FC Arouca vs GD Estoril Praia, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Arouca vs GD Estoril Praia — Primeira Liga at Municipal de Arouca.
- FC Arouca 34 games · 42 pts (2026/27)
- GD Estoril Praia 34 games · 39 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Antonio Nobre
- Assistant 1 Francisco Pereira (Portugal)
- Assistant 2 Goncalo Freire
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 34 | 88 |
| 2 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 34 | 82 |
| 3 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 34 | 80 |
| 4 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 34 | 59 |
| 5 | FC Famalicão | 34 | 56 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente FC | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Moreirense FC | 34 | 43 |
| 8 | Vitória SC | 34 | 42 |
| 9 | FC Arouca | 34 | 42 |
| 10 | GD Estoril Praia | 34 | 39 |
| 11 | FC Alverca | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | CD Santa Clara | 34 | 36 |
| 13 | Rio Ave FC | 34 | 36 |
| 14 | CD Nacional | 34 | 34 |
| 15 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 34 | 30 |
| 16 | Casa Pia AC | 34 | 30 |
| 17 | CD Tondela | 34 | 28 |
| 18 | AVS | 34 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | GD Estoril Praia | H | 3–2 | W |
| 21 Mar | Moreirense FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Mar | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | H | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Mar | FC Famalicão | A | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Feb | FC Porto | A | 1–3 | L |
| 21 Feb | CD Nacional | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | FC Arouca | A | 2–3 | L |
| 22 Mar | Rio Ave FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Mar | CD Nacional | A | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Mar | Casa Pia AC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Feb | Sporting Clube de Portugal | A | 0–3 | L |
| 22 Feb | Gil Vicente FC | H | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| FC Arouca | GD Estoril Praia | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #10 |
| 42 | Points | 39 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 12 / 6 / 16 | W / D / L | 10 / 9 / 15 |
| 47 | Scored | 54 |
| 64 | Conceded | 57 |
| -17 | GD | -3 |
| 1.24 | PPG | 1.15 |
| 35% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
70%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
FC Arouca are 9th (42 pts). GD Estoril Praia are 10th (39 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Municipal de Arouca that hosts another battle between FC Arouca and GD Estoril Praia.
- 3' Xeka puts GD Estoril Praia on the lead.
- 8' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 8 minutes.
- 13' What a strike from Barbero! The score is 1-1.
- 18' GD Estoril Praia looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Xeka scoring 1 goals.
- 23' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jordan Holsgrove on 23.
- 28' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Alejandro Marques made 519 appearances and scored 20 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 32' Yanis Begraoui puts GD Estoril Praia on the lead.
- 37' GD Estoril Praia seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 42' It looks like no one’s ball. GD Estoril Praia is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 47' What a strike from Jose Fontan! The score is 2-2.
- 52' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 55' FC Arouca is taking the lead after the goal scored by Pablo Gozalbez on 55.
- 56' Pablo Gozalbez is having his name booked by the referee on 56.
- 61' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with GD Estoril Praia winning 50% of all matches.
- 65' The whistle greets Xeka as he departs to be replaced by Alejandro Marques.
- 70' Pizzi needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 71' GD Estoril Praia player sees a card in front of him.
- 74' Peixinho is replacing Andre for the GD Estoril Praia side.
- 77' Time for substitution for FC Arouca. Pablo Gozalbez is replaced by Puche.
- 82' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 83' The whistle greets Barbero as he departs to be replaced by Pedro Santos.
- 88' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 90' It’s gonna be a card for Ignacio De Arruabarrena.
- 90' Time for substitution for FC Arouca. Nais Djouahra is replaced by Fally Mayulu.
- Another three points for FC Arouca.
Lineups
FC Arouca Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 25
-
7
Nais Djouahra ↓ Fally Mayulu 90'
- 15
-
17
Barbero ↓ Pedro Santos 83'
- 28
-
10
Pablo Gozalbez ↓ Puche 77'
- 3
-
21
Taichi Fukui ↓ Brian Mansilla 83'
- 12
-
14
Hyun-Ju Lee ↓ Mateo Flores 90'
- 22
Bench
- 1
- 44
- 5
- 6
-
89
Pedro Santos ↑ 83'
-
11
Puche ↑ 77'
-
9
Fally Mayulu ↑ 90'
-
24
Brian Mansilla ↑ 83'
-
46
Mateo Flores ↑ 90'
Coach
Vasco Seabra
GD Estoril Praia Lineups
4-3-1-2Starting XI
-
12
Joao Carvalho ↓ Pizzi 65'
-
8
Xeka ↓ Alejandro Marques 65'
- 14
- 1
-
24
Pedro Amaral ↓ Pedro Carvalho 65'
- 2
- 25
- 6
- 10
- 19
- 5
Bench
-
21
Pizzi ↑ 65'
- 16
-
9
Alejandro Marques ↑ 65'
- 31
-
70
Peixinho ↑ 74'
-
22
Pedro Carvalho ↑ 65'
- 97
- 7
Coach
Ian Cathro
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Alejandro Marques | 3 |
| Andre Silva | 2 |
| Oday Dabbagh | 2 |
| Jordan Holsgrove | 2 |
| Rafa Mujica | 2 |
| Pablo Gozalbez | 1 |
| Abdoulaye Ba | 1 |
| Pedro Santos | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Arouca Form
GD Estoril Praia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.09
FC Arouca xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.99
GD Estoril Praia xG
I would bet for:
FC Arouca or GD Estoril Praia 78% + Over 2.5 goals 76%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Arouca win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.08
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 3.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 4.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
Double Chance
FC Arouca or Draw
67%
Draw or GD Estoril Praia
55%
FC Arouca or GD Estoril Praia
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
7.8%
2 – 1
7.2%
2 – 2
7%
1 – 2
6.8%
3 – 1
4.9%
3 – 2
Actual
2 – 3
4.6%
1 – 3
4.5%
2 – 0
3.8%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 3
3.3%
1 – 0
3.1%
Asian Handicap — FC Arouca
| Handicap | FC Arouca covers | Push | GD Estoril Praia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 12% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 17% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 17% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 11% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
FC Arouca keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
GD Estoril Praia keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

