Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United FC, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2023

Philadelphia Union

3 – 2

Full Time

Atlanta United FC

Wed 4 Oct 2023 · 23:30 UTC Subaru Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Daniel Gazdag 39' 1–0

Mikkel Uhre 41' 2–0

Julian Carranza 45+3' 3–0

3–1 56' Thiago Almada pen

3–2 77' Edwin Mosquera

Jack Elliott 34' Y

Quinn Sullivan 66' Y

Jose Martinez 75' Y

Y 75' Jamal Thiare

Nathan Harriel 81' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United FC — MLS at Subaru Park.

Philadelphia Union 15 games · 7 pts (2026/26)
Atlanta United FC 14 games · 11 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	14	33
2	Internacional CF Miami	15	31
3	Chicago Fire FC	14	26
4	New England Revolution	14	25
5	New York Red Bulls	15	22
6	Charlotte FC	15	21
7	FC Cincinnati	15	20
8	New York City FC	15	19
9	D.C. United SC	15	18
10	Columbus Crew SC	15	16
11	Toronto FC	14	14
12	Montreal Impact FC	14	14
13	Orlando City SC	15	14
14	Atlanta United FC	14	11
15	Philadelphia Union	15	7
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	14	32
17	San Jose Earthquakes	15	32
18	Real Salt Lake	14	26
19	FC Dallas	15	25
20	Los Angeles FC	15	24
21	Seattle Sounders FC	13	24
22	Houston Dynamo	14	22
23	Minnesota United FC	15	22
24	Los Angeles Galaxy	15	20
25	San Diego FC	15	17
26	Colorado Rapids SC	15	16
27	St. Louis City	14	16
28	Portland Timbers	14	14
29	Austin FC	15	14
30	Sporting Kansas City	14	11

Head-to-Head

Philadelphia Union 16 games · Avg 2.8 goals Atlanta United FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-10-04 Philadelphia Union 3–2 Atlanta United FC 2023-07-02 Atlanta United FC 2–0 Philadelphia Union 2022-09-17 Atlanta United FC 0–0 Philadelphia Union 2022-08-31 Philadelphia Union 4–1 Atlanta United FC 2021-09-25 Philadelphia Union 1–0 Atlanta United FC

Recent Form

Philadelphia Union

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	Atlanta United FC	H	3–2	W
30 Sep	Columbus Crew SC	A	1–1	D
27 Sep	FC Dallas	H	1–1	D
23 Sep	Los Angeles FC	H	0–0	D
20 Sep	Charlotte FC	A	2–2	D
16 Sep	FC Cincinnati	H	2–2	D

Atlanta United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	Philadelphia Union	A	2–3	L
23 Sep	Montreal Impact FC	H	4–1	W
20 Sep	D.C. United SC	A	1–1	D
16 Sep	Internacional CF Miami	H	5–2	W
03 Sep	FC Dallas	A	2–2	D
30 Aug	FC Cincinnati	H	1–2	L

Season Stats

Philadelphia Union		Atlanta United FC
#15	Position	#14
7	Points	11
15	Played	14
1 / 4 / 10	W / D / L	3 / 2 / 9
18	Scored	14
30	Conceded	23
-12	GD	-9
0.47	PPG	0.79
7%	Win %	21%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

20% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season

14% Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season

Philadelphia Union are 15th (7 pts). Atlanta United FC are 14th (11 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Philadelphia Union

0-15

2/3

16-30

1/4

31-45

2/2

46-60

2/1

61-75

2/1

76+

2/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Atlanta United FC

0-15

–/2

16-30

–/2

31-45

1/1

46-60

2/2

61-75

1/4

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at Subaru Park. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Jim Curtin might look to freshen things up shortly.
10' Philadelphia Union is showing some good football. However, Philadelphia Union are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
12' Philadelphia Union ring the changes. Jesus Bueno has done his job and it is now time for Jose Martinez to step up.
17' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Atlanta United FC winning 100% of all matches.
22' Philadelphia Union are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
27' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Philadelphia Union side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
32' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Philadelphia Union and Atlanta United FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
34' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jack Elliott on 34.
39' Daniel Gazdag does the damage! The net is bulging and Philadelphia Union surge ahead!
41' What composure from Mikkel Uhre! The Denmark international strokes it home. 2-0.
46' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
48' Julian Carranza adds to his 0 season tally! Philadelphia Union lead 3-0 — and this changes everything.
53' Philadelphia Union have won 477 goals from 286 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
56' The deadlock is broken! Thiago Almada gets on the scoresheet on 56 minutes.
61' Edwin Mosquera has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
62' Philadelphia Union ring the changes. Mikkel Uhre has done his job and it is now time for Quinn Sullivan to step up.
66' A meaty challenge results in booking for Quinn Sullivan on 66.
66' Atlanta United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Edwin Mosquera is hanging Xande Silva on the field on 66 minute.
71' Over 71 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
73' Derrick Etienne is ready to make an impact after coming on for Saba Lobzhanidze at the 73 minute mark.
75' Philadelphia Union receives a card for a hard tackle on 75.
77' What a strike from Edwin Mosquera! The score is 3-2.
81' Nathan Harriel has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 81.
83' Time for substitution for Philadelphia Union. Olivier Mbaizo is replaced by Damion Lowe.
84' The Philadelphia Union bench stirs into life. Alejandro Bedoya is withdrawn and Matt Real gets his opportunity.
85' The whistle greets Tristan Muyumba as he departs to be replaced by Miguel Berry.
90' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 90 minutes.
3-2 the final result. Atlanta United FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Philadelphia Union Lineups

4-3-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

12
Joe Bendik
2
Matt Real ↑ 84'
31
Leon Flach
33
Quinn Sullivan ↑ 62'
17
Damion Lowe ↑ 83'
25
Chris Donovan
8
Jose Martinez ↑ 12'
28
Tai Baribo
14
Jeremy Rafanello

Coach Jim Curtin

Atlanta United FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

20
Matheus Rossetto ↓ Ajani Fortune 66'
11
Brooks Lennon
4
Luis Abram
1
Brad Guzan
12
Miles Robinson
10
Thiago Almada
16
Xande Silva ↓ Edwin Mosquera 66'
8
Tristan Muyumba ↓ Miguel Berry 85'
26
Caleb Wiley
7
Georgios Giakoumakis ↓ Jamal Thiare 73'
9
Saba Lobzhanidze ↓ Derrick Etienne 73'

Bench

29
Jamal Thiare ↑ 73'
31
Quentin Westberg
18
Derrick Etienne ↑ 73'
2
Ronald Hernandez
13
Amar Sejdic
19
Miguel Berry ↑ 85'
21
Edwin Mosquera ↑ 66'
22
Juan Sanchez
35
Ajani Fortune ↑ 66'

Coach Gonzalo Pineda

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Josef Martinez	6
Josef Martinez	4
Daniel Gazdag	2
Thiago Almada	2
Brenden Aaronson	2
Nathan Harriel	2
Mikkel Uhre	2
Andrew Gutman	2

Head to Head

Philadelphia Union Form

2023-10-04 Philadelphia Union 3–2 Atlanta United FC W 2023-09-30 Columbus Crew SC 1–1 Philadelphia Union D 2023-09-27 Philadelphia Union 1–1 FC Dallas D 2023-09-23 Philadelphia Union 0–0 Los Angeles FC D 2023-09-20 Charlotte FC 2–2 Philadelphia Union D 2023-09-16 Philadelphia Union 2–2 FC Cincinnati D

Atlanta United FC Form

2023-10-04 Philadelphia Union 3–2 Atlanta United FC L 2023-09-23 Atlanta United FC 4–1 Montreal Impact FC W 2023-09-20 D.C. United SC 1–1 Atlanta United FC D 2023-09-16 Atlanta United FC 5–2 Internacional CF Miami W 2023-09-03 FC Dallas 2–2 Atlanta United FC D 2023-08-30 Atlanta United FC 1–2 FC Cincinnati L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.61 Philadelphia Union xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.26 Atlanta United FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Philadelphia Union48% Draw26% Atlanta United FC26%

Actual: Philadelphia Union win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes58% 0% No42%

Avg goals/match: 2.87

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	78%	22%
± 2.5	54%	46%
± 3.5	32%	68%
± 4.5	17%	83%

Double Chance

Philadelphia Union or Draw

73%

Draw or Atlanta United FC

52%

Philadelphia Union or Atlanta United FC

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Philadelphia Union32% Draw45% Atlanta United FC23%

Actual: Philadelphia Union win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.4%

2 – 1

8.9%

1 – 0

8.3%

0 – 0

7.5%

2 – 0

7.3%

1 – 2

0 – 1

6.2%

2 – 2

5.6%

3 – 1

4.8%

0 – 2

4.4%

3 – 0

3.8%

3 – 2

Actual

Asian Handicap — Philadelphia Union

Handicap	Philadelphia Union covers	Push	Atlanta United FC covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	14%	77%
-1.5	23%	—	77%
-1	23%	21%	56%
-0.5	44%	—	56%
+0.5	71%	—	29%
+1	71%	16%	13%
+1.5	87%	—	13%
+2	87%	8%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet

29% ✓

Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.