Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Mito Holly Hock vs FC Machida Zelvia, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2026
5 4
3 – 2 pen
Full Time
Wed 29 Apr 2026 · 07:00 UTC K's denki Stadium Mito 7,229 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 17' Hokuto Shimoda
0–2 48' Ibrahim Dresevic
Hiroki Mochizuki og 67' 1–2
Koki Ando 90' 2–2

Overview

Match Preview

FC Mito Holly Hock vs FC Machida ZelviaJ. League at K's denki Stadium Mito.

Match Details

  • Referee Ming Fu
  • Assistant 1 Yusuke Shiotsu
  • Assistant 2 Bumpei Ueda

Head-to-Head

1
1
FC Mito Holly Hock 2 games · Avg 6.5 goals FC Machida Zelvia

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Apr FC Machida Zelvia H 5–4 W
24 Apr FC Tōkyō A 2–5 L
19 Apr Kashiwa Reysol H 2–0 W
11 Apr JEF United Ichihara Chiba A 1–0 W
04 Apr Kashima Antlers H 5–3 W
22 Mar Kashiwa Reysol A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Apr FC Mito Holly Hock A 4–5 L
11 Apr Kashiwa Reysol H 1–0 W
05 Apr FC Tōkyō A 0–0 D
01 Apr FC Tōkyō H 0–3 L
28 Mar Kawasaki Frontale H 1–0 W
22 Mar Urawa Red Diamonds A 2–1 W

Season Stats

FC Mito Holly Hock FC Machida Zelvia
#19 Position #13
18 Points 37
18 Played 18
6 / 0 / 12 W / D / L 13 / 0 / 5
35 Scored 42
50 Conceded 33
-15 GD +9
1.00 PPG 2.06
33% Win % 72%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
17% Clean Sheets
FC Mito Holly Hock this season
44% Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season

FC Mito Holly Hock are 19th (18 pts). FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Mito Holly Hock
0-15
/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
2/5
76+
3/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
2/
16-30
1/
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/1
61-75
2/1
76+
/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. FC Mito Holly Hock is hosting FC Machida Zelvia for another epic battle.
  • 5' It looks surprising FC Machida Zelvia does not make any changes. Keiya Sento has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 10' Gen Shoji has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Min-tae Kim made 447 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 17' FC Machida Zelvia is taking the lead after the goal scored by Hokuto Shimoda on 17.
  • 22' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kenta Itakura suffering a number of foals already.
  • 27' FC Machida Zelvia started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 27.
  • 32' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 37' FC Mito Holly Hock seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 42' FC Machida Zelvia is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 47' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 48' GOAL! Ibrahim Dresevic scores on 48. Assisted by Asahi Masuyama
  • 53' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 58' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Machida Zelvia needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 63' FC Mito Holly Hock manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Taishi Semba is hanging Yuto Yamashita on the field on 63 minute.
  • 67' GOAL! Hiroki Mochizuki scores on 67.
  • 68' Time for substitution for FC Mito Holly Hock. Matheus Leiria Dos Santos is replaced by Koki Ando.
  • 73' Arata Watanabe needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 2 Yellow cards this season.
  • 76' Another change for FC Machida Zelvia made on 76 minute. Keiya Sento leaves to be changed by Kanji Kuwayama.
  • 77' Time for substitution for FC Machida Zelvia. Shota Fujio is replaced by Tete Yengi.
  • 79' The supporters are chanting for Shota Yamashita. He replaces Asahi Masuyama on 79 minute.
  • 84' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Mito Holly Hock is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 87' Another substitution for FC Machida Zelvia to replace Futa Tokumura by Gen Shoji on 87 minute.
  • 88' Kanji Kuwayama was booked on 88.
  • 90' What a strike from Koki Ando! The score is 1-3.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 5-4.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.68 FC Mito Holly Hock xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.78 FC Machida Zelvia xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 90% + Both teams to score 86%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Mito Holly Hock44% Draw19% FC Machida Zelvia37%
Actual: FC Mito Holly Hock win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes86% 0% No14%
Avg goals/match: 5.46
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 97%
3%
± 2.5 90%
10%
± 3.5 78%
22%
± 4.5 62%
38%

Double Chance

FC Mito Holly Hock or Draw
64%
Draw or FC Machida Zelvia
56%
FC Mito Holly Hock or FC Machida Zelvia
81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Mito Holly Hock33% Draw32% FC Machida Zelvia35%
Actual: FC Machida Zelvia win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–4 not predicted
5 – 4
Actual
2 – 2
5.8%
2 – 3
5.3%
3 – 2
5.1%
3 – 3
4.7%
1 – 2
4.5%
2 – 1
4.4%
1 – 3
4.1%
3 – 1
3.8%
1 – 1
3.8%
2 – 4
3.7%
4 – 2
3.4%
3 – 4
3.3%

Asian Handicap — FC Mito Holly Hock

Handicap FC Mito Holly Hock covers Push FC Machida Zelvia covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 11% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 15% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 58% 42%
+1 58% 16% 27%
+1.5 73% 27%
+2 73% 12% 14%
+2.5 86% 14%

Clean Sheet

FC Mito Holly Hock keeps clean sheet
7%
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
8%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.