Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Erzgebirge Aue vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, 2018-19 ROUND OF 64

DFB-Pokal · 2018-19
Sat 18 Aug 2018 · 16:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Erzgebirge Aue vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — DFB-Pokal .

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Achmuller
  • Referee Felix Zwayer
  • Referee Eduard Beitinger
  • Referee Asmir Osmanagic

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Aug 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–3 L
12 May VfL Wolfsburg A 4–1 W
05 May SC Rot-Weiss Oberhausen H 2–0 W
28 Apr SV Drochtersen/Assel A 1–0 W
21 Apr Wroxham FC H 2–0 W
14 Apr 1. FC Nurnberg H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Aug FC Erzgebirge Aue A 3–1 W
12 May FC Hansa Rostock H 1–0 W
05 May MSV Duisburg A 2–1 W
28 Apr VfB Stuttgart H 1–1 D
22 Apr Karlsruher SC A 2–2 D
17 Apr FC Hansa Rostock H 0–1 L

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.2 FC Erzgebirge Aue xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.52 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: FC Erzgebirge Aue or 1. FSV Mainz 05 72% + Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Erzgebirge Aue30% Draw28% 1. FSV Mainz 0542%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.72
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

FC Erzgebirge Aue or Draw
58%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
70%
FC Erzgebirge Aue or 1. FSV Mainz 05
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Erzgebirge Aue22% Draw47% 1. FSV Mainz 0531%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
0 – 1
9%
1 – 2
8.8%
0 – 0
8.5%
0 – 2
7.4%
2 – 1
6.9%
1 – 0
6.9%
2 – 2
5.3%
2 – 0
4.7%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 3
3.7%
3 – 1
2.8%

Asian Handicap — FC Erzgebirge Aue

Handicap FC Erzgebirge Aue covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 16% 71%
-0.5 29% 71%
+0.5 57% 43%
+1 57% 21% 22%
+1.5 78% 22%
+2 78% 13% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

FC Erzgebirge Aue keeps clean sheet
23%
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.