Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United FC, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2023

Philadelphia Union

3 – 2

Full Time

Atlanta United FC

Wed 4 Oct 2023 · 23:30 UTC Subaru Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Daniel Gazdag 39' 1–0

Mikkel Uhre 41' 2–0

Julian Carranza 45+3' 3–0

3–1 56' Thiago Almada pen

3–2 77' Edwin Mosquera

Jack Elliott 34' Y

Quinn Sullivan 66' Y

Jose Martinez 75' Y

Y 75' Jamal Thiare

Nathan Harriel 81' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United FC — MLS at Subaru Park.

Philadelphia Union 18 games · 16 pts (2026/26)
Atlanta United FC 18 games · 12 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	18	40
2	Internacional CF Miami	18	38
3	New England Revolution	18	30
4	Chicago Fire FC	17	29
5	New York City FC	18	26
6	FC Cincinnati	18	26
7	Charlotte FC	18	25
8	New York Red Bulls	18	25
9	D.C. United SC	18	23
10	Columbus Crew SC	18	20
11	Orlando City SC	18	20
12	Toronto FC	18	17
13	Philadelphia Union	18	16
14	Montreal Impact FC	18	16
15	Atlanta United FC	18	12
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	17	34
17	Los Angeles FC	19	34
18	San Jose Earthquakes	18	33
19	Houston Dynamo	18	32
20	FC Dallas	18	27
21	Real Salt Lake	17	27
22	St. Louis City	18	26
23	Portland Timbers	18	24
24	Seattle Sounders FC	17	24
25	Minnesota United FC	18	24
26	Colorado Rapids SC	18	22
27	Los Angeles Galaxy	19	22
28	San Diego FC	18	21
29	Austin FC	18	17
30	Sporting Kansas City	18	14

Head-to-Head

Philadelphia Union 17 games · Avg 2.9 goals Atlanta United FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-10-04 Philadelphia Union 3–2 Atlanta United FC 2023-07-02 Atlanta United FC 2–0 Philadelphia Union 2022-09-17 Atlanta United FC 0–0 Philadelphia Union 2022-08-31 Philadelphia Union 4–1 Atlanta United FC 2021-09-25 Philadelphia Union 1–0 Atlanta United FC

Recent Form

Philadelphia Union

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	Atlanta United FC	H	3–2	W
30 Sep	Columbus Crew SC	A	1–1	D
27 Sep	FC Dallas	H	1–1	D
23 Sep	Los Angeles FC	H	0–0	D
20 Sep	Charlotte FC	A	2–2	D
16 Sep	FC Cincinnati	H	2–2	D

Atlanta United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	Philadelphia Union	A	2–3	L
23 Sep	Montreal Impact FC	H	4–1	W
20 Sep	D.C. United SC	A	1–1	D
16 Sep	Internacional CF Miami	H	5–2	W
03 Sep	FC Dallas	A	2–2	D
30 Aug	FC Cincinnati	H	1–2	L

Season Stats

Philadelphia Union		Atlanta United FC
#13	Position	#15
16	Points	12
18	Played	18
4 / 4 / 10	W / D / L	3 / 3 / 12
25	Scored	19
33	Conceded	33
-8	GD	-14
0.89	PPG	0.67
22%	Win %	17%

Key Stats

59% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

22% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season

11% Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season

Philadelphia Union are 13th (16 pts). Atlanta United FC are 15th (12 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Philadelphia Union

0-15

3/3

16-30

1/5

31-45

3/3

46-60

3/1

61-75

4/2

76+

4/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Atlanta United FC

0-15

–/4

16-30

1/3

31-45

1/3

46-60

3/3

61-75

3/6

76+

4/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Philadelphia Union

Milan Iloski

8 G

1 A

Atlanta United FC

Aleksei Miranchuk

5 G

2 A

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: Atlanta United FC gets underway.
5' Atlanta United FC have won 433 goals from 287 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
10' Ajani Fortune has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
12' Philadelphia Union ring the changes. Jesus Bueno has done his job and it is now time for Jose Martinez to step up.
17' Brad Guzan has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
22' Philadelphia Union are deployed in a 4-3-1-2 today, looking to exploit space against Atlanta United FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
27' Olivier Mbaizo is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Philadelphia Union so far.
32' Philadelphia Union are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Atlanta United FC backline.
34' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Jack Elliott.
39' Daniel Gazdag puts Philadelphia Union on the lead.
41' What composure from Mikkel Uhre! The Denmark international strokes it home. 2-0.
46' The travelling Atlanta United FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
48' Assisted by Daniel Gazdag with the perfectly-timed delivery and Julian Carranza makes no mistake. 3-0!
53' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
56' GOAL! Thiago Almada scores on 56.
61' It is a cagey affair so far. Philadelphia Union in their 4-3-1-2 trying to find a way past Atlanta United FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
62' The Philadelphia Union bench stirs into life. Mikkel Uhre is withdrawn and Quinn Sullivan gets his opportunity.
66' It’s gonna be a card for Quinn Sullivan.
66' Xande Silva makes way for Edwin Mosquera at the 66 minute mark. A tactical switch from Atlanta United FC.
71' Atlanta United FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
73' Derrick Etienne gets the nod from Atlanta United FC. He replaces Saba Lobzhanidze and will look to change the dynamic.
75' Jose Martinez catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 75.
77' Magnificent from Edwin Mosquera! That is 5 goals in 152 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
81' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Nathan Harriel.
83' The whistle greets Olivier Mbaizo as he departs to be replaced by Damion Lowe.
84' Matt Real is replacing Alejandro Bedoya for the Philadelphia Union side.
85' A change in the Atlanta United FC ranks — Tristan Muyumba exits the field as Miguel Berry enters on 85.
90' The energy levels are beginning to show. Jim Curtin might look to freshen things up shortly.
Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-2.

Lineups

Philadelphia Union Lineups

4-3-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

12
Joe Bendik
2
Matt Real ↑ 84'
31
Leon Flach
33
Quinn Sullivan ↑ 62'
17
Damion Lowe ↑ 83'
25
Chris Donovan
8
Jose Martinez ↑ 12'
28
Tai Baribo
14
Jeremy Rafanello

Coach Jim Curtin

Atlanta United FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

20
Matheus Rossetto ↓ Ajani Fortune 66'
11
Brooks Lennon
4
Luis Abram
1
Brad Guzan
12
Miles Robinson
10
Thiago Almada
16
Xande Silva ↓ Edwin Mosquera 66'
8
Tristan Muyumba ↓ Miguel Berry 85'
26
Caleb Wiley
7
Georgios Giakoumakis ↓ Jamal Thiare 73'
9
Saba Lobzhanidze ↓ Derrick Etienne 73'

Bench

29
Jamal Thiare ↑ 73'
31
Quentin Westberg
18
Derrick Etienne ↑ 73'
2
Ronald Hernandez
13
Amar Sejdic
19
Miguel Berry ↑ 85'
21
Edwin Mosquera ↑ 66'
22
Juan Sanchez
35
Ajani Fortune ↑ 66'

Coach Gonzalo Pineda

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Josef Martinez	6
Josef Martinez	4
Mikkel Uhre	2
Daniel Gazdag	2
Brenden Aaronson	2
Nathan Harriel	2
Tai Baribo	2
Thiago Almada	2

Head to Head

Philadelphia Union Form

2023-10-04 Philadelphia Union 3–2 Atlanta United FC W 2023-09-30 Columbus Crew SC 1–1 Philadelphia Union D 2023-09-27 Philadelphia Union 1–1 FC Dallas D 2023-09-23 Philadelphia Union 0–0 Los Angeles FC D 2023-09-20 Charlotte FC 2–2 Philadelphia Union D 2023-09-16 Philadelphia Union 2–2 FC Cincinnati D

Atlanta United FC Form

2023-10-04 Philadelphia Union 3–2 Atlanta United FC L 2023-09-23 Atlanta United FC 4–1 Montreal Impact FC W 2023-09-20 D.C. United SC 1–1 Atlanta United FC D 2023-09-16 Atlanta United FC 5–2 Internacional CF Miami W 2023-09-03 FC Dallas 2–2 Atlanta United FC D 2023-08-30 Atlanta United FC 1–2 FC Cincinnati L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.83 Philadelphia Union xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.25 Atlanta United FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Philadelphia Union52% Draw24% Atlanta United FC24%

Actual: Philadelphia Union win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes60% 0% No40%

Avg goals/match: 3.08

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	81%	19%
± 2.5	59%	41%
± 3.5	37%	63%
± 4.5	20%	80%

Double Chance

Philadelphia Union or Draw

76%

Draw or Atlanta United FC

48%

Philadelphia Union or Atlanta United FC

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Philadelphia Union36% Draw43% Atlanta United FC21%

Actual: Philadelphia Union win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.4%

2 – 1

9.3%

1 – 0

7.6%

2 – 0

7.6%

1 – 2

6.3%

0 – 0

6.2%

2 – 2

5.8%

3 – 1

5.6%

0 – 1

4.9%

3 – 0

4.5%

3 – 2

Actual

0 – 2

3.6%

Asian Handicap — Philadelphia Union

Handicap	Philadelphia Union covers	Push	Atlanta United FC covers
-2.5	13%	—	87%
-2	13%	15%	72%
-1.5	28%	—	72%
-1	28%	21%	50%
-0.5	50%	—	50%
+0.5	75%	—	25%
+1	75%	14%	11%
+1.5	89%	—	11%
+2	89%	7%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet

29% ✓

Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.