FC Cincinnati vs FC Dallas, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs FC Dallas — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- FC Dallas 18 games · 27 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May | FC Dallas | H | 3–3 | D |
| 25 May | Atlanta United FC | A | 2–4 | L |
| 17 May | Columbus Crew SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 14 May | Toronto FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 10 May | Austin FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 04 May | New York City FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May | FC Cincinnati | A | 3–3 | D |
| 24 May | Seattle Sounders FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 18 May | Houston Dynamo | H | 0–2 | L |
| 11 May | Real Salt Lake | H | 1–1 | D |
| 04 May | San Diego FC | A | 0–5 | L |
| 27 Apr | Internacional CF Miami | A | 4–3 | W |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | FC Dallas | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #20 |
| 26 | Points | 27 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 5 / 6 | W / D / L | 7 / 6 / 5 |
| 45 | Scored | 32 |
| 44 | Conceded | 25 |
| +1 | GD | +7 |
| 1.44 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 39% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
22%
Clean Sheets
FC Dallas this season
FC Dallas this season
FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts). FC Dallas are 20th (27 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/7
31-45
9/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
2/1
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Dallas
0-15
4/2
16-30
3/4
31-45
5/3
46-60
3/1
61-75
–/3
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Evander | 10 G | 4 A |
| Kevin Denkey | 10 G | 1 A |
| Tom Barlow | 5 G |
FC Dallas
| Petar Musa | 13 G | 2 A |
| Logan Farrington | 6 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for FC Cincinnati to score. At the same time, FC Dallas does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 2' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Alvas Powell on 2 minutes.
- 7' Marco Farfan has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 7.
- 12' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Cincinnati and FC Dallas are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 17' FC Cincinnati currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 22' FC Dallas are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 27' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 30' Pavel Bucha has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 30 minutes.
- 35' FC Dallas fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 36' Lalas Abubakar has so much to prove this time. He replaces Osaze Urhoghide on 36 minute.
- 41' FC Cincinnati are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FC Dallas's shape.
- 42' Kevin Denkey does the damage! The net is bulging and FC Cincinnati surge ahead!
- 44' FC Dallas receives a card for a hard tackle on 44.
- 46' The whistle greets Bernard Kamungo as he departs to be replaced by Pedrinho.
- 50' GOAL! Petar Musa scores on 50. Assisted by Shaq Moore
- 55' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 60' FC Cincinnati is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 62' A moment of madness from Petar Musa on 62 minutes earns him a card. FC Dallas will be frustrated.
- 64' FC Cincinnati make a change. Sergio Santos trudges off to be replaced by Kei Kamara on 64 minutes.
- 65' The FC Dallas manager makes a substitution. Kaick departs to be replaced by Patrickson Delgado.
- 68' A stunning finish from Anderson Julio — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 73' Another substitution for FC Cincinnati to replace Luca Orellano by Lukas Engel on 73 minute.
- 74' FC Cincinnati manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Teenage Hadebe is hanging Alvas Powell on the field on 74 minute.
- 78' That looks like a foul for a card for Teenage Hadebe.
- 83' Another substitution for FC Dallas to replace Anderson Julio by Logan Farrington on 83 minute.
- 86' A goal from the USA international Gerardo Valenzuela! He fires home on 86 to make it 3-2!
- 90' Controversy at the stadium! Corey Baird argues furiously but the card stands.
- Game over. The scoreline of 3-3 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
-
91
DeAndre Yedlin ↓ Corey Baird 83'
-
2
Alvas Powell ↓ Teenage Hadebe 74'
- 12
- 20
- 5
- 9
-
23
Luca Orellano ↓ Lukas Engel 73'
-
17
Sergio Santos ↓ Kei Kamara 64'
- 18
- 3
Bench
- 21
-
11
Corey Baird ↑ 83'
- 13
- 14
-
85
Kei Kamara ↑ 64'
-
16
Teenage Hadebe ↑ 74'
- 27
-
29
Lukas Engel ↑ 73'
-
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 74'
Coach
Pat Noonan
FC Dallas Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 17
- 1
- 18
- 4
- 10
- 25
- 9
- 11
-
77
Bernard Kamungo ↓ Pedrinho 46'
-
55
Kaick ↓ Patrickson Delgado 65'
Bench
-
5
Lalas Abubakar ↑ 36'
- 21
- 16
-
20
Pedrinho ↑ 46'
-
6
Patrickson Delgado ↑ 65'
- 32
-
23
Logan Farrington ↑ 83'
- 30
- 50
Coach
Eric Quill
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kevin Denkey | 1 |
| Gerardo Valenzuela | 1 |
| Michael Barrios | 1 |
| Ryan Hollingshead | 1 |
| Zdenek Ondrasek | 1 |
| Emmanuel Ledesma | 1 |
| Luca Orellano | 1 |
| Sebastien Ibeagha | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.44
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.33
FC Dallas xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 84% + Both teams to score 81%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.77
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 2.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 3.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 4.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
66%
Draw or FC Dallas
56%
FC Cincinnati or FC Dallas
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.6%
2 – 1
5.8%
1 – 2
5.6%
1 – 1
5.5%
3 – 2
5.3%
2 – 3
5.1%
3 – 1
4.7%
1 – 3
4.3%
3 – 3
Actual
4 – 2
3.3%
2 – 4
3%
4 – 1
2.9%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | FC Dallas covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 12% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 17% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +1 | 62% | 16% | 22% |
| +1.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +2 | 78% | 11% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
FC Dallas keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.