Thursday , 2 July 2026

Moreirense FC vs FC Alverca, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
Moreirense FC
2 – 1
Full Time
FC Alverca
Sun 10 Aug 2025 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Moreirense FC vs FC Alverca — Primeira Liga .

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Porto 34 88
2 Sporting Clube de Portugal 34 82
3 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 34 80
4 Sporting Clube de Braga 34 59
5 FC Famalicão 34 56
6 Gil Vicente FC 34 50
7 Moreirense FC 34 43
8 FC Arouca 34 42
9 Vitória SC 34 42
10 GD Estoril Praia 34 39
11 FC Alverca 34 39
12 Rio Ave FC 34 36
13 CD Santa Clara 34 36
14 CD Nacional 34 34
15 CF Estrela da Amadora 34 30
16 Casa Pia AC 34 30
17 CD Tondela 34 28
18 AVS 34 21

Head-to-Head

1
1
Moreirense FC 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals FC Alverca
Last 5 meetings
2025-08-10 Moreirense FC 2–1 FC Alverca

Recent Form

Moreirense FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Aug FC Alverca H 2–1 W
17 May AVS A 3–0 W
11 May GD Estoril Praia H 2–2 D
02 May FC Porto A 1–3 L
27 Apr CD Nacional H 1–1 D
18 Apr Sporting Clube de Portugal A 1–3 L
FC Alverca
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Aug Moreirense FC A 1–2 L

Season Stats

Moreirense FC FC Alverca
#7 Position #11
43 Points 39
34 Played 34
12 / 7 / 15 W / D / L 10 / 9 / 15
37 Scored 35
49 Conceded 52
-12 GD -17
1.26 PPG 1.15
35% Win % 29%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
Moreirense FC this season
18% Clean Sheets
FC Alverca this season

Moreirense FC are 7th (43 pts). FC Alverca are 11th (39 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Moreirense FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Alverca
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
2/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Moreirense FC Lineups

FC Alverca Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.72 Moreirense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 FC Alverca xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Moreirense FC52% Draw25% FC Alverca23%
Actual: Moreirense FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.82
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Moreirense FC or Draw
77%
Draw or FC Alverca
48%
Moreirense FC or FC Alverca
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Moreirense FC36% Draw45% FC Alverca19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.6%
0 – 0
7.8%
1 – 2
6%
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 1
5.4%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 0
4.8%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
3%

Asian Handicap — Moreirense FC

Handicap Moreirense FC covers Push FC Alverca covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 22% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Moreirense FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
FC Alverca keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.