FC Cincinnati vs Montreal Impact FC, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Montreal Impact FC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 15 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
- Montreal Impact FC 14 games · 14 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | Montreal Impact FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 06 May | D.C. United SC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Apr | New England Revolution | A | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Apr | Portland Timbers | H | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Apr | St. Louis City | A | 1–5 | L |
| 08 Apr | Philadelphia Union | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | FC Cincinnati | A | 0–3 | L |
| 13 May | Toronto FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 06 May | Orlando City SC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Apr | Sporting Kansas City | A | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Apr | New York Red Bulls | H | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Apr | D.C. United SC | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Montreal Impact FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #12 |
| 20 | Points | 14 |
| 15 | Played | 14 |
| 5 / 5 / 5 | W / D / L | 4 / 2 / 8 |
| 36 | Scored | 22 |
| 37 | Conceded | 31 |
| -1 | GD | -9 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 33% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
71%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
79%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
36%
Clean Sheets
Montreal Impact FC this season
Montreal Impact FC this season
FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts). Montreal Impact FC are 12th (14 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Montreal Impact FC
0-15
3/3
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
1/1
61-75
–/2
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at TQL Stadium. Ninety minutes of football awaits between FC Cincinnati and Montreal Impact FC.
- 2' The deadlock is broken! Joel Waterman gets on the scoresheet on 2 minutes.
- 7' Supporters expect more eagerness from Aaron Herrera, as he is very good at scoring at TQL Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 12' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 17' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Obinna Nwobodo suffering a number of foals already.
- 22' With 0 assists to his name this season, Alvas Powell is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Montreal Impact FC.
- 26' What a moment for Luciano Acosta! That strike on 26 puts his side firmly in control.
- 31' Mathieu Choiniere needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 34' Obinna Nwobodo catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 34.
- 39' USA international Bryce Duke has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 44' FC Cincinnati started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 44.
- 46' Victor Wanyama has so much to prove this time. He replaces George Campbell on 46 minute.
- 51' FC Cincinnati are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Montreal Impact FC backline.
- 56' A quiet spell here at TQL Stadium. FC Cincinnati seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 61' Sean Rea has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 65' Goal! Brandon Vazquez scores his 44 goal in 283 matches.
- 66' FC Cincinnati ring the changes. Dominique Badji has done his job and it is now time for Yuya Kubo to step up.
- 67' Another substitution for FC Cincinnati to replace Alvas Powell by Santiago Arias on 67 minute.
- 70' Robert THorkelsson is ready to make an impact after coming on for Rudy Camacho at the 70 minute mark.
- 74' Malik Pinto is ready to make an impact after coming on for Obinna Nwobodo at the 74 minute mark.
- 75' Another substitution for FC Cincinnati to replace Alvaro Barreal by Raymon Gaddis on 75 minute.
- 77' The Montreal Impact FC bench stirs into life. Ariel Lassiter is withdrawn and Jojea Kwizera gets his opportunity.
- 81' The supporters are chanting for Marco Angulo. He replaces Brandon Vazquez on 81 minute.
- 86' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Montreal Impact FC that had 279 games and scored 377 goals.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from FC Cincinnati to claim maximum points.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 21
-
14
Dominique Badji ↓ Yuya Kubo 66'
-
2
Alvas Powell ↓ Santiago Arias 67'
- 4
- 10
- 93
-
19
Brandon Vazquez ↓ Marco Angulo 81'
-
31
Alvaro Barreal ↓ Raymon Gaddis 75'
-
5
Obinna Nwobodo ↓ Malik Pinto 74'
- 32
- 18
Bench
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↑ 66'
-
13
Santiago Arias ↑ 67'
- 1
- 15
-
28
Raymon Gaddis ↑ 75'
-
8
Marco Angulo ↑ 81'
-
26
Malik Pinto ↑ 74'
- 3
Montreal Impact FC Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 25
- 22
- 4
- 29
-
11
Ariel Lassiter ↓ Jojea Kwizera 77'
- 24
- 16
-
10
Bryce Duke ↓ Lassi Lappalainen 46'
- 40
- 9
- 27
Bench
-
2
Victor Wanyama ↑ 46'
- 15
-
21
Lassi Lappalainen ↑ 46'
-
26
Robert THorkelsson ↑ 70'
- 7
-
14
Ibrahim Sunusi ↑ 46'
- 1
-
17
Jojea Kwizera ↑ 77'
- 19
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano Acosta | 3 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 3 |
| Luca Orellano | 3 |
| Djordje Mihailovic | 3 |
| Evander | 3 |
| Allan Cruz | 2 |
| Kwadwo Opoku | 2 |
| Romell Quioto | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Montreal Impact FC Form
2023-05-17
FC Cincinnati
3–0
Montreal Impact FC
L
2023-05-13
Montreal Impact FC
2–0
Toronto FC
W
2023-05-06
Montreal Impact FC
2–0
Orlando City SC
W
2023-04-30
Sporting Kansas City
0–2
Montreal Impact FC
W
2023-04-22
Montreal Impact FC
2–0
New York Red Bulls
W
2023-04-15
Montreal Impact FC
0–1
D.C. United SC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
3.02
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.85
Montreal Impact FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 85% + Both teams to score 79%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.87
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 2.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 3.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 4.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
76%
Draw or Montreal Impact FC
43%
FC Cincinnati or Montreal Impact FC
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
6.5%
3 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
5.9%
3 – 2
5.8%
1 – 1
5%
4 – 1
4.8%
4 – 2
4.4%
1 – 2
4.1%
2 – 0
3.7%
3 – 0
Actual
2 – 3
3.6%
3 – 3
3.6%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Montreal Impact FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -2 | 25% | 17% | 58% |
| -1.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| -1 | 42% | 18% | 40% |
| -0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 11% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
17%
✗
Montreal Impact FC keeps clean sheet
6%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

