Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United FC, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2023

Philadelphia Union

3 – 2

Full Time

Atlanta United FC

Wed 4 Oct 2023 · 23:30 UTC Subaru Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Daniel Gazdag 39' 1–0

Mikkel Uhre 41' 2–0

Julian Carranza 45+3' 3–0

3–1 56' Thiago Almada pen

3–2 77' Edwin Mosquera

Jack Elliott 34' Y

Quinn Sullivan 66' Y

Jose Martinez 75' Y

Y 75' Jamal Thiare

Nathan Harriel 81' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United FC — MLS at Subaru Park.

Philadelphia Union 34 games · 50 pts (2026/26)
Atlanta United FC 34 games · 33 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	77
2	Internacional CF Miami	34	60
3	New England Revolution	34	58
4	Chicago Fire FC	34	55
5	Charlotte FC	34	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	50
7	Columbus Crew SC	34	47
8	FC Cincinnati	34	46
9	Orlando City SC	34	46
10	New York City FC	34	42
11	New York Red Bulls	34	42
12	Toronto FC	34	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	33
14	D.C. United SC	34	33
15	Montreal Impact FC	34	26
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	34	64
17	FC Dallas	34	58
18	St. Louis City	34	54
19	San Jose Earthquakes	34	52
20	Houston Dynamo	34	51
21	Los Angeles FC	34	47
22	Portland Timbers	34	46
23	Seattle Sounders FC	34	46
24	Real Salt Lake	34	45
25	Minnesota United FC	34	44
26	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	44
27	Colorado Rapids SC	34	43
28	San Diego FC	34	38
29	Austin FC	34	34
30	Sporting Kansas City	34	26

Head-to-Head

Philadelphia Union 17 games · Avg 2.9 goals Atlanta United FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-10-04 Philadelphia Union 3–2 Atlanta United FC 2023-07-02 Atlanta United FC 2–0 Philadelphia Union 2022-09-17 Atlanta United FC 0–0 Philadelphia Union 2022-08-31 Philadelphia Union 4–1 Atlanta United FC 2021-09-25 Philadelphia Union 1–0 Atlanta United FC

Recent Form

Philadelphia Union

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	Atlanta United FC	H	3–2	W
30 Sep	Columbus Crew SC	A	1–1	D
27 Sep	FC Dallas	H	1–1	D
23 Sep	Los Angeles FC	H	0–0	D
20 Sep	Charlotte FC	A	2–2	D
16 Sep	FC Cincinnati	H	2–2	D

Atlanta United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	Philadelphia Union	A	2–3	L
23 Sep	Montreal Impact FC	H	4–1	W
20 Sep	D.C. United SC	A	1–1	D
16 Sep	Internacional CF Miami	H	5–2	W
03 Sep	FC Dallas	A	2–2	D
30 Aug	FC Cincinnati	H	1–2	L

Season Stats

Philadelphia Union		Atlanta United FC
#6	Position	#13
50	Points	33
34	Played	34
14 / 8 / 12	W / D / L	9 / 6 / 19
66	Scored	43
52	Conceded	60
+14	GD	-17
1.47	PPG	0.97
41%	Win %	26%

Key Stats

59% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

24% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season

15% Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season

Philadelphia Union are 6th (50 pts). Atlanta United FC are 13th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Philadelphia Union

0-15

4/6

16-30

6/7

31-45

8/7

46-60

12/2

61-75

17/5

76+

8/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Atlanta United FC

0-15

3/4

16-30

5/6

31-45

4/7

46-60

5/12

61-75

6/8

76+

7/11

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Philadelphia Union

Milan Iloski	19 G	2 A
Bruno Damiani	13 G	3 A
Cavan Sullivan	9 G	6 A

Atlanta United FC

Aleksei Miranchuk

6 G

6 A

Events

Match Events

0' Temperatures are rising at Subaru Park as Philadelphia Union face off against Atlanta United FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Atlanta United FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
10' Philadelphia Union is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
12' The crowd applauds Jesus Bueno as he leaves the pitch. Jose Martinez steps in for Philadelphia Union.
17' Philadelphia Union are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Atlanta United FC backline.
22' Philadelphia Union is showing some good football. However, Philadelphia Union are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
27' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Thiago Almada made 195 appearances and scored 39 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
32' Mikkel Uhre has been relatively quiet despite scoring 21 goals in his last 305 appearances.
34' Controversy at the stadium! Jack Elliott argues furiously but the card stands.
39' Daniel Gazdag makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Philadelphia Union are in front.
41' Mikkel Uhre makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and Philadelphia Union are in front.
46' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
48' Magnificent from Julian Carranza! That is 48 goals in 192 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
53' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
56' Thiago Almada makes no mistake. The score reads 3-1 and Atlanta United FC are in front.
61' It looks like no one’s ball. Atlanta United FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
62' Quinn Sullivan gets the nod from Philadelphia Union. He replaces Mikkel Uhre and will look to change the dynamic.
66' The referee has no hesitation. Quinn Sullivan is booked for Philadelphia Union — card on 66.
66' Atlanta United FC ring the changes. Xande Silva has done his job and it is now time for Edwin Mosquera to step up.
71' Jack Elliott has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 39 cards already picked up this season.
73' Derrick Etienne is replacing Saba Lobzhanidze for the Atlanta United FC side.
75' The referee has no hesitation. Jose Martinez is booked for Philadelphia Union — card on 75.
77' A goal from the Colombia international Edwin Mosquera! He fires home on 77 to make it 3-2!
81' A moment of madness from Nathan Harriel on 81 minutes earns him a card. Philadelphia Union will be frustrated.
83' The crowd applauds Olivier Mbaizo as he leaves the pitch. Damion Lowe steps in for Philadelphia Union.
84' Matt Real has so much to prove this time. He replaces Alejandro Bedoya on 84 minute.
85' It is a substitution in Atlanta United FC team. Tristan Muyumba is replaced by Miguel Berry on 85 minute.
90' Atlanta United FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 90.
Philadelphia Union celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Philadelphia Union Lineups

4-3-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

12
Joe Bendik
2
Matt Real ↑ 84'
31
Leon Flach
33
Quinn Sullivan ↑ 62'
17
Damion Lowe ↑ 83'
25
Chris Donovan
8
Jose Martinez ↑ 12'
28
Tai Baribo
14
Jeremy Rafanello

Coach Jim Curtin

Atlanta United FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

20
Matheus Rossetto ↓ Ajani Fortune 66'
11
Brooks Lennon
4
Luis Abram
1
Brad Guzan
12
Miles Robinson
10
Thiago Almada
16
Xande Silva ↓ Edwin Mosquera 66'
8
Tristan Muyumba ↓ Miguel Berry 85'
26
Caleb Wiley
7
Georgios Giakoumakis ↓ Jamal Thiare 73'
9
Saba Lobzhanidze ↓ Derrick Etienne 73'

Bench

29
Jamal Thiare ↑ 73'
31
Quentin Westberg
18
Derrick Etienne ↑ 73'
2
Ronald Hernandez
13
Amar Sejdic
19
Miguel Berry ↑ 85'
21
Edwin Mosquera ↑ 66'
22
Juan Sanchez
35
Ajani Fortune ↑ 66'

Coach Gonzalo Pineda

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Josef Martinez	6
Josef Martinez	4
Thiago Almada	2
Andrew Gutman	2
Julian Carranza	2
Mikkel Uhre	2
Daniel Gazdag	2
Brenden Aaronson	2

Head to Head

Philadelphia Union Form

2023-10-04 Philadelphia Union 3–2 Atlanta United FC W 2023-09-30 Columbus Crew SC 1–1 Philadelphia Union D 2023-09-27 Philadelphia Union 1–1 FC Dallas D 2023-09-23 Philadelphia Union 0–0 Los Angeles FC D 2023-09-20 Charlotte FC 2–2 Philadelphia Union D 2023-09-16 Philadelphia Union 2–2 FC Cincinnati D

Atlanta United FC Form

2023-10-04 Philadelphia Union 3–2 Atlanta United FC L 2023-09-23 Atlanta United FC 4–1 Montreal Impact FC W 2023-09-20 D.C. United SC 1–1 Atlanta United FC D 2023-09-16 Atlanta United FC 5–2 Internacional CF Miami W 2023-09-03 FC Dallas 2–2 Atlanta United FC D 2023-08-30 Atlanta United FC 1–2 FC Cincinnati L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.14 Philadelphia Union xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.25 Atlanta United FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Philadelphia Union56% Draw23% Atlanta United FC21%

Actual: Philadelphia Union win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes63% 0% No37%

Avg goals/match: 3.39

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	85%	15%
± 2.5	65%	35%
± 3.5	43%	57%
± 4.5	25%	75%

Double Chance

Philadelphia Union or Draw

79%

Draw or Atlanta United FC

44%

Philadelphia Union or Atlanta United FC

77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Philadelphia Union42% Draw40% Atlanta United FC18%

Actual: Philadelphia Union win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.9%

2 – 1

9.3%

2 – 0

7.7%

1 – 0

6.7%

3 – 1

6.6%

2 – 2

5.8%

1 – 2

5.5%

3 – 0

5.4%

0 – 0

4.8%

3 – 2

Actual

0 – 1

3.6%

4 – 1

3.6%

Asian Handicap — Philadelphia Union

Handicap	Philadelphia Union covers	Push	Atlanta United FC covers
-2.5	18%	—	82%
-2	18%	17%	65%
-1.5	35%	—	65%
-1	35%	21%	44%
-0.5	56%	—	44%
+0.5	79%	—	21%
+1	79%	12%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	6%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet

29% ✓

Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.