Minnesota United FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Minnesota United FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS .
- Minnesota United FC 18 games · 24 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Fotis Bazakos
- Referee Brian Poeschel
- Referee Joe Dickerson
- Referee Kevin Terry Jr.
- Referee Cory Richardson
8 games this season
🟨 2.5/game
⚽ 11.6 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun | FC Cincinnati | H | 7–1 | W |
| 09 Jun | Colorado Rapids SC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Jun | Philadelphia Union | H | 2–3 | L |
| 29 May | Atlanta United FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 26 May | Houston Dynamo | H | 1–0 | W |
| 19 May | Columbus Crew SC | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun | Minnesota United FC | A | 1–7 | L |
| 22 Jun | Los Angeles Galaxy | H | 0–2 | L |
| 06 Jun | New York City FC | A | 2–5 | L |
| 02 Jun | Colorado Rapids SC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 25 May | New York Red Bulls | H | 0–2 | L |
| 19 May | Orlando City SC | A | 1–5 | L |
Season Stats
| Minnesota United FC | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #25 | Position | #6 |
| 24 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 6 / 6 / 6 | W / D / L | 7 / 5 / 6 |
| 20 | Scored | 45 |
| 25 | Conceded | 44 |
| -5 | GD | +1 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 33% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
32%
Clean Sheets
Minnesota United FC this season
Minnesota United FC this season
21%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
Minnesota United FC are 25th (24 pts). FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Minnesota United FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/7
31-45
9/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
2/1
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Minnesota United FC
| Kelvin Yeboah | 8 G |
FC Cincinnati
| Evander | 10 G | 4 A |
| Kevin Denkey | 10 G | 1 A |
| Tom Barlow | 5 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Minnesota United FC have kicked off against FC Cincinnati. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' FC Cincinnati started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
- 10' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Cincinnati is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 15' Minnesota United FC have won 416 goals from 285 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 18' Ike Opara makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Minnesota United FC are in front.
- 23' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Hassani Dotson makes it 2-0.
- 28' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 30' Ethan Finlay is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 35' Minnesota United FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FC Cincinnati's shape.
- 40' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Minnesota United FC that had 285 games and scored 416 goals.
- 43' A goal from the Colombia international Angelo Rodriguez! He fires home on 43 to make it 4-0!
- 46' Fresh legs for FC Cincinnati! Thomas McCabe comes on to replace Eric Alexander.
- 51' The home supporters are growing impatient. Minnesota United FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 54' It’s a booking for Minnesota United FC player. Miguel Ibarra gets a Yellow card.
- 56' A goal from the Argentina international Emmanuel Ledesma! He fires home on 56 to make it 4-1!
- 57' The supporters are chanting for Forrest Lasso. He replaces Mathieu Deplagne on 57 minute.
- 59' Angelo Rodriguez was booked on 59.
- 61' Fresh legs for Minnesota United FC! Mason Toye comes on to replace Angelo Rodriguez.
- 62' Kevin Molino is replacing Darwin Quintero for the Minnesota United FC side.
- 67' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 70' Ike Opara doubles the advantage! 5-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 70' Minnesota United FC ring the changes. Osvaldo Alonso has done his job and it is now time for Lawrence Olum to step up.
- 73' FC Cincinnati player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 75' Goal! Mason Toye scores his 23 goal in 285 matches.
- 79' Minnesota United FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 81' Fresh legs for FC Cincinnati! Corben Bone comes on to replace Rashawn Dally.
- 82' A tactical swap from FC Cincinnati — Corben Bone on, Rashawn Dally off on 82 minutes.
- 87' A goal from the Trinidad & Tobago international Kevin Molino! He fires home on 87 to make it 7-1!
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 7-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Minnesota United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 3
- 6
-
9
Angelo Rodriguez ↓ Mason Toye 62'
-
25
Darwin Quintero ↓ Kevin Molino 61'
- 10
- 15
- 13
- 8
- 31
- 77
Bench
-
12
Lawrence Olum ↑ 70'
- 20
- 14
- 4
-
7
Kevin Molino ↑ 61'
-
23
Mason Toye ↑ 62'
- 97
Coach
Adrian Heath
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
- 33
- 8
-
16
Eric Alexander ↓ Thomas McCabe 46'
- 14
- 31
- 18
- 32
- 45
- 24
-
81
Rashawn Dally ↓ Corben Bone 81'
Bench
- 22
-
3
Forrest Lasso ↑ 57'
-
19
Corben Bone ↑ 81'
-
26
Thomas McCabe ↑ 46'
- 21
Coach
Yoann Damet
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ike Opara | 2 |
| Kevin Molino | 2 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 1 |
| Kelvin Yeboah | 1 |
| Yuya Kubo | 1 |
| Angelo Rodriguez | 1 |
| Luca Orellano | 1 |
| Ethan Finlay | 1 |
Head to Head
Minnesota United FC Form
2019-06-29
Minnesota United FC
7–1
FC Cincinnati
W
2019-06-09
Colorado Rapids SC
1–0
Minnesota United FC
L
2019-06-02
Minnesota United FC
2–3
Philadelphia Union
L
2019-05-29
Atlanta United FC
3–0
Minnesota United FC
L
2019-05-26
Minnesota United FC
1–0
Houston Dynamo
W
2019-05-19
Minnesota United FC
1–0
Columbus Crew SC
W
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.76
Minnesota United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.62
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 89% + Both teams to score 77%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Minnesota United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 5.38
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 2.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 3.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 4.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
Double Chance
Minnesota United FC or Draw
85%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
30%
Minnesota United FC or FC Cincinnati
85%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Minnesota United FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 7–1 not predicted7 – 1Actual
3 – 1
6.7%
4 – 1
6.2%
2 – 1
5.5%
3 – 2
5.3%
4 – 2
5%
5 – 1
4.6%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 0
4.3%
4 – 0
3.9%
5 – 2
3.8%
2 – 0
3.6%
1 – 1
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Minnesota United FC
| Handicap | Minnesota United FC covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| -2 | 39% | 18% | 43% |
| -1.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| -1 | 57% | 16% | 26% |
| -0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +0.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +1 | 87% | 7% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Minnesota United FC keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
3%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

