Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FC Mito Holly Hock vs FC Machida Zelvia, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2026
5 – 4
3 – 2 pen
Full Time
Wed 29 Apr 2026 · 07:00 UTC K's denki Stadium Mito 7,229 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 17' Hokuto Shimoda
0–2 48' Ibrahim Dresevic
Hiroki Mochizuki og 67' 1–2
Koki Ando 90' 2–2

Overview

Match Preview

FC Mito Holly Hock vs FC Machida Zelvia — J. League at K's denki Stadium Mito.

Match Details

  • Referee Ming Fu
  • Assistant 1 Yusuke Shiotsu
  • Assistant 2 Bumpei Ueda

Head-to-Head

1
2
FC Mito Holly Hock 3 games · Avg 5.0 goals FC Machida Zelvia

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Apr FC Machida Zelvia H 5–4 W
24 Apr FC Tōkyō A 2–5 L
19 Apr Kashiwa Reysol H 2–0 W
11 Apr JEF United Ichihara Chiba A 1–0 W
04 Apr Kashima Antlers H 5–3 W
22 Mar Kashiwa Reysol A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Apr FC Mito Holly Hock A 4–5 L
11 Apr Kashiwa Reysol H 1–0 W
05 Apr FC Tōkyō A 0–0 D
01 Apr FC Tōkyō H 0–3 L
28 Mar Kawasaki Frontale H 1–0 W
22 Mar Urawa Red Diamonds A 2–1 W

Season Stats

FC Mito Holly Hock FC Machida Zelvia
#19 Position #13
18 Points 37
18 Played 18
6 / 0 / 12 W / D / L 13 / 0 / 5
35 Scored 42
50 Conceded 33
-15 GD +9
1.00 PPG 2.06
33% Win % 72%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
FC Mito Holly Hock this season
14% Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season

FC Mito Holly Hock are 19th (18 pts). FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Mito Holly Hock
0-15
1/1
16-30
4/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/1
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/4
61-75
4/1
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Mito Holly Hock
Arata Watanabe 5 G
Yasuki Kimoto 2 G
Kotaro Uchino 1 G
Yoshiki Torikai 1 G
FC Machida Zelvia
Yuki Soma 3 G 3 A
Koki Ogawa 3 G
Hotaka Nakamura 2 G 1 A
Tete Yengi 2 G 1 A
Takuma Nishimura 2 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.68 FC Mito Holly Hock xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.78 FC Machida Zelvia xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 90% + Both teams to score 86%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Mito Holly Hock44% Draw19% FC Machida Zelvia37%
Actual: FC Mito Holly Hock win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes86% 0% No14%
Avg goals/match: 5.46
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 97%
3%
± 2.5 90%
10%
± 3.5 78%
22%
± 4.5 62%
38%

Double Chance

FC Mito Holly Hock or Draw
64%
Draw or FC Machida Zelvia
56%
FC Mito Holly Hock or FC Machida Zelvia
81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Mito Holly Hock33% Draw32% FC Machida Zelvia35%
Actual: FC Machida Zelvia win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–4 not predicted
5 – 4
Actual
2 – 2
5.8%
2 – 3
5.3%
3 – 2
5.1%
3 – 3
4.7%
1 – 2
4.5%
2 – 1
4.4%
1 – 3
4.1%
3 – 1
3.8%
1 – 1
3.8%
2 – 4
3.7%
4 – 2
3.4%
3 – 4
3.3%

Asian Handicap — FC Mito Holly Hock

Handicap FC Mito Holly Hock covers Push FC Machida Zelvia covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 11% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 15% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 58% — 42%
+1 58% 16% 27%
+1.5 73% — 27%
+2 73% 12% 14%
+2.5 86% — 14%

Clean Sheet

FC Mito Holly Hock keeps clean sheet
7% ✓
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.