Minnesota United FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Minnesota United FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS .
- Minnesota United FC 27 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Fotis Bazakos
- Referee Brian Poeschel
- Referee Joe Dickerson
- Referee Kevin Terry Jr.
- Referee Cory Richardson
9 games this season
🟨 2.7/game
⚽ 11.7 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun | FC Cincinnati | H | 7–1 | W |
| 09 Jun | Colorado Rapids SC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Jun | Philadelphia Union | H | 2–3 | L |
| 29 May | Atlanta United FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 26 May | Houston Dynamo | H | 1–0 | W |
| 19 May | Columbus Crew SC | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun | Minnesota United FC | A | 1–7 | L |
| 22 Jun | Los Angeles Galaxy | H | 0–2 | L |
| 06 Jun | New York City FC | A | 2–5 | L |
| 02 Jun | Colorado Rapids SC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 25 May | New York Red Bulls | H | 0–2 | L |
| 19 May | Orlando City SC | A | 1–5 | L |
Season Stats
| Minnesota United FC | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #29 | Position | #9 |
| 29 | Points | 33 |
| 27 | Played | 26 |
| 7 / 8 / 12 | W / D / L | 8 / 9 / 9 |
| 40 | Scored | 55 |
| 49 | Conceded | 64 |
| -9 | GD | -9 |
| 1.07 | PPG | 1.27 |
| 26% | Win % | 31% |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
Minnesota United FC this season
Minnesota United FC this season
15%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
Minnesota United FC are 29th (29 pts). FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Minnesota United FC
0-15
4/7
16-30
4/9
31-45
6/2
46-60
4/5
61-75
7/4
76+
5/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Minnesota United FC
| Kelvin Yeboah | 14 G | 2 A |
| Anthony Markanich | 8 G | 2 A |
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 14 G | 1 A |
| Evander | 13 G | 7 A |
| Tom Barlow | 7 G | 2 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. FC Cincinnati get us underway at .
- 5' The travelling FC Cincinnati supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 10' Minnesota United FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 15' Hassani Dotson has been relatively quiet despite scoring 19 goals in his last 289 appearances.
- 18' Ike Opara has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 18 minutes.
- 23' Against the run of play, Hassani Dotson has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 28' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 30' Goal! Ethan Finlay scores his 30 goal in 289 matches.
- 35' Frankie Amaya is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Minnesota United FC so far.
- 40' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Adrian Heath will be considering his options from the bench.
- 43' GOAL! Angelo Rodriguez scores on 43. Assisted by Darwin Quintero
- 46' The FC Cincinnati bench stirs into life. Eric Alexander is withdrawn and Thomas McCabe gets his opportunity.
- 51' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Osvaldo Alonso suffering a number of foals already.
- 54' Minnesota United FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 56' What a strike from Emmanuel Ledesma! The score is 4-1.
- 57' A tactical swap from FC Cincinnati — Forrest Lasso on, Mathieu Deplagne off on 57 minutes.
- 59' The referee calls foul for Angelo Rodriguez. He receives a Yellow card.
- 61' Mason Toye gets the nod from Minnesota United FC. He replaces Angelo Rodriguez and will look to change the dynamic.
- 62' It is a substitution in Minnesota United FC team. Darwin Quintero is replaced by Kevin Molino on 62 minute.
- 67' It is a cagey affair so far. Minnesota United FC in their trying to find a way past FC Cincinnati's compact .
- 70' Assisted by Jan Gregus with the perfectly-timed delivery and Ike Opara makes no mistake. 5-1!
- 70' Fresh legs for Minnesota United FC! Lawrence Olum comes on to replace Osvaldo Alonso.
- 73' The referee calls foul for Justin Hoyte. He receives a Yellow card.
- 75' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Mason Toye makes it 6-1.
- 79' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ethan Finlay on 79.
- 81' Corben Bone is replacing Rashawn Dally for the FC Cincinnati side.
- 82' FC Cincinnati manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Corben Bone is hanging Rashawn Dally on the field on 82 minute.
- 87' The Trinidad & Tobago Kevin Molino breaks the deadlock on 87 minutes. 7-1!
- With this win, Minnesota United FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Minnesota United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 3
- 6
-
9
Angelo Rodriguez ↓ Mason Toye 62'
-
25
Darwin Quintero ↓ Kevin Molino 61'
- 10
- 15
- 13
- 8
- 31
- 77
Bench
-
12
Lawrence Olum ↑ 70'
- 20
- 14
- 4
-
7
Kevin Molino ↑ 61'
-
23
Mason Toye ↑ 62'
- 97
Coach
Adrian Heath
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
- 33
- 8
-
16
Eric Alexander ↓ Thomas McCabe 46'
- 14
- 31
- 18
- 32
- 45
- 24
-
81
Rashawn Dally ↓ Corben Bone 81'
Bench
- 22
-
3
Forrest Lasso ↑ 57'
-
19
Corben Bone ↑ 81'
-
26
Thomas McCabe ↑ 46'
- 21
Coach
Yoann Damet
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ike Opara | 2 |
| Kevin Molino | 2 |
| Emmanuel Ledesma | 1 |
| Kei Kamara | 1 |
| Aaron Schoenfeld | 1 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 1 |
| Kelvin Yeboah | 1 |
| Yuya Kubo | 1 |
Head to Head
Minnesota United FC Form
2019-06-29
Minnesota United FC
7–1
FC Cincinnati
W
2019-06-09
Colorado Rapids SC
1–0
Minnesota United FC
L
2019-06-02
Minnesota United FC
2–3
Philadelphia Union
L
2019-05-29
Atlanta United FC
3–0
Minnesota United FC
L
2019-05-26
Minnesota United FC
1–0
Houston Dynamo
W
2019-05-19
Minnesota United FC
1–0
Columbus Crew SC
W
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
4.09
Minnesota United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.73
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 91% + Both teams to score 80%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Minnesota United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 5.82
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 2.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 3.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 4.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
Double Chance
Minnesota United FC or Draw
86%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
29%
Minnesota United FC or FC Cincinnati
85%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Minnesota United FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 7–1 not predicted7 – 1Actual
3 – 1
6.1%
4 – 1
6.1%
4 – 2
5.2%
3 – 2
5.2%
5 – 1
5%
2 – 1
4.7%
5 – 2
4.3%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 0
3.7%
4 – 0
3.7%
6 – 1
3.4%
4 – 3
3%
Asian Handicap — Minnesota United FC
| Handicap | Minnesota United FC covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| -2 | 42% | 18% | 40% |
| -1.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| -1 | 60% | 16% | 24% |
| -0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +0.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +1 | 88% | 7% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 3% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Minnesota United FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
2%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

