Minnesota United FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Minnesota United FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS .
- Minnesota United FC 15 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 15 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Fotis Bazakos
- Referee Brian Poeschel
- Referee Joe Dickerson
- Referee Kevin Terry Jr.
- Referee Cory Richardson
7 games this season
🟨 2.4/game
⚽ 11.6 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun | FC Cincinnati | H | 7–1 | W |
| 09 Jun | Colorado Rapids SC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Jun | Philadelphia Union | H | 2–3 | L |
| 29 May | Atlanta United FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 26 May | Houston Dynamo | H | 1–0 | W |
| 19 May | Columbus Crew SC | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun | Minnesota United FC | A | 1–7 | L |
| 22 Jun | Los Angeles Galaxy | H | 0–2 | L |
| 06 Jun | New York City FC | A | 2–5 | L |
| 02 Jun | Colorado Rapids SC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 25 May | New York Red Bulls | H | 0–2 | L |
| 19 May | Orlando City SC | A | 1–5 | L |
Season Stats
| Minnesota United FC | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #23 | Position | #7 |
| 22 | Points | 20 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 6 / 4 / 5 | W / D / L | 5 / 5 / 5 |
| 18 | Scored | 36 |
| 22 | Conceded | 37 |
| -4 | GD | -1 |
| 1.47 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 40% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
33%
Clean Sheets
Minnesota United FC this season
Minnesota United FC this season
27%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
Minnesota United FC are 23rd (22 pts). FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Minnesota United FC
0-15
1/4
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Minnesota United FC gets underway.
- 5' With 0 assists to his name this season, Corben Bone is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Cincinnati.
- 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Minnesota United FC winning 100% of all matches.
- 15' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 18' Ike Opara does the damage! The net is bulging and Minnesota United FC surge ahead!
- 23' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Hassani Dotson makes it 2-0.
- 28' Minnesota United FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 30' Magnificent from Ethan Finlay! That is 30 goals in 282 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 35' FC Cincinnati are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 40' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Mathieu Deplagne made 445 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 43' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Angelo Rodriguez makes it 4-0.
- 46' Eric Alexander makes way for Thomas McCabe at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Cincinnati.
- 51' FC Cincinnati come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 54' Miguel Ibarra has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 54.
- 56' Magnificent from Emmanuel Ledesma! That is 6 goals in 245 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 57' Another change for FC Cincinnati made on 57 minute. Mathieu Deplagne leaves to be changed by Forrest Lasso.
- 59' It’s a booking for Minnesota United FC player. Angelo Rodriguez gets a Yellow card.
- 61' Minnesota United FC ring the changes. Angelo Rodriguez has done his job and it is now time for Mason Toye to step up.
- 62' Kevin Molino is ready to make an impact after coming on for Darwin Quintero at the 62 minute mark.
- 67' Minnesota United FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Cincinnati backline.
- 70' Ike Opara makes no mistake. The score reads 5-1 and Minnesota United FC are in front.
- 70' Minnesota United FC make a change. Osvaldo Alonso trudges off to be replaced by Lawrence Olum on 70 minutes.
- 73' A moment of madness from Justin Hoyte on 73 minutes earns him a Yellow card. FC Cincinnati will be frustrated.
- 75' Magnificent from Mason Toye! That is 23 goals in 282 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 79' Ethan Finlay was booked on 79.
- 81' The supporters are chanting for Corben Bone. He replaces Rashawn Dally on 81 minute.
- 82' Corben Bone is ready to make an impact after coming on for Rashawn Dally at the 82 minute mark.
- 87' Goal! Kevin Molino scores his 23 goal in 282 matches.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 7-1.
Lineups
Minnesota United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 3
- 6
-
9
Angelo Rodriguez ↓ Mason Toye 62'
-
25
Darwin Quintero ↓ Kevin Molino 61'
- 10
- 15
- 13
- 8
- 31
- 77
Bench
-
12
Lawrence Olum ↑ 70'
- 20
- 14
- 4
-
7
Kevin Molino ↑ 61'
-
23
Mason Toye ↑ 62'
- 97
Coach
Adrian Heath
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
- 33
- 8
-
16
Eric Alexander ↓ Thomas McCabe 46'
- 14
- 31
- 18
- 32
- 45
- 24
-
81
Rashawn Dally ↓ Corben Bone 81'
Bench
- 22
-
3
Forrest Lasso ↑ 57'
-
19
Corben Bone ↑ 81'
-
26
Thomas McCabe ↑ 46'
- 21
Coach
Yoann Damet
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ike Opara | 2 |
| Kevin Molino | 2 |
| Hassani Dotson | 1 |
| Emmanuel Ledesma | 1 |
| Kei Kamara | 1 |
| Aaron Schoenfeld | 1 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 1 |
| Kelvin Yeboah | 1 |
Head to Head
Minnesota United FC Form
2019-06-29
Minnesota United FC
7–1
FC Cincinnati
W
2019-06-09
Colorado Rapids SC
1–0
Minnesota United FC
L
2019-06-02
Minnesota United FC
2–3
Philadelphia Union
L
2019-05-29
Atlanta United FC
3–0
Minnesota United FC
L
2019-05-26
Minnesota United FC
1–0
Houston Dynamo
W
2019-05-19
Minnesota United FC
1–0
Columbus Crew SC
W
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.82
Minnesota United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.61
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 89% + Both teams to score 77%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Minnesota United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 5.43
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 2.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 3.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 4.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
Double Chance
Minnesota United FC or Draw
86%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
30%
Minnesota United FC or FC Cincinnati
85%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Minnesota United FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 7–1 not predicted7 – 1Actual
3 – 1
6.7%
4 – 1
6.2%
2 – 1
5.4%
3 – 2
5.3%
4 – 2
5%
5 – 1
4.8%
3 – 0
4.3%
2 – 2
4.3%
4 – 0
4%
5 – 2
3.8%
2 – 0
3.6%
1 – 1
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Minnesota United FC
| Handicap | Minnesota United FC covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| -2 | 41% | 18% | 41% |
| -1.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| -1 | 59% | 16% | 25% |
| -0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +0.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +1 | 88% | 7% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 3% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Minnesota United FC keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
3%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

