6
- 21
-
9
Ryo Nemoto ↓ Keisuke Tada 68'
- 10
- 17
- 4
- 7
- 3
- 25
-
48
Yuto Yamashita ↓ Taishi Semba 63'
- 70
Bench
- 51
-
19
Taishi Semba ↑ 63'
-
33
Koki Ando ↑ 68'
- 89
- 44
- 53
- 24
-
29
Keisuke Tada ↑ 68'
Coach
Daisuke Kimori
FC Machida Zelvia Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 18
- 1
- 11
- 23
- 5
-
8
Keiya Sento ↓ Kanji Kuwayama 76'
-
9
Shota Fujio ↓ Tete Yengi 77'
-
10
Sang-ho Na ↓ Kotaro Hayashi 76'
- 24
-
34
Futa Tokumura ↓ Gen Shoji 87'
- 6
Bench
- 27
-
3
Gen Shoji ↑ 87'
- 13
- 88
- 16
-
26
Kotaro Hayashi ↑ 76'
-
99
Tete Yengi ↑ 77'
-
49
Kanji Kuwayama ↑ 76'
- 60
Coach
Go Kuroda
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ibrahim Dresevic | 1 |
| Koki Ando | 1 |
| Hokuto Shimoda | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Mito Holly Hock Form
2026-04-29
FC Mito Holly Hock
5–4
FC Machida Zelvia
W
2026-04-24
FC Tōkyō
5–2
FC Mito Holly Hock
L
2026-04-19
FC Mito Holly Hock
2–0
Kashiwa Reysol
W
2026-04-11
JEF United Ichihara Chiba
0–1
FC Mito Holly Hock
W
2026-04-04
FC Mito Holly Hock
5–3
Kashima Antlers
W
2026-03-22
Kashiwa Reysol
3–0
FC Mito Holly Hock
L
FC Machida Zelvia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.68
FC Mito Holly Hock xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.78
FC Machida Zelvia xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 90% + Both teams to score 86%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Mito Holly Hock win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 5.46
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 2.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 3.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 4.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
Double Chance
FC Mito Holly Hock or Draw
64%
Draw or FC Machida Zelvia
56%
FC Mito Holly Hock or FC Machida Zelvia
81%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Machida Zelvia win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–4 not predicted5 – 4Actual
2 – 2
5.8%
2 – 3
5.3%
3 – 2
5.1%
3 – 3
4.7%
1 – 2
4.5%
2 – 1
4.4%
1 – 3
4.1%
3 – 1
3.8%
1 – 1
3.8%
2 – 4
3.7%
4 – 2
3.4%
3 – 4
3.3%
Asian Handicap — FC Mito Holly Hock
| Handicap | FC Mito Holly Hock covers | Push | FC Machida Zelvia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 11% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 15% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +1 | 58% | 16% | 27% |
| +1.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +2 | 73% | 12% | 14% |
| +2.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
Clean Sheet
FC Mito Holly Hock keeps clean sheet
7%
✓
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

